Joined: Jul. 2022
Posts: 878
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A couple of issues with comparing your proposed Columbus trade to the Tkachuk deal:
1. Tkachuk was an RFA who basically had a shortlist of teams he'd sign long term with. So any team making a trade for him would be able to lock him up for several years, as Florida did. Marner could use his NMC to do the same, giving Toronto a chance to extract more value, but that's not a given. For the time being, he's a rental until proven otherwise.
2. The two roster players Calgary got in return, Huberdeau and Weegar, were both one year away from free agency at the time of the trade. Both ended up extending, but for a while there it was looking like both would be one year rentals. By contrast, both Jenner and Werenski are under contract for several more seasons. As a result, they hold more trade value and Columbus will be less likely to part with them.
3. At the time of the Tkachuk trade, the Panthers were coming off a Presidents' trophy win. Tkachuk was viewed by Florida as the final piece they needed for a cup push. By contrast, Columbus is coming off a season where they finished 4th worst in the league and are not one piece away from contention. Trading multiple key players and draft picks for Marner when they are still rebuilding isn't a move that makes sense for them.