TBL if the cap doesnt go up

Initial Creation Date: Sep 15, 2019
Published: Sep 15, 2019 at 11:48 pm
Team: 2020-21 Tampa Bay Lightning
Legend
Lefthanded
Original Team
Righthanded
Position
No Move/Trade Clause
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
McDavid, Connor
$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Team Explanation
According to the very reliable people of Twitter, the NHLPA, in their battle to limit escrows that force players to give up percentages of their salary if the NHL overestimates its revenue when it sets the cap, may have agreed with the NHL to freeze the salary cap at $81.5m for a couple of years. Obviously, the Leafs are badly hurt by this, but so is every team against the cap. Here, I'll underpay everyone on the Lightning and still be barely under the cap to prove that this is not okay for us.

I moved Killorn to the Avalanche because they seem like one of the few teams who aren't so awful that Killorn would never want to go there (unless he's trying to weaponize his no-trade list to prevent any trade at all), but can maybe afford him. They have $15m in cap and do have to re-sign Rantanen, but otherwise I think they can make it work. I don't pay that much attention to the Avalanche, so if a fan wants to come here and tell me why I'm stupid and wrong, go ahead. If a trade doesn't work, waivers are always an option and I feel like a team like the Kings, Ducks, or Senators should have the cap space and want some depth scoring and veteran experience on what will be a young, prospect-filled team, so while Killorn would have them on his no-trade list, with waivers, he has no choice. I chose the Blackhawks for Paquette because I think they could be looking to contend shortly and some bottom-six center depth is always nice. If not them, I'm sure someone would take him as he's well worth that contract. I chose the Red Wings for Coburn mainly because of the Yzerman connection and some short-term cheap defensive options wouldn't hurt them, but he's another player who I'm sure someone else would take too.

This leaves us with a 22 man roster, but without making an NTC disappear, I don't see a way around that. It's doable anyway, just not encouraged, and anyway, this is already so ridiculous that it's really the least of the concerns. Every single player rejects these deals and we're *still* not fitting 23 men under the cap. If Point takes a reasonable AAV rather than one of our crazy low bridge offers, we probably have to lose two if not three of Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, and Joseph. I don't think we have the prospects to replace them.

tl;dr: If Twitter turns out to be correct, we're absolutely screwed.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Point, Brayden3$6,000,000
Cirelli, Anthony3$3,000,000
Cernak, Erik3$2,000,000
Sergachev, Mikhail3$3,500,000
Colton, Ross3$800,000
Joseph, Mathieu3$1,200,000
Masin, Dominik3$800,000
Martel, Danick3$800,000
Smith, Gemel3$700,000
Martin, Spencer3$700,000
Verhaeghe, Carter2$1,000,000
Spencer, Matthew2$800,000
Stephens, Mitchell2$880,000
Thomas, Ben2$700,000
Volkov, Alexander2$900,000
Walcott, Daniel2$700,000
Yan, Dennis2$700,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Schenn, Luke2$800,000
Trades
TBL
  1. 2021 2nd round pick (COL)
COL
  1. Killorn, Alex
  2. 2021 1st round pick (TBL)
  3. 2021 3rd round pick (TBL)
TBL
  1. 2020 3rd round pick (CHI)
CHI
  1. Paquette, Cédric
  2. 2022 3rd round pick (TBL)
TBL
  1. 2021 3rd round pick (DET)
DET
  1. Coburn, Braydon
Buyouts
  • Vincent Lecavalier: $0
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
TBL
VAN
TBL
TBL
CHI
TBL
DET
TBL
OTT
TBL
2021
TBL
COL
DET
TBL
TBL
TBL
TBL
NSH
2022
TBL
TBL
TBL
TBL
TBL
TBL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$81,409,257$0$500,000$90,743
Left WingCenterRight Wing
TBL
Johnson, Tyler
$5,000,000
LW, C, RW
NTC
UFA - 4
TBL
Point, Brayden
$6,000,000
C, RW
RFA - 2
TBL
Kucherov, Nikita
$9,500,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 7
TBL
Joseph, Mathieu
$1,200,000
LW, RW
RFA
TBL
Stamkos, Steven
$8,500,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 4
TBL
Palat, Ondrej
$5,300,000
RW, LW
NTC
UFA - 2
TBL
Volkov, Alexander
$900,000
LW, RW
RFA
TBL
Cirelli, Anthony
$3,000,000
C
RFA
TBL
Gourde, Yanni
$5,166,666
RW, LW, C
NTC
UFA - 5
TBL
Verhaeghe, Carter
$1,000,000
C, LW
RFA
TBL
Barré-Boulet, Alex
$759,258
C
RFA - 1
TBL
Raddysh, Taylor
$833,333
RW
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
TBL
Hedman, Victor
$7,875,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 5
TBL
Sergachev, Mikhail
$3,500,000
LD
RFA
TBL
Vasilevskiy, Andrei
$9,500,000
G
UFA - 8
TBL
McDonagh, Ryan
$6,750,000
LD
NTC
UFA - 6
TBL
Cernak, Erik
$2,000,000
RD
RFA
TBL
McElhinney, Curtis
$1,300,000
G
UFA - 1
TBL
Masin, Dominik
$800,000
D
RFA
TBL
Foote, Cal
$925,000
RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
TBL
Schenn, Luke
$800,000
RD
UFA
TBL
Martel, Danick
$800,000
LW
RFA

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Top Comments

Sep 15, 2019 at 11:52
#1
Joined: Jul 2019
Posts: 51
Likes: 21
yikes
Sep 15, 2019 at 11:57
#2
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 450
Likes: 142
Quoting: Rayquaza649
yikes


https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/maple-leafs-approaching-uncertain-salary-cap-future-one-year-time/

Quoting: Sportsnet
While nothing has yet been agreed upon between those parties, sources with knowledge of the talks believe the salary cap could end up being frozen at its current $81.5-million ceiling for two more years — or raised only minimally — as a way to lower players’ escrow payments.


It sounds suspicious, but Sportsnet is usually very reliable. I'm a little worried.
Jamiepo liked this.
Sep 16, 2019 at 12:02
#3
Joined: Jul 2019
Posts: 51
Likes: 21
Quoting: I_Know_Nothing_About_Hockey_Or_Any_Sport2
https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/maple-leafs-approaching-uncertain-salary-cap-future-one-year-time/



It sounds suspicious, but Sportsnet is usually very reliable. I'm a little worried.

This would literally **** over several teams and make the RFA lockout even worse as the years go by
Sep 16, 2019 at 12:06
#4
LongtimeLeafsufferer
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 30,017
Likes: 7,315
Don't know why you say the Leaf would be in that much cap problem. They have expiring contracts and only Dermot as bigger name RFA to sign next year. If cap is so important, even Killorn might be a guy no one wants at 4.4m. If there is no or minimal cap increases, no team wants a long term iffy cap hit player.
Players whine about escrow but they agreed to it in the revenue sharing in the CBA determine the cap. They don't have no legitimate argument. If the rules change about the cap, (lower), bet the owners get a compliance buyout. That will give all teams some cap relief.
Sep 16, 2019 at 12:26
#5
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 450
Likes: 142
Quoting: palhal
Don't know why you say the Leaf would be in that much cap problem. They have expiring contracts and only Dermot as bigger name RFA to sign next year. If cap is so important, even Killorn might be a guy no one wants at 4.4m. If there is no or minimal cap increases, no team wants a long term iffy cap hit player.
Players whine about escrow but they agreed to it in the revenue sharing in the CBA determine the cap. They don't have no legitimate argument. If the rules change about the cap, (lower), bet the owners get a compliance buyout. That will give all teams some cap relief.


I mentioned the Leafs because that's the team that most of the media is obsessing over with this rumor. I know every defenseman other than Reilly is up for contract next season, but I don't know which defensemen you're going to keep and how hard it will be to re-sign everyone under cap. If this went on for slightly longer than 1-2 years, Andersen and Reilly would become problems. I definitely don't think you have it as bad as Tampa.

With a compliance buyout, we probably buyout Palat, assuming he doesn't rebound. That allows us to keep Killorn and get a 23 man roster, or, better yet (if possible), trade Killorn and actually sign every RFA to some reasonable deals. So I guess this is a worst case scenario rather than a likely thing.
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