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Odd Leafs Question

Created by: exo2769
Team: 2019-20 Chicago Blackhawks
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 4, 2019
Published: Dec. 4, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Legend
Left Handed
Original Team
Waivers Exempt
Right Handed
Position
Trade Clause
Max Perf. Bonus
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
Waivers ExemptMcDavid, Connor
$12,500,000 (Performance Bonus$250,000)
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Description
Let's just assume that the CAR trade is accepted. The point of this post isn't the valuing the CAR trade whether or not it's too much or not enough...blah blah blah

What would would it take in a trade for the MAIN piece to simply be dropping the top 10 protection? It's obviously a no brainer if you think TOR is 100% playoff bound because that means either of these trades are essentially free. BUT there's a very small chance (16% as of today) that you're giving up a HUGE piece.

How much do you believe in your own team...just to MAKE the playoffs?
Trades
1.
CHI
  1. 2020 1st round pick (TOR)
2.
CHI
  1. Holl, Justin
Additional Details:
Removing the top 10 protection. It's a gamble, but statistically speaking might be the best trade you can get...no?

Even now, there's only a 16% chance at a top 3 pick.
TOR
  1. Gustafsson, Erik ($600,000 retained)
3.
CHI
  1. Ceci, Cody
Additional Details:
Removal of top 10 protection.

It's an either or trade. Just curious.
TOR
  1. Crawford, Corey ($3,000,000 retained)
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
2021
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the MTL
2022
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$69,151,686$0$6,920,000$12,348,314
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$10,500,000$10,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$778,333$778,333 (Performance Bonus$32,500$32K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$2,475,000$2M)
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$2,625,000$2,625,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,900,000$3,900,000
C, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,500,000$1,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, C
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
C, RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$5,538,462$5,538,462
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$6,875,000$6,875,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$4,550,000$4,550,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,850,000$3,850,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,333,225$3,333,225
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,500,000$4,500,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 2

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Top Comments

Dec. 4, 2019 at 3:05 p.m.
#1
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Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,784
Likes: 344
I’ll take Crawford for ceci rn. We could call lilgren up. Holl for gus ah I wouldn’t mind it
Dec. 4, 2019 at 3:06 p.m.
#2
exo2769
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Joined: Jul. 2015
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Likes: 9,759
Quoting: Leafs_fan13
I’ll take Crawford for ceci rn. We could call lilgren up. Holl for gus ah I wouldn’t mind it


So you'd drop the top 10 protection of your 2020 1st round pick for BOTH of these trades?
Dec. 4, 2019 at 3:09 p.m.
#3
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Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,784
Likes: 344
Quoting: exo2769
So you'd drop the top 10 protection of your 2020 1st round pick for BOTH of these trades?


I would
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Dec. 4, 2019 at 3:20 p.m.
#4
Formerly Jamiepo
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Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 21,157
Likes: 10,700
Quoting: Leafs_fan13
I would


Yup, I think that may work, provided sandin is called up.
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Dec. 4, 2019 at 3:45 p.m.
#5
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Joined: Jun. 2017
Posts: 1,519
Likes: 656
I really like the concept of this deal, but I'd only make it at the deadline if Toronto is hovering around 10th place. Obviously if they are in the playoffs by then we shouldn't do it, or even if they're right on the bubble since it isn't worth giving up valuable assets just for 3% lottery odds. But if we do get their pick and they're close, I think this could be a good gamble to make.
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