Quoting: Club_de_Hockey_le_Canadien
The last 1st round goalie busts were Jack Campbell and Mark Visentin in 2011. That being said, Campbell put up starter numbers for LA last year. They both played in the OHL their draft year which is not a men's league. Askarov has put up exceptional numbers in Russia's 2nd Best Men's League (VHL). I understand your concern but I'm failing to see your point.
It's too early to tell on Spencer Knight and I think he'll buck the trend to be perfectly honest, but here's the list of 1st round picks since Carey Price. There's only 1 goalie in that entire bunch that I'd say...yeah he's worth a 1st round pick.
Jake Oettinger, Ilya Samsanov, Malcom Subban, Vasi, Jack Campbell, Mark Visentin, Chet Pickard, Thomas McCollum, Riku Helenius, Leland Irving, Varlomov, Jonathan Bernier....I mean Bernie was pretty good last year on a terrible team, but still...probably not worth a 1st round pick.
BUT you're also ignoring the other part which I think is more important. Starting goalies can be found in ANY round. the last goalie to win the Vezina AND the Cup...Tim Thomas drafted in the 9th round. Starting goalies need time to develop and don't need to be drafted in the 1st round. The last 1st round pick to win a cup...08/09 PIT Penguins.