My 7th sense as to what will happen in this offseason

Created by: Pens3lieve
Initial Creation Date: Sep 9, 2020
Published: Sep 9, 2020 at 2:40
Team: 2020-21 Pittsburgh Penguins
Legend
Lefthanded
Original Team
Righthanded
Position
No Move/Trade Clause
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Edmonton Oilers
McDavid, Connor
$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Team Explanation
So the offseason has already started and with a pretty big move.

(even with the HUGE trade rumours swirling I think GMJR will not trade a core member)

the to-do list coming into the offseason was a getting a top-6 RW, fixing the 3rd D pair, trading a goalie, shedding cap, a 3C, fixing the 3rd line in general, giving young guys a shot, more speed, good depth, etc.

Let's start with shedding cap.
JJ and Bjugstad have to go and most likely will, no matter how much GMJR supposedly likes JJ. he's says good things about a player then trades him. (See Kessel, Phil) I'd like to move Hornqvist but I doubt he'd waive his full NTC...but next year it decreases to a partial no trade...Seattle is an option but no matter where I think he's gone next offseason.
I think JJ can be moved and I don't think it will cost as much as some think...
OTT has cap space and won't be contending for a few years...
Murray to OTT is logical but for sake of not making a JJ/Murray trade, I'll keep them separate as a few teams are in on Murray.

BJugstad will go to a team that needs a 2nd line C, bc if healthy that's what he can be...WPG/BUF spring to mind. I think his value is about a 4th. maybe a 3rd but I doubt it.
Bjugstad to WPG for Poolman and a 5th...I don't know much about pool man-from the stats it looks like he's be an average to below average 3rd pair D--

from that we'll go the 3rd D pair...
With the 2 yr. extension of Riikola + PO Joseph "being ready" according to new assistant coach Vellucci), I see this as a tip-off that JJ is gone and Riikola/POJ will have first dibs at the 3rd D spot. extending Ruhwedel + playing him on his off side as a literal "7th D/first man in" means they love him and prob will let Ruhwedel/random depth RD (Poolman) compete for the #3RHD slot...the pens have some interesting college players in (RD) Maniscalso, (RD) Reilly, and (LD) Lee as well and I think they'll be given a shot to make the team...that's 7 intriguing D options for the 3rd pair.

Let's go to trading a goalie.
I think it's consensus Murray is halfway out the door with reportedly 5 teams interested (BUF/COL/OTT/TOR/CGY) (EDM out now). I think COL would be Able to offer the best package in return. despite what fans say, the trade talk between COL/PIT is legitimate I think and their tandem was a mix of injury and inconsistency. Murray's value I think is equivalent to a 1st round pick--although that's not what PIT will ask for. Jake Allen (a solid backup) got a 3rd so that's the starting point.
for PIT I think COL might want to give a goalie back (prob grubauer)...as he has only 1 yr left...he can backup jarry. Kaut is ranked their 5th best prospect and is a RH RW...and maybe if he develops ok can replace hornqvist in a year....on the 3rd line...Poulin has played LW--despite being referred to as a RW alot...PIT will probably move McCann as well. I don't like it but it's likely I think for no other reason than change. angello goes just as a throw in and his big body will play better in the west.
I think: Murray=Grubauer/2nd, McCann/Angello=Kaut
I think that's pretty fair...

now to the 3rd line/depth/speed/etc...
now that McCann/Bjugstad are added to the endless list of 3rd line pieces that didn't work out...
we need a new 3rd line...
Hornqvist and Simon are NHL options with Lafferty/o'connor/kaut from the AHL and I really think the pens LOVE Poulin and will give him an opportunity in training camp to make the team...
remember as well Simon and ZAR will most likely be OUT to start next season.
With Bleuger, Tanev, and Hornqvist in the bottom-6 along with ZAR and Simon (when healthy) I think the pens will look for a new #3C. they've tried bringing back some former players and I think they may do it again as Bonino only has one year left on his deal. if NSH can retain some it should be an inexpensive add. a low pick and a couple fringe prospects should get it done.
to complete the bottom-6 and preserve depth I went to free agency to finish off the team. haula is another Centre option as the injuries will always strike. Maroon is the type of gritty, character, 4th line guy that can help win. Tampa was missing guys like this so they went and got Maroon, Coleman, and Goodrow...and look where they are now... I wouldn't be surprised to see sheary back even though we got Kapanen but I hope not...
when healthy the team looks like:
16-87-24
59-71-17
haula-bonino-72
Buzzsaw (maybe subbing in maroon)

players in LTIR are illustrating depth...

caveat-i think I made one move too many in the bottom 6...I think one of Haula/Bonino would be fine...and that they'd have a logjam IF (not when) healthy...I think they'd let Lafferty or whoever impresses out of camp have that extra spot...
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Åberg, Pontus1$750,000
Knott, Graham1$750,000
Miletic, Sam1$750,000
Nyberg, John1$750,000
Simon, Dominik3$1,500,000
Lafferty, Sam2$850,000
Jarry, Tristan4$3,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Haula, Erik4$3,000,000
Maroon, Patrick2$1,500,000
Trades
PIT
  1. 2022 7th round pick (OTT)
OTT
  1. Johnson, Jack
  2. Björkqvist, Kasper
  3. Almari, Niclas
  4. 2020 5th round pick (PIT)
PIT
  1. Poolman, Tucker
  2. 2020 5th round pick (WPG)
WPG
  1. Bjugstad, Nick
PIT
  1. Grubauer, Philipp
  2. Kaut, Martin
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (COL)
COL
  1. McCann, Jared [RFA Rights]
  2. Murray, Matt [RFA Rights]
  3. Angello, Anthony [RFA Rights]
PIT
  1. Bonino, Nick ($2,050,000 retained)
NSH
  1. Almeida, Justin
  2. Lindgren, Jesper
  3. 2022 4th round pick (PIT)
Retained Salary Transactions
  • Nick Bjugstad: $2,050,000 (50%)
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
PIT
PIT
WPG
PIT
2021
PIT
COL
PIT
PIT
ANA
2022
PIT
PIT
PIT
PIT
PIT
PIT
OTT
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$83,158,508$0$850,000-$1,658,508

Roster

Left WingCenterRight Wing
PIT
Zucker, Jason
$5,500,000
LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 3
PIT
Crosby, Sidney
$8,700,000
C
NMC
UFA - 5
PIT
Kapanen, Kasperi
$3,200,000
RW
RFA - 2
PIT
Guentzel, Jake
$6,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 4
PIT
Malkin, Evgeni
$9,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 2
PIT
Rust, Bryan
$3,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Haula, Erik
$3,000,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
NSH
Bonino, Nick
$2,050,000
C
UFA - 1
PIT
Hörnqvist, Patric
$5,300,000
RW
NTC
UFA - 3
Maroon, Patrick
$1,500,000
LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 2
PIT
Blueger, Teddy
$750,000
C, LW
RFA - 1
PIT
Tanev, Brandon
$3,500,000
RW, LW
NTC
UFA - 5
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
PIT
Dumoulin, Brian
$4,100,000
LD
NTC
UFA - 3
PIT
Letang, Kris
$7,250,000
RD
NMC NTC
UFA - 2
PIT
Jarry, Tristan
$3,000,000
G
UFA - 3
PIT
Pettersson, Marcus
$4,025,175
LD
UFA - 5
PIT
Marino, John
$925,000
RD
UFA - 1
COL
Grubauer, Philipp
$3,333,333
G
UFA - 1
PIT
Riikola, Juuso
$1,150,000
LD
UFA - 2
WPG
Poolman, Tucker
$775,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
PIT
Ruhwedel, Chad
$700,000
RD
UFA - 1
PIT
Aston-Reese, Zach
$1,000,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1
PIT
Åberg, Pontus
$750,000
RW, LW
RFA
PIT
Lafferty, Sam
$850,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
PIT
Simon, Dominik
$1,500,000
RW, LW
RFA - 1
PIT
Maniscalco, Joshua
$853,333
RD
RFA - 3
PIT
Poulin, Samuel
$894,167
LW, RW
RFA - 3
COL
Kaut, Martin
$863,333
RW
RFA - 3
PIT
Joseph, Pierre-Olivier
$863,333
LD
RFA - 2
PIT
O'Connor, Drew
$925,000
LW
RFA - 2
PIT
Reilly, Will
$806,250
RD
RFA - 2
PIT
Lee, Cameron
$925,000
LD
RFA - 2
PIT
DeSmith, Casey
$1,250,000
G
UFA - 2

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Rust, B.
Hörnqvist, P.
Crosby, S.
Letang, K.
Malkin, E.
Power Play 2
Kapanen, K.
Bonino, N.
Zucker, J.
Marino, J.
Guentzel, J.
Penalty Kill 1
Maroon, P.
Bonino, N.
Dumoulin, B.
Letang, K.
Penalty Kill 2
Tanev, B.
Blueger, T.
Pettersson, M.
Marino, J.

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Top Comments

Sep 9, 2020 at 2:41
#1
Hockey IQ
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,761
Likes: 932
Sep 9, 2020 at 2:42
#2
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 12,833
Likes: 5,531
avs arent trading Kaut in a deal for Murray and there is nothing concrete linking the 2 teams talking.
Its not a fit my guys...that deal does absolutely 0 for the Avs. they decline that 10 times out of 10

avs do not have inifite cap space so they cant even fit both Murray and McCann if they wanted to, and Grubauer was the better goalie last year, he got hurt thats it.
Murray was bad and has a worse injury history than Grubauer...there is no reason for the avs here to swap goalies.

Mccann is a fine 3rd liner but Avs dont need anymore of those and they are high on Kaut to be on teh 3rd line next year. His ELC will go longer helping the Avs than mccann wiht a bigger contract
Sep 9, 2020 at 2:47
#3
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 4,514
Likes: 1,440
"I think JJ can be moved and I don't think it will cost as much as some think."

I don't know why you would ever think it won't cost a lot. Everyone in the league knows he's bad on a bad contract. Need to attach something really good to move him.
Claebom liked this.
Sep 9, 2020 at 2:49
#4
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 5,390
Likes: 3,129
I will be very disappointed if the Avs trade for Murray, especially if we have to give up that much for him. Hes a downgrade from their current tandem imo
Sep 9, 2020 at 2:52
#5
It Is Umlaut Season
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 565
Likes: 201
That's just not enough to move Johnson, and it's so abundantly clear. He doesn't crack the Sens top 6 D and carries his problematic contract so he's immediately an issue in that regard; if he served any sort of purpose to a team, then okay, maybe. If he was going to provide some value to their bottom pairing, then maybe he would be a worthwhile pick up in that sense and they might pay to acquire him or take less of a sweetener, but no. They have Chabot, Wolanin, Reilly, Brannstrom and Lajoie fighting for 3 spots on their left side this year, and they already have one overpaid bad defenseman in Zaitsev.

So then they're going to be asking for compensation, and instead you've provided... a 23 year old who lost almost an entire season to injury and has had questions about his ability to produce against tough competition and men, and a 22 year old D with very little NHL upside? So basically a bunch of nothing that the Sens don't already have coming out the seams? Maybe that moves the needle for a team starving for prospects (like the Penguins), but it doesn't sway anybody else. Understandably, Poulin is a lot. But it's probably going to have to include Legare or Joseph or those picks that JR just keeps flipping like they're candy. He's not going to just disappear because a GM wants to help an old man out of the goodness of his heart.
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