Forums/Armchair-GM

The Coming Cap Apocalypse

Created by: Viqsi
Initial Creation Date: Dec 9, 2017
Published: Mar 21, 2018 at 5:51
Team: 2019-20 Columbus Blue Jackets
Team Explanation
Just a guesstimate of what the offseason after next (wherein we have to resign Panarin, Bobrovsky, and Werenski) might end up being like - i.e. if we can afford to keep the guys we have without incurring additional buyouts or making cap-dump trades. Juuuuust barely succeeded.

I was possibly overly conservative on the salary cap projection (if the players throw in the full escrow, it'll be exceeded *this* offseason, to say nothing of next), but we'll see. Also didn't account for any potential Seattle expansion draft.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Bjorkstrand, Oliver4$3,000,000
Nutivaara, Markus5$3,250,000
Werenski, Zachary8$7,500,000
Jenner, Boone3$3,200,000
Korpisalo, Joonas2$1,500,000
Murray, Ryan2$3,500,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Bobrovsky, Sergei4$9,000,000
Panarin, Artemi8$8,000,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Garvrikov, Vladislav3$850,000
Buyouts
  • Fedor Tyutin: $1,458,333
  • Scott Hartnell: $1,250,000
Retained Salary Transactions
  • Nick Foligno: $2,750,000 (50%)
  • David Savard: $2,125,000 (50%)
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
2021
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
2022
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
CBJ
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
23$82,000,000$79,247,219$0$2,835,000$2,752,781
Left WingCenterRight Wing
Panarin, Artemi
$8,000,000
LW
NMC
UFA - 7
Dubois, Pierre-Luc
$894,166
C
RFA - 1
Anderson, Josh
$1,850,000
RW
UFA - 1
Foligno, Nick
$1,375,000
LW, C, RW
NMC NTC
UFA - 2
Wennberg, Alexander
$4,900,000
C
UFA - 4
Atkinson, Cam
$5,875,000
RW, LW
NTC
UFA - 6
Jenner, Boone
$3,200,000
C, LW
UFA - 3
Stenlund, Kevin
$864,166
RW, C
RFA - 1
Bjorkstrand, Oliver
$3,000,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Abramov, Vitaly
$730,833
LW
RFA - 2
Dubinsky, Brandon
$5,850,000
C, LW
NMC NTC
UFA - 2
Fortier, Maxime
$759,167
RW, C
UFA - 1
Thürkauf, Calvin
$714,444
C, LW
RFA - 1
Sherwood, Kole
$694,444
RW, C
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Werenski, Zachary
$7,500,000
LD
UFA - 3
Jones, Seth
$5,400,000
RD
UFA - 3
Bobrovsky, Sergei
$9,000,000
G
NMC
UFA - 7
Murray, Ryan
$3,500,000
LD
UFA - 2
Nutivaara, Markus
$3,250,000
RD
UFA - 3
Korpisalo, Joonas
$1,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Carlsson, Gabriel
$894,166
LD
RFA - 1
Savard, David
$1,062,500
RD
UFA - 2
Garvrikov, Vladislav
$850,000

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Mar 21, 2018 at 5:57
#1
hpatton
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 420
Likes: 94
Quote:
Juuuuust barely succeeded.


sorry but ya didna. rosters are 23, not 22.
Mar 21, 2018 at 5:59
#2
Viqsi
Thread Starter
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 3,930
Likes: 915
Quoting: hpatton
Quote:
Juuuuust barely succeeded.


sorry but ya didna. rosters are 23, not 22.


23's the max, not the minimum. I admit that a perfectionist streak of mine insisting on trying to get a 23rd player had me sitting on posting this one for a while, tho. And if it does turn out I was overly conservative with the cap max, then it'll be easily settled.
Mar 21, 2018 at 6:04
#3
hpatton
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 420
Likes: 94
Quoting: Viqsi
sorry but ya didna. rosters are 23, not 22.


23's the max, not the minimum. I admit that a perfectionist streak of mine insisting on trying to get a 23rd player had me sitting on posting this one for a while, tho. And if it does turn out I was overly conservative with the cap max, then it'll be easily settled.[/quote]

knock about a mil off Murray's deal. unless he actually stays healthy and has a big year next year he hasn't done anything to deserve more than a minimal raise.
Viqsi liked this.
Mar 21, 2018 at 6:11
#4
Viqsi
Thread Starter
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 3,930
Likes: 915
Quote:
Quoting: hpatton
23's the max, not the minimum. I admit that a perfectionist streak of mine insisting on trying to get a 23rd player had me sitting on posting this one for a while, tho. And if it does turn out I was overly conservative with the cap max, then it'll be easily settled.


knock about a mil off Murray's deal. unless he actually stays healthy and has a big year next year he hasn't done anything to deserve more than a minimal raise.

Fair point. Didn't take off a full mil, but there's still enough of a reduction there to call up another guy.
Mar 21, 2018 at 6:17
#5
DirtyDangles
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 12,687
Likes: 2,713
I really hope Provorov gets extended before Werenski because that’s too much! 6.25-6.5 is more reasonable.
Mar 21, 2018 at 6:19
#6
Viqsi
Thread Starter
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 3,930
Likes: 915
Quoting: DirtyDangles
I really hope Provorov gets extended before Werenski because that’s too much! 6.25-6.5 is more reasonable.


I'd like to believe that's the case, and if y'all want to establish a lower comparable I certainly wouldn't object. grin I was just trying to be relatively pessimistic and conservative in an attempt to avoid "oh noes you guys are doomed regardless" arguments.
Mar 21, 2018 at 7:12
#7
palhal
LongtimeLeafsufferer
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 39,268
Likes: 11,568
Would any other teams offer Bobo 9m a year. I doubt it, so why should the CBJ? You could argue the same for Panarin. Yea, it's cap problems when a team offers more than anyone else.
Mar 21, 2018 at 11:12
#8
Viqsi
Thread Starter
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 3,930
Likes: 915
Quoting: palhal
Would any other teams offer Bobo 9m a year. I doubt it, so why should the CBJ? You could argue the same for Panarin. Yea, it's cap problems when a team offers more than anyone else.


With Bob, two Vezina trophies get you quite a bit - his comparables are going to be guys like Lundqvist and Price - and I'm also doing money-for-term in that case (he'll be 34 when that contract expires). And in Panarin's case... he's already the best forward we have, and if the cap goes up substantially then yes, that's going to be pretty close to the sorts of offers he's getting. Possibly even a tad low.
Mar 22, 2018 at 7:43
#9
Bluejackets2000
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 2,183
Likes: 749
Personally I think Bob likes playing in Columbus, the team that gave him the opportunity to be top dog in the yard.
I think he will sign for less than he could elsewhere, maybe $8.5M?
I think the values above are spot on.
CBJ is showing they want to lock down their younger skilled players to longer term deals at a lower cost (Jones, Wennberg, etc.)
But based on what Jones is doing right now and what he signed for, Werenski deal may come in closer to $5.5M - $6M than $7.5M.
 
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