Quoting: pharrow
Chicago didn't "give up on him" they knew what they had, and that was a player that was going to be difficult down the road. They tried to make the best out of it.
The Saad for Panarin trade should tell you something about the value. Saad was a good younger player who had success in chicago but not as much of a playmaker.
Columbus at the time had "won" the deal, but then you saw what you really got. I'm almost positive when the blackhawks were doing negotiations with him, they saw this coming. Which is why they dealt him.
The value of Panarin is tied to IF a team can resign him. If they can't his value is that of a deadline rental, which is an average of a 1st + prospect.
I think he has his list of teams. I'm almost certain they consist of NY, NJ and LA. You might, and this is a small might, be able to include FL. FL simply doesn't have a working environment for his model girlfriend. While Miami is a fashion place, it's no NY or LA for a model to get work.
Because of that the leverage to deal a player is small. You are looking at 5 teams. All of which know they only need to wait it out. If you are a NYI, NYR, and even a LAK team, you are better off simply waiting than paying a high price. None of those teams are in a win now mode really. Yes LAK were a playoff team, but they didn't even look close to competing. You can pretty much add ANA to that list. They know their time isn't now, why give up the future. The only team that would really like to see him is probably NJ, but I doubt that you see him traded in division, and they have a commitment to their long term plan. So that knocks out NYI, NYR, and NJ.
You look at the two FL teams, in FL, and TB which have a much smaller chance of him playing there, and FL is in no hurry, TB is in win now mode, but they would have to blow things up to get him due to cap space.
I really think he finishes out the year in CBJ and signs elsewhere. CBJ will never get a return the fans are happy with because he's talented. It's more acceptable he just didn't want to stay than trade him for less than value. Which is exactly what Chicago did.
I would take this trade for him if I were CBJ. It gets him out of your conference, you get decent value in return, maybe even better than what you gave up for him, and you are out of the headache of dealing with him.
Remember in the end the trade really looks like this. Brandon Saad for Montour, B and Nick Ritchie.
When you look at it like that, it seems like a pretty fair value if you ask me.
I see what you are saying, and agree they would like to have him signed/playing out of division and conference if at all possible, which only leaves the ANA/FLA market as top options.
That being said, I disagree with using his talent for 1 year and letting him walk for nothing.
Jarmo should be doing everything possible to make the team better long term, which has been his (and John Davidson's) mantra all along.
If they feel that they cannot "convert" him or "win him over", which I don't believe they will be able to do, then I suspect they will stay with the action plan they have had all along and trade him for the long term benefit/return.
You have to remember that Columbus has been a team that UFAs have NEVER wanted to come to freely, and several have bolted at the first chance they got (anyone remember some guy named Adam Foote? or Jeff Carter?).
The Columbus fans are savvy hockey fans, and many have been from day one, even though it was a new franchise to Columbus in 2000.
(I am a Washington DC transplant who moved to Columbus in 1998, t and remember the days of bad hockey when the "Crapitals first started in the early 1970s).
Fans do not have a tolerance for players that are troublemakers, or have an attitude that contradicts the team environment, or flat out just don't want to play for them.
CBJ was smart and underwrote the Johanssen for Jones trade very well.
It ended up working out for both teams, but the Johanssen contract negotiation would have been a nightmare for the Jackets.
It is too bad that the Jackets didn't pick up on the fact that Panarin was going to be that difficult.
(CBJ already had a couple other crazy Russians that didn't work out too well, Nicholai Zherdev and Nikita Filatov).
They have really stayed away from the Russian players since then. (except for BOB, of course).
I can't wait to see how the Panarin situation works out, and I can't wait for hockey season!!!