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Nailed it. I mean, how much could really change in 30 months?! ??‍♀️

Created by: rebecca
Published: Dec. 19, 2018 at 8:44 a.m.

Seattle Kraken

PROJECTED CAP HITTooltip : $68,567,237
PROJECTED CAP SPACETooltip : $12,932,763
DRAFTED: 29/30
FORWARDS (15 - $27,670,679)TERMSPOSSTATUSAGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo of the Philadelphia FlyersHayes, KevinNMCCNHL29$3,571,429$4,500,001$0$0NMC$3,571,429$3,750,001$0$3,750,000M-NTC$3,571,429$3,250,000$0$0M-NTC$3,571,429$2,625,000$0$1,250,000M-NTC$3,571,429$2,625,000$0$1,250,000M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyersvan Riemsdyk, JamesLW, RWNHL32$7,000,000$7,000,000$0$1,000,000$7,000,000$5,000,000$0$1,000,000
UFA
Logo of the Edmonton OilersNeal, JamesRW, LWNHL33$5,750,000$5,750,000$0$0$5,750,000$5,750,000$0$0
UFA
Logo of the Columbus Blue JacketsNyquist, GustavRW, RWIR31$2,750,000$3,000,000$0$0$2,750,000$2,500,000$0$0
UFA
Logo of the Winnipeg JetsPerreault, MathieuLW, RW, CNHL33
UFA
Logo of the New Jersey DevilsJohnsson, AndreasLW, RWNHL26$3,400,000$2,500,000$0$1,750,000$3,400,000$2,500,000$0$1,750,000M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the New Jersey DevilsBratt, JesperLW, LWNHL22$2,750,000$3,450,000$0$0
Player is arbitration eligibleRFA
Logo of the Anaheim DucksMilano, SonnyLW, RWIR25$1,700,000$1,800,000$0$0
RFA
Logo of the Ottawa SenatorsPaul, NicholasC, LWNHL26$749,250$832,500$0$0
UFA
Logo of the New York RangersGauthier, JulienELCRWNHL23
RFA
Logo of the Tampa Bay LightningRaddysh, TaylorELCRWMinor23
RFA
Logo of the Vegas Golden KnightsSikura, DylanLW, RW, CMinor26
UFA
Logo of the Washington CapitalsSheary, ConorLW, RWNHL29
UFA
Logo of the New York IslandersHo-Sang, JoshuaRW, CMinor25
UFA
Logo of the Montreal CanadiensHudon, CharlesLW, LW, RWNHL27
Roster created at CapFriendly.com | Follow on Twitter @capfriendly
DEFENSE (11 - $35,738,225)TERMSPOSSTATUSAGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo of the New Jersey DevilsSubban, P.K.RDNHL32$9,000,000$8,000,000$0$6,000,000
UFA
Logo of the San Jose SharksBurns, BrentM-NTCRDNHL36$5,280,000$4,950,000$0$3,500,000M-NTC$5,280,000$4,290,000$0$3,500,000M-NTC$5,280,000$3,300,000$0$2,000,000M-NTC$5,280,000$3,300,000$0$2,000,000M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the Minnesota WildSpurgeon, JaredNMCRDNHL31$7,575,000$9,000,000$0$4,000,000NMC$7,575,000$6,000,000$0$0NMC$7,575,000$8,000,000$0$0NMC$7,575,000$8,000,000$0$0M-NTC$7,575,000$7,000,000$0$0M-NTC$7,575,000$6,025,000$0$0M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the St. Louis BluesKrug, ToreyNTCLDNHL30$6,500,000$4,000,000$0$0NTC$6,500,000$8,000,000$0$0NTC$6,500,000$8,500,000$0$0NTC$6,500,000$8,500,000$0$0NTC$6,500,000$6,500,000$0$0M-NTC$6,500,000$6,000,000$0$0M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the Anaheim DucksManson, JoshM-NTCRDNHL29$2,050,000$2,225,000$0$0M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the Los Angeles KingsMäättä, OlliLDNHL26$3,333,225$3,333,361$0$0
UFA
Logo of the Chicago BlackhawksZadorov, NikitaLD/RDNHL26
Player is arbitration eligibleRFA
Logo of the Edmonton OilersBear, EthanRDNHL24$2,000,000$2,500,000$0$0
Player is arbitration eligibleRFA
Logo of the St. Louis BluesDunn, VinceLD/RDNHL24
Player is arbitration eligibleRFA
Logo of the Dallas StarsPysyk, MarkRDNHL29
UFA
Logo of the Columbus Blue JacketsBayreuther, GavinLD/RDMinor27
UFA
GOALIES (3 - $5,158,333)TERMSPOSSTATUSAGE2021-222022-232023-242024-252025-262026-272027-28
Logo of the Vancouver CanucksHoltby, BradenM-NTCGNHL31$4,300,000$5,700,000$0$0M-NTC
UFA
Logo of the Los Angeles KingsPetersen, CalGNHL26$858,333$1,000,000$0$0
UFA
Logo of the San Jose SharksHill, AdinGNHL25
Player is arbitration eligibleRFA

Statistics

STANDARD PLAYER CONTRACTS Tooltip1784432
SALARY CAP Tooltip$81,500,000$82,500,000$83,500,000$87,500,000$92,000,000$92,000,000$92,000,000
PROJECTED CAP HIT Tooltip$68,567,237$41,826,429$22,926,429$22,926,429$17,646,429$14,075,000$0
PROJECTED CAP SPACE Tooltip$12,932,763$40,673,571$60,573,571$64,573,571$74,353,571$77,925,000$92,000,000
ESTIMATED SALARY EXPENDITURE Tooltip$69,540,862$37,790,001$23,050,000$22,425,000$16,125,000$12,025,000$0
POTENTIAL PERFORMANCE BONUSESTooltip$0$0$0$0$0$0$0

Legend

Waivers Exempt
Waivers-Exempt
Slide Candidate
Slide Candidate
Injury
Injured
Unconfirmed Information
Unconfirmed Info
Exempt from the 50 Contract Limit
SPC Exempt
Performance Bonus
Potential Perf. Bonuses
Unrestricted Free Agent
Restricted Free Agent
123
Two-way
35+
35+ Contract
NMC
No Move Clause
NTC
No Trade Clause
ELC
Entry-Level Contract
RS
Retained Salary Transaction

Protected Players

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Dec. 19, 2018 at 12:05 p.m.
#1
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Burns>Roy, Subban> Ekholm, Neal>Foo
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Dec. 19, 2018 at 4:19 p.m.
#2
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Quoting: Club_de_Hockey_le_Canadien
Burns>Roy, Subban> Ekholm, Neal>Foo


Are you suggesting that San Jose will protect Burns in 2021 (and Nashville will protect Subban and Calgary will protect Neal)?

Looking at the big ticket players (>$4M AAV) that are already signed for 2021, I have on this preliminary roster, going from from MOST to LEAST likely to be EXPOSED, I would say they would be:

Neal - Burns - Manson - Van Riemsdyk - Maata - and lastly Subban.

It’s not that I think Ekholm (or Ellis or Josi for that matter) will be more likely to be exposed over Subban, it’s that I reckon Poile will be making a trade in the next year to move out one of the “big 4” D in Nashville. After getting burned and losing (a much younger) Neal in 2017 with Vegas, he won’t sit back and wait this time and lose PK for nothing to Seattle. A similar thing could occur in Pittsburgh with Maata as Letang, Dumoulin, and Schultz are the future there so Maata will likely be dealt. Any of these players have a chance to be traded but I don’t see many options for James Neal - about the only thing that’s gone wrong for the Flames in 2018 thus far.
Dec. 19, 2018 at 4:23 p.m.
#3
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Quoting: rebecca
Are you suggesting that San Jose will protect Burns in 2021 (and Nashville will protect Subban and Calgary will protect Neal)?

Looking at the big ticket players (>$4M AAV) that are already signed for 2021, I have on this preliminary roster, going from from MOST to LEAST likely to be EXPOSED, I would say they would be:

Neal - Burns - Manson - Van Riemsdyk - Maata - and lastly Subban.

It’s not that I think Ekholm (or Ellis or Josi for that matter) will be more likely to be exposed over Subban, it’s that I reckon Poile will be making a trade in the next year to move out one of the “big 4” D in Nashville. After getting burned and losing (a much younger) Neal in 2017 with Vegas, he won’t sit back and wait this time and lose PK for nothing to Seattle. A similar thing could occur in Pittsburgh with Maata as Letang, Dumoulin, and Schultz are the future there so Maata will likely be dealt. Any of these players have a chance to be traded but I don’t see many options for James Neal - about the only thing that’s gone wrong for the Flames in 2018 thus far.


Schultz will not be on the team in 2021
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Dec. 19, 2018 at 4:38 p.m.
#4
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Edited Dec. 19, 2018 at 5:17 p.m.
Analysis of Draft Quality

Reflecting on this, and having done a couple of mocks for the Vegas draft - I am cautiously optimistic for the Seattle Metropolitans (or whatever they choose as their name - a Cup winning name tho is hard to argue with). Compared to last year (it’s amazing it was JUST a year ago), I think that the potential for young players to be available seems greater than it was for Vegas. Maybe it’s just me, but because (with just a couple exceptions) any player currently playing in the NHL or AHL is FAIR GAME, that leaves a plethora of youthful talent out there.

But that’s the thing with talent. It’s potential. I imagine that in the next 30 months, the cream will rise to the top (and on to protected lists) and the guys we thought would be top 6 players turn out to be tweeners after all. Right now if you’re the optimistic type (like me) you’re salivating at the prospects available.

One thing I have been wondering. While it wasn’t official, most teams were working under the assumption that Seattle would start in 2020. This meant that players who only turned pro this year - think of Donato, Steel, Pettersson, Dahlin, Terry, Hart, Heiskenen etc etc etc - would be exempt! Knowing that Seattle was starting 2021, would we have seen as many players turn pro this year (particularly those under 20, obviously)? Compared to the crop that turned pro in 2017 or 2016, this year’s group at both the NHL and AHL level (which I follow closely) is head and shoulders better. While the League seems adamant that the rules won’t change, I am wondering if there will be a loophole added so teams (thinking of teams like Anaheim and Calgary for starters) can not worry about having to protect these suddenly up for grabs 2018/19 pro rookies???!! ANYONE ELSE got that feeling?

Considerations

1) Obviously this is a Preliminary Draft. I’m planning to revisit the protected list myself every 2-3 months and see how things change. Next re-draft will be in a couple months right after the Trade Deadline. I’ll look at who is new and who’s newly exposed and talk about the implications for Seattle.
***I’d love feedback on the protected lists as much as the drafted team***. I’m a hockey nerd to be sure but my knowledge of teams beyond Toronto (and the Atlantic Div generally) isn’t quite at the same level.

2) For simplicity, I opted for a 7-3–1 rather than an 8-1 split when it comes to the protected lists. I recognize that a team may opt to go the 8-1 route but in almost all cases I think that teams will either make pre-emptive trades or work something out with Seattle.

3) While it could be a fun exercise to only draft players currently signed for 2021, the reality (at least for the next 8 months or so) is that the majority of potential players are going to be on new contracts (possibly with new teams) or on expiring contracts in 2021. I did draft a few players who’s contact expires a few days after the draft. In most cases these players will likely never dress for Seattle but some I reckon will get a good offer from the Totems/Metropolitans (or whatever name they settle on).

4) Extending from 3, as most players will be on new contracts prior to the draft, it took a bit of projecting for me to pick a team that comes it at $75-90M (considering cap floor and ceiling, and that a half dozen will not be on the roster). I am confident that as budgeted this is about a $90M team, tho I reckon a couple players will be traded for picks or let loose in 2021 FA to bring that down a titch.
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Dec. 19, 2018 at 4:45 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: Hockeylover360
Schultz will not be on the team in 2021


Perhaps. Perhaps not. At some point in the next oh say 3 to 7 years give or take Pittsburgh is gonna have to do what they have done every other decade or so and spectacularly tank as they dismantle a championship roster when everyone gets too old. Obviously Crosby will stay til he retires but once they miss the playoffs 2 or 3 times I think he’ll call it quits. I don’t think the Pens are anywhere near that place tho. Schultz brings an important pretense on the blueline and, for the right price, could be part of a team that continues to be relevant thru the middle of the next decade in what is looking like a mediocre Metro moving forward.

Anyways, it’s pretty tough to say precisely who will and willn’t be on a team 30 months from now. I’d say that yes, the odds favour Schultz leaving. If he does, would Maata be in the Top 3 D one PGH, at least in terms of their protected list?
 
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