The avs would be so sick if that happened lol, kinda wanna see it tbh

I mean it is **technically** possible. That could end up being the best top 6 of the salary cap era

It would be huge for them, they need depth as they're kind of a 1 line team, but they also need goaltending so maybe they could even trade for a guy like bob if they could guarantee he'd sign there long term

Even if you get 2 top 5 picks that would awesome

Your "simple math" is wrong. If Ottawa pick @ #1 = 0.185
Colorado pick @ #2 = 0.05

Multiplied it'd be .00925%, not .925%

They would have A LOT of options lemme tell ya

Lmao bruv. You gotta multiple it by 100 to make it a percentage.

The decimal you get is 0.00925

That’s 0.925%

My bad, I was thinking it was .185 and .05 percent initially.

Where did you get the .05 number?

Idk some draft simulator said that Colorado has a 5% (0.05) chance at getting 2nd overall based on their current place in the standings. Website was kinda sketchy so not sure if that’s accurate but sounds about right

Math is hard

Ahhh, the site I use (tankathon.com, highly recommend it) say they have a 3.8% chance at 2OA

Yeah I’ll take their word then. I can’t even remember the site. I did it really fast on my phone just clicked the first one. Anyways, it’ll be a very low chance regardless

Neither Hughes nor Kakka has played a game in the NHL yet. Hughes has been talked about forever and probably will be special. We'll see on Kakka.

Besides
Dupuis-Crosby-Hossa
Malone-Malkjn-Sykora


Sharp-Toews-Hossa
Bickell-Bolland-kane

Gourde-Pointe-Kucheroc
Johnson-Stamkos-Miller

Ovechkin-Backstrom-Semin
Laich-Koslov-Fleischman

Kunitz-MacDonald-Selanne
Penner-Getzlaf-Perry

Prospal-Richards-Fedetenko
Modin-Vinny-MSL

Clowe-Thornton-Cheechoo
Pavelski-Marleau-Michalek

I never said it “would be”
I said it could be. Which it is entirely possible. If Hughes turns into Eichal and Kappo turns into a Laine type player, that could definitely be #1. Or they could both bust and disappoint. I’m just saying it certainly possible.

Yeah, I have to agree with you....0925% chance Andrighetto signs for that low contract price!

Lmao I don’t follow the Avs the signings were all educated guesses

The math is still wrong

Event A = COL getting 1st pick
Event B = OTT getting 2nd pick
Event C = COL getting 2nd pick
Event D = OTT getting 1st pick

P(COL getting 1st two picks) = P(A)*P(B given that A already happened) +P(D)*P(C given that D already happened)

Me neither, my friend. I was just injecting a little humor. I'd hate to see Colorado get Hughes and Kakko though, as I'm a Blues fan and would hate to play them with those two and MacKinnon all playing forward.

I wouldnt give Andrighetto more than that, hes a 4th line player who has been a healthy scratch multiple times on a team with bad depth

I get it, bud. I'm not really arguing Adrighetto's salary as bad. I was just making a funny. All of the post's attention is on the slim percent chance of Colorado acquiring the top two draft picks, and I decided to throw a curveball and re-focus attention on something irrelevant like Andrighetto's salary.

OH GOD YOURE RIGHT!!!!! LMAO I remember this from my stats class in university!! Never did I imagine the only time IRL I would ever need to know that formula is for a post on CapFriendly haha

I had the pleasure of taking stats last semester so its fresh in my mind lol

unless Wikipedia's lottery odds are wrong or unless I messed something up in excel the odds that COL gets the top 2 picks is about 1.44% (which isnt that far off from 0.925% anyways)