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2019-20EDM and OTT trades

Created by: DB90
Team: 2019-20 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: May 21, 2019
Published: May 31, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
All contract figures and terms from Evolving Wild: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15E1qqh3OfHvvhbv_pICfKT7VR1jJEVhWQOyKviWLN54/edit#gid=707766415

Using a data-based model like this removes some of the guesswork on deals like Kapanen and Johnsson.

D is obviously still shaky. Big jump to assume Dermott is ready for top pair minutes (on his off side, after he comes back from a serious injury), but without moving Marleau I don't see how any bigger of an upgrade is possible this offseason.

Zaitsev trade to OTT helps them meet the salary floor without dead money. Leafs take the LTIR commitments off their hands, Sens get a player for nothing but cap space (which is hardly a concern when they're so far below the floor).

Franson might be a pipe dream for top 4 minutes, but it'll have to be a similar bargain bin add this summer to make everybody fit. Zaitsev is probably about replacement level, so anybody that isn't much worse than that can fill in.

Bear is added via trade, insulates against the first bit of the year without Dermott. I can see the 3rd in that trade becoming a 2nd to make the value match—no big problem on the Leafs' end I wouldn't expect. I think Brown will end up with the Oilers and a hockey trade like this would be fun—but maybe Khaira and Bear are valued higher out there than I've guessed (I know Oil fans will let me hear it either way).

Could see any of Gauthier, Petan, or Khaira playing that 4C slot. Marleau will have to rotate out some nights (RIP iron man streak).
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
8$9,790,057
4$3,740,183
2$2,269,796
2$1,159,198
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Franson, Cody
1$1,000,000
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. Brown, Connor
  2. 2020 3rd round pick (TOR)
2.
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2019
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the STL
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the DAL
2020
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the SJS
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,000,000$77,148,933$0$235,000$5,851,067
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,740,183$3,740,183
LW, RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,634,000$11,634,000
C
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$9,790,057$9,790,057
RW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$775,000$775,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,500,000$4,500,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,269,796$2,269,796
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
LW, C
UFA - 1
$1,159,198$1,159,198
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$842,500$842,500 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$863,333$863,333
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LD
UFA - 1
Franson, Cody
$1,000,000$1,000,000
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$750,000$750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$750,000$750,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$675,000$675,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$720,000$720,000 (Performance Bonus$20,000$20K)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,300,000$5,300,000
RW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$792,500$792,500 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,650,000$4,650,000
LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$775,000$775,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,875,000$4,875,000
RW
UFA - 2

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May 31, 2019 at 10:50 a.m.
#1
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Pretty sure there is a cap to how many players you can put on LITR and might be a % of cap also.

IMO Marner and Kap will both get request offer sheets at that price. Overpaying Johnsson.
May 31, 2019 at 10:51 a.m.
#2
Follow capfriendly
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Quoting: ChiHawk
Pretty sure there is a cap to how many players you can put on LITR and might be a % of cap also.

There isn't
May 31, 2019 at 10:52 a.m.
#3
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Why does Ottawa do that? Gets them way further from hitting the cap floor, and they would pay Zaitsev more money in one year than they would pay MacArthur AND Gaborik for the duration of both contracts. Those contracts are insured, so the sens could be paying as little as 10% of their salary.

The sens WANT those style of contract. If anything they'd add more LTIR contracts if possible, taking picks in the process.
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May 31, 2019 at 10:53 a.m.
#4
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IR for Macarthur and Gaborik helps them reach the floor better than Zaitzev plus insurance covers %80 of the salary. This trade makes no sense from the Sens side
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May 31, 2019 at 11:07 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: Banks
There isn't


Okay
May 31, 2019 at 11:21 a.m.
#6
Pass it to Lucic
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from an Oilers perspective, they will say no. Edmonton can't afford to give young, developing Dman that have already proven they are on the bubble to make the NHL.
The best you will get for Brown, IMO, is a 4th. overpaying for a 3rd line player is what got Chai fired. Oiler fans are praying Holland isn't going to do the same.
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May 31, 2019 at 11:26 a.m.
#7
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Didn't consider insurance for them (duh). My thinking was that Ottawa needs actual bodies. It's not like their D group is deep (5 guys signed right now, all expiring next summer, plus Ceci), and I assume they want to let Brannstrom develop another year in Belleville. Plus the Sens don't exactly have a rep for avoiding overpaid Toronto d-men with term remaining.
May 31, 2019 at 11:40 a.m.
#8
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Quoting: Herms17
from an Oilers perspective, they will say no. Edmonton can't afford to give young, developing Dman that have already proven they are on the bubble to make the NHL.
The best you will get for Brown, IMO, is a 4th. overpaying for a 3rd line player is what got Chai fired. Oiler fans are praying Holland isn't going to do the same.


Id agree with this, even if the value isnt all that far off, Khaira and Brown are simular in value and there is no point in trading bear unless if it helps this year or next one with scoring. If you remove the pick and and bear or just remove khaira id say it's plausible
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May 31, 2019 at 11:56 a.m.
#9
Dwight_Schrute
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The Oilers are under no circumstances trading Ethan Bear for Connor Brown.

Brown can likely be had for a mid round pick, why give up a solid D prospect and one of the few NHL level forwards on the team for a middle 6 winger?
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