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Building a Cup Winner Part 1

Created by: CD282
Team: 2019-20 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: May 30, 2019
Published: May 31, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Small moves with a focus on making the playoffs in 2019-20. Cup Contender status happens the next year. Although if you can get in anything can happen, as St. Louis has proved.


WASHINGTON:
the trade proposal seen in the link following is similar - my pick is likely a higher one but you have to wait a year for it. https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1185206

In my opinion Burakovsky isn't worth the $3.25M required to retain his rights, so the pick is conditional on him signing. I think it's unlikely any team would trade an unconditional pick when the player becomes a UFA July 1st, nobody wants to be left holding the bag on this one. Fortunately for Washington, McDavid convinces Bura to sign so they can play together again.


CHICAGO:
two summers ago Carolina paid a 2nd round pick for Trevor van Riemsdyk, who was nearly 26 at the time and coming off a 16 point season. Benning just turned 25 this week (he played as a 24-year-old this season, so 1 full year younger than TVR was at the time of the trade) and is coming off a 17 point season. Career stats when traded:

van Riemsdyk: 158, 8-23-31 +12 (0.19 p/gp)
Benning: 205, 14-39-53 +24 (0.26 p/gp)

Both played 3RD and generally win those minutes: Benning has a 54.4 GF% while TVR had a 53.4 GF%, although it's worth noting that TVR played on a better team: Chicago was the 5th best team over that span while Edmonton has been 22nd best during Benning's tenure. For perspective, TVR's GF% was +1.03 relative to his team while Benning's is +5.42. Takeaway: while the two players essentially play the same position, Benning is better at it and is younger - therefore has slightly higher upside. Carolina traded the #62 pick for TVR and Chicago's 2nd round pick is #43, thus making up the difference between the players.


TORONTO:
the Chicago 2nd gets flipped to Toronto along with prospect Micheal McLeod for the rights to Kapanen and Brown. From what I can tell Toronto fans expect a late 1st / early 2nd for Kapanen, while Brown is worth a 4th round pick to me. Therefore I'm offering a mid-2nd (#43 overall) and a prospect who was picked in the 2nd round, #40 overall in 2018. McLeod is a speedy center from Mississauga, ON who played for Mississauga and Saginaw of the OHL this year. He joined the Bakersfield Condors of the AHL for a few of their 2nd round playoff games this spring after Saginaw was eliminated from the OHL playoffs after a 7-game 2nd round series with the OHL champions, the Guelph Storm. He played well in the AHL playoffs despite a step up in competition and unfamiliar teammates, with 3 points and a +2 rating in 5 games. He showed VERY well in the last Oilers camp, nearly making the team in his draft +1 year. In short, 40 + 42 should be similar value to the 28 + 100 that I think these two players are worth. Toronto gets cap relief of nearly $5M and full value back in the pick and prospect.


2019 ENTRY DRAFT:
draft picks are based on this list: https://dobberprospects.com/cam-robinsons-2019-nhl-draft-rankings-april-2019/

#8: Dylan Cozens
#38: Yegor Afanasyev
#85: Jamieson Rees


RESULTS:
despite no Lucic trade, no cap dumps, no buyouts and only 1 UFA signing (backup goalie), I feel like this roster is improved with speed and skill with a minimal negative effect on the pick / prospect pool. McLeod is expendable because McDavid and Draisaitl hold center positions for many years to come, RNH has 2 years left and even Cozens will supersede him on the depth chart. Benning is a valuable part of the roster but theoretically replaceable with a prospect - my idea is to leave the #6 slot open and have a training camp battle between Persson, Lagesson, Jones and Bear to see which one grabs the spot. The other 3 will return to the AHL for the best development opportunity as I don't want any of these young players sitting in the pressbox. I've listed Persson below because he has the highest cap hit of the 4 and I wanted to work with the worst-case scenario.

This team has a pretty good shot at making the playoffs next year.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
1$700,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,400,000
2$1,150,000
2$800,000
3$2,700,000
3$2,600,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$2,500,000
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. Burakovsky, André [RFA Rights]
WSH
  1. 2020 3rd round pick (EDM)
Additional Details:
Conditional on signing
2.
EDM
  1. 2019 2nd round pick (CHI)
3.
TOR
  1. McLeod, Ryan
  2. 2019 2nd round pick (CHI)
Buyouts
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2019
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NYI
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2020
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2021
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,000,000$77,760,332$0$532,500$5,239,668
Left WingCentreRight Wing
$2,600,000$2,600,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,400,000$1,400,000
RW
UFA
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$808,333$808,333 (Performance Bonus$32,500$32K)
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
UFA - 6
$2,700,000$2,700,000
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,100,000$2,100,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,835,000$2,835,000
RW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,250,000$5,250,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,150,000$1,150,000
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,950,000$1,950,000
RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,167,000$4,167,000
LD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,166,666$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,500,000$4,500,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,500,000$1,500,000 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,200,000$3,200,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LD/RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
$2,500,000$2,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$700,000$700,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$675,000$675,000
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$675,000$675,000
LD
UFA - 1

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May 31, 2019 at 4:46 p.m.
#1
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May 31, 2019 at 5:40 p.m.
#2
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What's with the Toronto trade?


Brown = 20 goal rookie in 2016-17 (and a penalty killer)
Kappy = 20 goal rookie in 2018-19 (and a penalty killer)

You think your gonna get them BOTH for two 2nd round picks .... ???

LMAO


Benning for Brown straight up is fair ... but you gotta add a 1st + 2nd for Kapanen ...
May 31, 2019 at 8:54 p.m.
#3
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Only delusional Leafs fans think Connor Brown is worth a 2nd round pick. And Kapanen's numbers were boosted The Matthews Effect, he might be worth a late first / early 2nd by himself. 8th + 38th? Not a chance.

Here's some light reading for our deluded Toronto friends:

https://theathletic.com/994402/2019/05/25/tulloch-projecting-the-next-contracts-for-andreas-johnsson-and-kasperi-kapanen/
CD282 liked this.
Jun. 3, 2019 at 8:50 a.m.
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Quoting: drewjenks

What's with the Toronto trade?


Brown = 20 goal rookie in 2016-17 (and a penalty killer)
Kappy = 20 goal rookie in 2018-19 (and a penalty killer)

You think your gonna get them BOTH for two 2nd round picks .... ???

LMAO


Benning for Brown straight up is fair ... but you gotta add a 1st + 2nd for Kapanen ...


Please show your work, I showed mine above. My take:

Benning is worth a 2nd

Brown is worth a 4th
Kapanen is worth a late 1st (although I have seen Leafs fans on here trading him for a 2nd)

You clearly think I'm wrong, but have nothing substantial to back up your claim.
Jun. 3, 2019 at 4:51 p.m.
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Quoting: drewjenks

What's with the Toronto trade?


Brown = 20 goal rookie in 2016-17 (and a penalty killer)
Kappy = 20 goal rookie in 2018-19 (and a penalty killer)

You think your gonna get them BOTH for two 2nd round picks .... ???

LMAO


Benning for Brown straight up is fair ... but you gotta add a 1st + 2nd for Kapanen ...


Kapanen: https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/231301

38 + 110 is the ask here.

Brown: https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1199038
https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1200435
https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1198186

85 or 100 is a common ask. I'd offer 100 because the Leafs are in a tight spot and Brown isn't on a great contract.

I'd also argue that 38 + 100 + 110 is roughly equal to 40 + 42... I suggested in the Team Explanation that Kapanen + Brown are worth 28 + 100 and some Leafs fans seem to agree.
Jun. 3, 2019 at 4:56 p.m.
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Quoting: TraderJoes
Only delusional Leafs fans think Connor Brown is worth a 2nd round pick. And Kapanen's numbers were boosted The Matthews Effect, he might be worth a late first / early 2nd by himself. 8th + 38th? Not a chance.

Here's some light reading for our deluded Toronto friends:

https://theathletic.com/994402/2019/05/25/tulloch-projecting-the-next-contracts-for-andreas-johnsson-and-kasperi-kapanen/


Good link, thanks. And agreed about the Matthews effect, although I think Kap is a decent player. He certainly isn't driving that line.
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