Edited Jun. 10, 2019 at 2:27 p.m.
Quoting: Bcarlo25
again, if this was last year and he's coming off a 30 goal season, sure. It's not last year, and he's coming off a really bad year. Other teams will offer more, and they'll offer assets that fit more with the rebuild of Minnesota. If the deal happens around the draft, one of the following would need to be involved. A 2019 first round pick or a blue chip prospect. the leafs have neither.
I get what youre saying. Spurgeon is unquestionably worth about a decent NHLer, a 1st, and a prospect, but Im not sure Kadri's year was as bad as many think.
Yes his goals were down, no question, but his S% went down to 8.7% from 15.2% last year and 13.6% the year before, while hitting a similar shot total on a per game basis. Unless you think he become a massively worse shooter, it's a pretty safe assumption he should bounce back. Everything else he did is pretty much right in line with what he has done Cf% at 54.0 vs a career 50.3, CF% rel at 2.7 vs career 1.6, PPG 0.60 vs career 0.64 and 17/18 at 0.69 PPG. xGF/XGA differential was +5.0 vs a career average of +2.48 (17/18 at -2.1, and 16/17 at +5.5). Also the first year playing behind two legit 1Cs, so not that big of a surprise his point total took a bit of a hit.
We saw kevin hayes, a UFA, in a career year get 55 points. He went for a 1st, a 4th, and Brendan Lemieux (former 2nd round pick). I dont know anyone that would say 3 years of kadri is worth less than 20ish games of Hayes and the playoffs. You can even assume kadri repeats what he did in this year for the next 3 years, and it's pretty logical to assume kadri is still unquestionably worth the package the jets gave up for 20 games of hayes and the playoffs. So let's assume Kadri = A 1st, a 4th and Lemieux.
The trade is essentially
Spurgeon and EK for a 1st, a 4th, lemieux, Rosen and a 2nd. That doesnt really seem like an egregious trade at all. Certainly not something to gripe about and say there isnt a snowballs chance in hell of it happening