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Forums/Armchair-GM

Marner is Underpaid

Created by: sammy_daws1997
Team: 2019-20 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 19, 2019
Published: Jun. 19, 2019
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8$100,000,000
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2019
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2020
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2021
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
19$83,000,000$168,659,699$0$0-$85,659,699
Left WingCentreRight Wing
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$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 6
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$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
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$4,500,000$4,500,000
C
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$5,300,000$5,300,000
RW
M-NTC, NMC
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RD
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G
M-NTC
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LD
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$675,000$675,000
RD
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$750,000$750,000
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$863,333$863,333
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Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:02 a.m.
#1
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He better be underpaid compared to what they say he is asking for!
Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:09 a.m.
#2
gregb569
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Quoting: nchest
He better be underpaid compared to what they say he is asking for!


Mitch Marner is gonna make Dubas his ****
nchest liked this.
Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:12 a.m.
#3
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Quoting: gregb569
Mitch Marner is gonna make Dubas his ****


Nylander and Matthews have. Though with some of the deals coming out lately (Karlsson and Hayes), the Nylander deal could look really good after this coming year
Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:15 a.m.
#4
Just Keep Swimming
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Quoting: gregb569
Mitch Marner is gonna make Dubas his ****


I was about to go off in yah but then I clicked on your profile.
applaud



Still only non leaf fans who think Mitch should get way too much (shock)
Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:15 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: nchest
Nylander and Matthews have. Though with some of the deals coming out lately (Karlsson and Hayes), the Nylander deal could look really good after this coming year


Ya I was adamantly against the Nylander deal for a very long time, but if he returns to form next year then it could turn out to be the most team friendly deal of all 3 of the young guys
Random2152 liked this.
Jun. 19, 2019 at 8:17 a.m.
#6
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Quoting: Random2152
I was about to go off in yah but then I clicked on your profile.
applaud



Still only non leaf fans who think Mitch should get way too much (shock)


If someone if willing to pay him 10.5+ then I am totally fine as a leafs fan taking the compensation …
are leaf fans in agreement for that?
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Jun. 19, 2019 at 9:05 a.m.
#7
gregb569
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Quoting: Random2152
I was about to go off in yah but then I clicked on your profile.
applaud



Still only non leaf fans who think Mitch should get way too much (shock)


Kucherov got 11.95% of cap in 2018 when he put up 100pts.
Marner just had 94pts in his contract year.
Marner 11.95% of next years 83m cap would equate to 9.9M. Rough estimate due to the fact that the cap may not be 83m and seeing as Kuch got a *STAGGERING* 6 more pts. Tell me how that works?

Marner is getting every bit of 9.5M plus. Fact. I'll revisit this when I'm right and rub it in your face! wink
Jun. 19, 2019 at 9:40 a.m.
#8
Just Keep Swimming
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Edited Jun. 19, 2019 at 10:47 a.m.
Quoting: gregb569
Kucherov got 11.95% of cap in 2018 when he put up 100pts.
Marner just had 94pts in his contract year.
Marner 11.95% of next years 83m cap would equate to 9.9M. Rough estimate due to the fact that the cap may not be 83m and seeing as Kuch got a *STAGGERING* 6 more pts. Tell me how that works?

Marner is getting every bit of 9.5M plus. Fact. I'll revisit this when I'm right and rub it in your face! wink


Marner got over 90 once. Look at kuch's history.
Also, yeah 9.5 is about right. I'm talking about the people who think marner will get 11+, which you seemed to be arguing he would get on your comment
Jun. 19, 2019 at 10:09 a.m.
#9
gregb569
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Quoting: Random2152
Marner got over 90 once. Look at kuch's history.
Also, yeah 9.5 is about right. I'm talking about the people who think marner will get 11+, which you seemed to be arguing he would get Andes on your comment


Marners first 3 years he's outscored Kuch's first 4 years.. I don't think he's getting 11+ but I think he's going after 10M 100% and I think the leafs will be forced to pay him that TBH.
Jun. 19, 2019 at 10:46 a.m.
#10
Just Keep Swimming
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Quoting: gregb569
Marners first 3 years he's outscored Kuch's first 4 years.. I don't think he's getting 11+ but I think he's going after 10M 100% and I think the leafs will be forced to pay him that TBH.


Yes he did out score Kuch's first few years, but Kuch wasn't paid 8@9.5 after those years. He was given 3@6.53% which would be 3@5 419 900 for Marner. Factor in that Marner out produce Kuch, but also that league scoring is up and he should maybe get 3@6-6.5 going directly off this comparable. Now if you add the equivalent of Matthews year/year savings based off his reported 5@13.8, then you get Marner at 6@8.7, and that is being quite generous saying his years are worth the same as AM.
Jun. 19, 2019 at 11:06 a.m.
#11
gregb569
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Quoting: Random2152
Yes he did out score Kuch's first few years, but Kuch wasn't paid 8@9.5 after those years. He was given 3@6.53% which would be 3@5 419 900 for Marner. Factor in that Marner out produce Kuch, but also that league scoring is up and he should maybe get 3@6-6.5 going directly off this comparable. Now if you add the equivalent of Matthews year/year savings based off his reported 5@13.8, then you get Marner at 6@8.7, and that is being quite generous saying his years are worth the same as AM.


Yes I know that, but the year Kuch signed his big deal and the years 2 prior to that (3 year span which is how long Marner has been in the league) he's outscored Marner by less than 30pts.
That includes Kuch not being a rookie and having 1-2 years NHL exp... not to mention also he most likely took less because of Florida taxes..

Now in terms of value compared to Matthews, Matthews has 205 career pts in 212 games, Marner 241gp to 224pts.
.96ppg Matthews to .93 for Marner. but, take into consideration Marners played almost 30 more games, been more productive in playoffs, healthier, played more mins last year, led the team in scoring the last 2 years, can play PK, etc etc. I think if Matthews is worth 11.6m Marner is not worth a whole 2m less.. comparing the 2 I'd say Marner is worth 10.5 max and 10 would be fair
Jun. 19, 2019 at 11:33 a.m.
#12
Just Keep Swimming
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Quoting: gregb569
Yes I know that, but the year Kuch signed his big deal and the years 2 prior to that (3 year span which is how long Marner has been in the league) he's outscored Marner by less than 30pts.
That includes Kuch not being a rookie and having 1-2 years NHL exp... not to mention also he most likely took less because of Florida taxes..

Now in terms of value compared to Matthews, Matthews has 205 career pts in 212 games, Marner 241gp to 224pts.
.96ppg Matthews to .93 for Marner. but, take into consideration Marners played almost 30 more games, been more productive in playoffs, healthier, played more mins last year, led the team in scoring the last 2 years, can play PK, etc etc. I think if Matthews is worth 11.6m Marner is not worth a whole 2m less.. comparing the 2 I'd say Marner is worth 10.5 max and 10 would be fair


ahh, but now you're comparing apples to oranges and inviting Kuch's multiple top notch seasons into the mix. This is also just a reminder that points are not the only metric used and that many people over value them on CF (and online in general).
In terms of Matthews:
Since entering the league Auston Matthews is:

-1st in EV goals with 83 (4th in all sits)
-1st in EV and All Situations goals/60
-5th in EV points/60 (9th in All Sits)
-2nd in EV primary points/60 (7th in All Sits)

Auston Matthews is absolutely not a comparable for Marner. Marner is extremely overrated (not to say he is bad) and somehow, Matthews is underrated.

Marner has not been more productive in the playoffs. 1 primary EV point this year (the part of his game that everyone says should get him paid). AM has 5 GOALS. Hell Nylander has 3 EV points. Marner's defense is badly overrated as a part of his game.
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