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Predicting Penguin Point Totals

Created by: AlphaHockey65
Team: 2019-20 Pittsburgh Penguins
Initial Creation Date: Jul. 16, 2019
Published: Jul. 16, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Line 1:
McCann (19 goals 35 assists) = 54 points
Crosby (38 goals 59 assists) = 97 points
Guentzel (30 goals 37 assists) = 67 points (shooting percentage normalizes)

Line 2:
Galchenyuk (28 goals 31 assists) = 59 points
Malkin (27 goals 57 assists) = 84 points (in 72 games)
Hornqvist (21 goals 22 assists) = 43 points

Line 3:
Rust (20 goals 16 assists) = 36 points
Bjugstad (21 goals 13 assists) = 34 points
Domenik Kahun (12 goals 28 assists) = 40 points

Line 4:
Tanev (8 goals, 9 assists) = 17 points
Blueger (11 goals, 21 assists) = 32 points
Zackary Aston Reese (12 goals 20 assists) = 32 points
Domenik Simon (5 goals 12 assists) = 17 points (in 47 games)

D1:
Dumoulin (2 goals 27 assists) = 29 points
Letang (17 goals, 50 assists) = 67 points (in 62 games)

D2:
Pettersson (2 goals 22 assists) = 24 points
Schultz (9 goals 40 assists) = 49 points

D3:
Ruhwedel (0 goals 8 assists) = 8 points
Gudbranson (2 goals 7 assists) = 9 points

Total GF = 284
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,025,000
3$2,750,000
Trades
PIT
ANA
  1. Johnson, Jack
Additional Details:
is moved somewhere to sign Pettersson and ZAR
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
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2021
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Logo of the PIT
2022
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$77,632,500$132,500$2,850,000$3,867,500
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$1,250,000$1,250,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$8,700,000$8,700,000
C
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$4,900,000$4,900,000
LW, C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$9,500,000$9,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$5,300,000$5,300,000
RW
NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$2,050,000$2,050,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,850,000$3M)
LW, RW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$750,000$750,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$1,025,000$1,025,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$750,000$750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
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$4,100,000$4,100,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$7,250,000$7,250,000
RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$3,750,000$3,750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$1,250,000$1,250,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$700,000$700,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$4,000,000$4,000,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$850,000$850,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$700,000$700,000
RD
UFA - 2

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Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:14 p.m.
#1
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Simon is gonna play more than 47 games. Crosby and Sullivan likes him. he'll have around 35 points.
Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:14 p.m.
#2
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Quoting: sirsmokesalot412
Simon is gonna play more than 47 games. Crosby and Sullivan likes him. he'll have around 35 points.


Not too sure with the addition of kahun and a healthy ZAR
Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:14 p.m.
#3
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Tanev on the 4th line arleady?
Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:15 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: ClockReads2113
Tanev on the 4th line arleady?


I don't see him passing any other winger on the depth chart
I would even go as far as saying that he will be a healthy scratch at points if every forward is healthy because Sully likes to utilize Simon.

It would be idiotic to scratch ZAR or Kahun lol
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Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:39 p.m.
#5
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The point totals for McCann appear optimistically high considering his highest combined season totals are at 35P (19G, 16A). A 19P increase, while doable, is a solid reach here, especially if Blueger gets some time on that wing. Similarly, Bjustad has only scored over 20G once in his career. I think his point totals are very close, but the goals are too high. On the same vein, Kahun might score more goals because of this, but get fewer assists. I think Rust's season is pretty solidly predicted here, barring injury. Another prediction is a career year for Galchenyuk. I think that's a tough ask in his first year with the team, but I do expect an improvement from his 41P total last year. Should Hornqvist stay healthy, I think you're pretty close though. Your 3rd D pairing predictions look a bit low, but not unreasonable.

Unfortunately, Johnson's contract is negative value for most teams at the moment. It will cost PIT more to move it than you have offered. You're looking at multiple picks/prospects or a solid roster player and a solid pick to do so. 4 years of $3.25 million in space for a negative asset is a tough ask for any team that isn't on the complete rebuild.

This was a fun one though. Good analysis on the players. Thanks!
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Jul. 16, 2019 at 3:54 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: valiqs
The point totals for McCann appear optimistically high considering his highest combined season totals are at 35P (19G, 16A). A 19P increase, while doable, is a solid reach here, especially if Blueger gets some time on that wing. Similarly, Bjustad has only scored over 20G once in his career. I think his point totals are very close, but the goals are too high. On the same vein, Kahun might score more goals because of this, but get fewer assists. I think Rust's season is pretty solidly predicted here, barring injury. Another prediction is a career year for Galchenyuk. I think that's a tough ask in his first year with the team, but I do expect an improvement from his 41P total last year. Should Hornqvist stay healthy, I think you're pretty close though. Your 3rd D pairing predictions look a bit low, but not unreasonable.

Unfortunately, Johnson's contract is negative value for most teams at the moment. It will cost PIT more to move it than you have offered. You're looking at multiple picks/prospects or a solid roster player and a solid pick to do so. 4 years of $3.25 million in space for a negative asset is a tough ask for any team that isn't on the complete rebuild.

This was a fun one though. Good analysis on the players. Thanks!


Thanks for the input. I agree i'm pretty high on McCann. I think if he finds a permanent spot on Sid's wing, he's set for a career year!
One could only hope that they somehow move Johnson's deal
Jul. 16, 2019 at 5:29 p.m.
#7
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Last year Jugs and Horny played really well together. I don't think they split that pair up. I think their corsi together was something like 64%.

I think Rust, Kahun or Tanev will get that 2RW spot to start the season.
 
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