Forums/Armchair-GM

The darkest timeline

Created by: BeterChiarelli
Initial Creation Date: Jul 23, 2019
Published: Jul 23, 2019 at 11:43 am
Team: 2019-20 Edmonton Oilers
Team Explanation
Made during the day of the NHL draft after Edmonton makes their top-5 selection. McDavidly quietly asks to be moved before July after the Oilers have another horrible season.

Detroit makes some sense as to a landing spot: has the assets to acquire McDavid, the pocketbook to pay him, and the position and assets that he could be contending (and closer to home) sooner than he might in Edmonton.

I so horribly want more than this as a return but anything more and it likely doesn't go through.
Trades
EDM
  1. Athanasiou, Andreas
  2. Mantha, Anthony
  3. Seider, Moritz
  4. Zadina, Filip
DET
  1. McDavid, Connor
Buyouts
  • Andrej Sekera: $2,500,000
  • Benoit Pouliot: $1,333,333
  • Eric Gryba: $300,000
Retained Salary Transactions
  • Milan Lucic: $750,000 (13%)
  • Sam Gagner: $315,000 (10%)
Buried
  • Kyle Brodziak: $75,000 ($1,150,000)
  • Brandon Manning: $1,175,000 ($2,250,000)
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
2021
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
2022
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$71,831,166$0$3,307,500$9,668,834
Left WingCenterRight Wing
DET
Zadina, Filip
$894,167
LW, RW
RFA - 3
EDM
Draisaitl, Leon
$8,500,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 6
DET
Mantha, Anthony
$3,300,000
RW, LW
RFA - 1
DET
Athanasiou, Andreas
$3,000,000
C, LW, RW
RFA - 1
EDM
Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan
$6,000,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
EDM
Neal, James
$5,750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 4
EDM
Nygård, Joakim
$925,000
LW
UFA - 1
EDM
Gagner, Sam
$2,835,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
EDM
Chiasson, Alex
$2,150,000
RW
UFA - 2
EDM
Granlund, Markus
$1,300,000
RW, LW, C
UFA - 1
EDM
Haas, Gaëtan
$925,000
C
UFA - 1
EDM
Kassian, Zack
$1,950,000
RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
EDM
Klefbom, Oscar
$4,167,000
LD
UFA - 4
EDM
Larsson, Adam
$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 2
EDM
Koskinen, Mikko
$4,500,000
G
NTC
UFA - 3
EDM
Nurse, Darnell
$3,200,000
LD
UFA - 1
EDM
Benning, Matthew
$1,900,000
RD
RFA - 1
EDM
Smith, Mike
$2,000,000
G
NTC
UFA - 1
EDM
Jones, Caleb
$720,000
LD
RFA - 1
EDM
Russell, Kris
$4,000,000
RD
NMC NTC
UFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
EDM
Khaira, Jujhar
$1,200,000
C, LW
RFA - 2
EDM
Archibald, Josh
$1,000,000
RW
UFA - 1
EDM
Persson, Joel
$1,000,000
RD
RFA - 1

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Jul 23, 2019 at 11:51
#1
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 1,745
Likes: 795
As a DET fan this makes me so conflicted.
Hischier4Captain liked this.
Jul 23, 2019 at 11:56
#2
EthanBearForVezina
Joined: Nov 2018
Posts: 966
Likes: 337
Oilers will make the playoffs next season, no need to trade Mcdavid
Jul 23, 2019 at 12:02
#3
Thread Starter
Hey Beter
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 2,106
Likes: 608
Quoting: feds91stammer
As a DET fan this makes me so conflicted.


Which means I probably did a pretty good job on the value.

Quoting: EthanBearForVezina
Oilers will make the playoffs next season, no need to trade Mcdavid


This season or 2020-21? Because it's not happening this season.
ColonelX and Hischier4Captain liked this.
Jul 23, 2019 at 12:03
#4
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 1,745
Likes: 795
Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Which means I probably did a pretty good job on the value.



This season or 2020-21? Because it's not happening this season.


You inspired an ACGM of my own based on this
Jul 23, 2019 at 12:07
#5
Joined: Jul 2019
Posts: 288
Likes: 121
Oh god that would make quite a wave and is actually pretty fair IMO.
Jul 23, 2019 at 12:07
#6
EthanBearForVezina
Joined: Nov 2018
Posts: 966
Likes: 337
Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Which means I probably did a pretty good job on the value.



This season or 2020-21? Because it's not happening this season.


This season. They added some solid depth piece and I think Neal will have a 20 goal campaign.
Hischier4Captain liked this.
Jul 23, 2019 at 12:21
#7
Thread Starter
Hey Beter
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 2,106
Likes: 608
Quoting: EthanBearForVezina
This season. They added some solid depth piece and I think Neal will have a 20 goal campaign.


Based on what? Sure the bottom six isnt composed entirely of AHL players now, but I'd hardly call the acquisition of fourth liners an improvement. The blueline is predominantly unchanged with the exception that we know Sekera wont be there all season (which was relatively disastrous, he and Klefbom are the only two on that blueline that can legitimately pass the biscuit) and that Jones might be able to string a season together on the bottom pair. The goaltending is arguably just as bad, if not worse, than last season, and nothing else was done to address scoring up front.

There is no reason to assume Neal will actually perform well here. He didn't in Calgary and the biggest thing going for him right now is that he's not Lucic. I'd be happy with 15.

Do remember that last year saw everyone of our big three hit career highs. Chiasson had a bender of a first half. Is that really going to happen again or is Edmonton more likely to be a lottery team?
Jul 23, 2019 at 6:58
#8
EthanBearForVezina
Joined: Nov 2018
Posts: 966
Likes: 337
Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Based on what? Sure the bottom six isnt composed entirely of AHL players now, but I'd hardly call the acquisition of fourth liners an improvement. The blueline is predominantly unchanged with the exception that we know Sekera wont be there all season (which was relatively disastrous, he and Klefbom are the only two on that blueline that can legitimately pass the biscuit) and that Jones might be able to string a season together on the bottom pair. The goaltending is arguably just as bad, if not worse, than last season, and nothing else was done to address scoring up front.

There is no reason to assume Neal will actually perform well here. He didn't in Calgary and the biggest thing going for him right now is that he's not Lucic. I'd be happy with 15.

Do remember that last year saw everyone of our big three hit career highs. Chiasson had a bender of a first half. Is that really going to happen again or is Edmonton more likely to be a lottery team?


Reider had 0 goals last year, Brodziak had 6. Strome had 2 points in 18 games and spooner had 3 points in 25 games. I highly doubt that type of production from the bottom 6 will repeat with the additions of Granlund, Archibald, and not to mention gagner producing at a 30 point pace last season. As for Neal, even if he scores 15 goals that will be an upgrade over what lucic gave the oilers as a top 6 winger. As for goaltending, Koskinen has shown he can be streaky. He had a great stretch which led to his contract extension. Smith on the other hand had a solid end of the season and was exceptional for the flames in the playoffs. Obviously it’s not going to be pretty but I think this team can squeeze into a wildcard spot.
Jul 23, 2019 at 8:18
#9
Thread Starter
Hey Beter
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 2,106
Likes: 608
Quoting: EthanBearForVezina
Reider had 0 goals last year, Brodziak had 6. Strome had 2 points in 18 games and spooner had 3 points in 25 games. I highly doubt that type of production from the bottom 6 will repeat with the additions of Granlund, Archibald, and not to mention gagner producing at a 30 point pace last season. As for Neal, even if he scores 15 goals that will be an upgrade over what lucic gave the oilers as a top 6 winger. As for goaltending, Koskinen has shown he can be streaky. He had a great stretch which led to his contract extension. Smith on the other hand had a solid end of the season and was exceptional for the flames in the playoffs. Obviously it’s not going to be pretty but I think this team can squeeze into a wildcard spot.


Whatever McDavid, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, and Chiasson losemout on production is likely to be made up by the bottom 6. You cant strictly isolate just on the bottom 6. It's so unlikely that all 4 guys have career years again. The net total is still likely to be close to zero.

Smith is 37 years old. He's on the wrong side of 35, and if you feel that you have to buy into every move the team makes, then so be it. But there were better options available on the market despite how bad the market really was. Koskinen is a seive on the road: is the expectation that he only plays at home at his price point?

Every team in the central is better. Vancouver got objectively better this summer. Arizona got objectively better. Only Anaheim and Los Angeles remained stagnant, and if Anaheim has a better season health-wise, Edmonton WILL finish 14th in the west, only ahead of the Kings. McDavid would need a 140pt+ season for this team to make the playoffs and even then, what's the point?
 
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