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The Avs are lowballing Rantanen and it looks bad

Created by: Howyoudrouinnn
Team: 2019-20 Colorado Avalanche
Initial Creation Date: Sep. 20, 2019
Published: Sep. 20, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Apparently they're seeking to sign Mikko Rantanen for a 6 to 8 year deal in the AAV range of $8.4M to $8.75M......

Here come all the "trade for Rantanen" AGMs
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
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Logo of the COL
2021
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Logo of the COL
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Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
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2022
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Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$65,084,761$0$3,532,500$16,415,239
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$5,571,429$5,571,429
LW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
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$6,300,000$6,300,000
C
UFA - 4
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$3,900,000$3,900,000
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,250,000$3,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$4,500,000$4,500,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,500,000$3,500,000
C, RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,850,000$2,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,600,000$2,600,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$1,975,000$1,975,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$885,833$885,833 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
C
UFA - 1
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$1,800,000$1,800,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
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$750,000$750,000
C
RFA - 1
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$850,000$850,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
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$3,450,000$3,450,000
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,333,333$3,333,333
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,200,000$3,200,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$950,000$950,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$1,450,000$1,450,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$1,375,000$1,375,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$735,000$735,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$728,333$728,333 (Performance Bonus$182,500$182K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1

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Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:27 a.m.
#1
Jah1722
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No they aren’t and no it doesn’t look bad.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:28 a.m.
#2
Insta Kempe_is_saad`
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Quoting: Jah1722
No they aren’t and no it doesn’t look bad.


give him $6.9M and he will sign for sure
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:30 a.m.
#3
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Quoting: Jah1722
No they aren’t and no it doesn’t look bad.


His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:31 a.m.
#4
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.


What?
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:32 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: bhavikp27
What?


Most people believe Mikko Rantanen is a better player than Mitch Marner.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:33 a.m.
#6
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
Most people believe Mikko Rantanen is a better player than Mitch Marner.


Who? And he is not lol
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:34 a.m.
#7
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.


if they use an overpaid player like marner as a comparable then sakic should use an underpaid player like pastrnak as a comparable. Rantanen has no business making 11 per year
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:35 a.m.
#8
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Quoting: moli92
if they use an overpaid player like marner as a comparable then sakic should use an underpaid player like pastrnak as a comparable. Rantanen has no business making 11 per year


Should make more than 9 though.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:36 a.m.
#9
Dr.
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That doesn't look bad at all. That looks a lot better than 10.5+
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:36 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
Should make more than 9 though.


i agree. i think 9.5 is fair
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Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:53 a.m.
#11
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This news is actually not bad from my perspective. I thought they were offering something like 10.5 and he was turning it down. I was, and still am, totally fine with a contract in the 9.75 range and from what we are hearing, they are offering contracts much lower than that, which means that a reasonable contract is probably what he ends up signing. 8.5 for a guy that has put up 84 and 87 point seasons is a totally fair contract, I don't care how much Toronto decided to overpay Marner, but I am also fine with something closer to 10 if it means locking him down for 7 years.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 11:56 a.m.
#12
Jah1722
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.


Only thing that looks bad is you making claims false claims about the hockey world.

Also saying he should get 9.5 and being upset that COL offered 8.75 isn’t a good look either. It’s a negotiation.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:01 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: moli92
if they use an overpaid player like marner as a comparable then sakic should use an underpaid player like pastrnak as a comparable. Rantanen has no business making 11 per year


But that is not even a fair comparison to make right now...... Pastrnak signed that contract in 2017 and did after only one 70 point season under his belt......... If he had signed that deal this year than by all means but he didn't.

Choose players that signed lowish contracts this year to make a fair comparison. Meier got 6M for one 60 point season. Keller got a 7.15M contract extension for one 60 point season. Rantanen at 9.5 isn't a happy medium. His point totals are higher than almost anyone elses the past 10-20 years other than players like McDavid, Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, etc during their first 240 games under the age of 23.

Rantanen can choose to take less but he certainly doesn't have to. He's earned 10M/ year EASILY.
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Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:07 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.


The biggest difference is that COL doesnt want to pay him so much more than Mac, Im guessing he gets 9.1ish
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:22 p.m.
#15
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they arent low balling him, when you consider

Rantanen 239gm 80g 129a 209pts aav????
Marner 241gm 67g 157a 225pts aav 10.983m
Aho 242gm 83g 114a 197pts aav 8.454m

Its the bottom of what they are trying to do as a comp....Aho under valued himself signing that offersheet and Leafs over paid for marner. Shocker they will meet int he middle when the smoke clears
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:24 p.m.
#16
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Quoting: shmoeman
The biggest difference is that COL doesnt want to pay him so much more than Mac, Im guessing he gets 9.1ish


false, false, false.
Its not paying more than Mack, its making sure they dont make life harder on themselves with, Landy, Makar, Jost, Grubi contracts up in 2 years, Kadri up in 3, Mack up in 4, Its making sure they give them the best chance of keep all their own
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:25 p.m.
#17
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Quoting: F50marco
But that is not even a fair comparison to make right now...... Pastrnak signed that contract in 2017 and did after only one 70 point season under his belt......... If he had signed that deal this year than by all means but he didn't.

Choose players that signed lowish contracts this year to make a fair comparison. Meier got 6M for one 60 point season. Keller got a 7.15M contract extension for one 60 point season. Rantanen at 9.5 isn't a happy medium. His point totals are higher than almost anyone elses the past 10-20 years other than players like McDavid, Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, etc during their first 240 games under the age of 23.

Rantanen can choose to take less but he certainly doesn't have to. He's earned 10M/ year EASILY.


thats the point... Im just exaggerating how absurd it is to use marners overpayment as a comparable...

His point totals are inflated by the increase in scoring. Look at last year - over 30 player scored at or above a point per game pace compared to 3,4,5 years ago when there was under 10
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:26 p.m.
#18
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
His agent has stated that he and Rantanen believe they're a comparable to Marner. Most of the hockey world believes Rantanen is better than Marner.

And they're offering him a long term team that buys up UFA years at 8.75

Yeah, that looks bad.


youre a montreal fan who doesnt have a very strong grasp on whats going on with this and the Avs, to be honest you are the only one who is saying this looks bad bc you are trying to create something out of nothing
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:45 p.m.
#19
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I'll trust the media outlets at TSN and Sportsnet, etc over people on AGM who think they know what they're talking about. LOL
Sep. 20, 2019 at 12:56 p.m.
#20
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Quoting: moli92
thats the point... Im just exaggerating how absurd it is to use marners overpayment as a comparable...

His point totals are inflated by the increase in scoring. Look at last year - over 30 player scored at or above a point per game pace compared to 3,4,5 years ago when there was under 10


Marner's contract is an overpayment. I'm not sure where people are confusing me saying it isn't. Simply pointing out comparisons based on scoring/age/historical data and Marner whether you like it or is a comparison now that he signed that contract. It may be the high end of the spectrum but it is a comparison.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 1:49 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: F50marco
Marner's contract is an overpayment. I'm not sure where people are confusing me saying it isn't. Simply pointing out comparisons based on scoring/age/historical data and Marner whether you like it or is a comparison now that he signed that contract. It may be the high end of the spectrum but it is a comparison.


I can agree with this. My point is that just because he is a comparable doesn't mean that he is a good comparable.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 2:00 p.m.
#22
Jah1722
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Quoting: Howyoudrouinnn
I'll trust the media outlets at TSN and Sportsnet, etc over people on AGM who think they know what they're talking about. LOL


The irony is you don’t know what you’re talking about. No one thinks he’s being lowballed and no one is upset besides you.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 2:07 p.m.
#23
LongtimeLeafsufferer
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Players salaries shouldn't be based on team comparable but league comparables. Aho signed 8.45 X 5, now even if that was an underpay Matthews and Marner are overpays.
shmoeman above suggested 9.1m. That might be fair, if any player, agent, team wants to fair in negotiations.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 2:52 p.m.
#24
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Quoting: moli92
I can agree with this. My point is that just because he is a comparable doesn't mean that he is a good comparable.


By that same token, anyone making in the 8-9M range isn't quite either though. There are only a handful of players in the NHL who have produced as much as Rantanen has during that same age period. He and Marner are trend setters unfortunately. That is why its causing such a rift. The guys GM's are pointing to didn't produce as much as Mikko has. The player Mikko's agent is using is the guy who has similar production and just signed a over payment. Finding the happy medium will come down to one team willing to take a knee and just signing already. If its Rant, he'll get Draisaitl money. If its Sakic, it'll be 10M range.
Sep. 20, 2019 at 4:05 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: F50marco
By that same token, anyone making in the 8-9M range isn't quite either though. There are only a handful of players in the NHL who have produced as much as Rantanen has during that same age period. He and Marner are trend setters unfortunately. That is why its causing such a rift. The guys GM's are pointing to didn't produce as much as Mikko has. The player Mikko's agent is using is the guy who has similar production and just signed a over payment. Finding the happy medium will come down to one team willing to take a knee and just signing already. If its Rant, he'll get Draisaitl money. If its Sakic, it'll be 10M range.


the reason that there arent many players that have produced as much as rantanen at a young age is because scoring has gone up league wide. 3 years ago there were under 10 players who scored at a point per game rate, compared to over 30 players last season... Young players score at a point per game pace and then try to directly compare their points to someone elses points from a time period in which scoring was way lower.

Draisaitl scored 77 points in 82 games (0.94P/GP) the season before his 8.5M deal (11.33% of cap at the time) kicked in. That placed him 10th in the entire league in points per game (among players who played more than 30 games).

Rantanen scored 87 points in 74 games (1.18P/GP) last season. That placed him 12th in the entire league in points per game (among players who played more than 30 games).

Rantanen can argue that he is way better than Draisaitl by taking points per game completely out of context and comparing 1.18 to 0.94 directly, but if you put it in context they are very similar. If you adjust for the increase in scoring I think Draisaitl's deal is very comparable for Rantanen. Drai's 11.33% of the cap translates to 9.23M.

Draisaitl's deal isnt a lowball for Rantanen. Its right on the money.
 
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