Edited Sep. 23, 2019 at 3:53 p.m.
Quoting: drewjenks
Honestly ... I'm a Leaf fan ... and there's zero chance Point end's up with Marner type money over the next 6 years:
Mitch Marner
6 Year AAV = $10,890,000
Brayden Point
Year 1 (Contract 1) = $6,750,000
Year 2 (Contract 1) = $6,750,000
Year 3 (Contract 1) = $6,750,000
Year 4 (Contract 2) = $15,030,000
Year 5 (Contract 2) = $15,030,000
Year 6 (Contract 2) = $15,030,000
6 Year AAV = $10,890,000
If Tampa can keep Point's next cap-hit under $15,030,000 and his term over 2 years ... they'll come out laughing.
And if I had to guess ... I'd guess that Point's next contract will look very similar to Marner's current contract.
I disagree with that. The income tax calculator (which does factor in jock tax) shows Point paying ~39.13% in taxes since there's no state income tax, so $3.195M this year, $3.625M next year, $5.331M in the last year for a total of $12.151 over these 3 years after taxes but before agent fees and escrow.
Marner gets $7.464M, $6.999M, $4.842M, $3.746Mx3 for $30.543M. That's an extra $18.392M over 3 years or $6.131M per year. The salary cap should be significantly higher by then. He surpasses Marner's earnings if he gets $10.2Mx3 ($4.8M salary, 5.4M bonus) over that 3 year period. Again, everything is using the capfriendly tax estimate tool and assuming 0 escrow and 0 agent fees for both guys.
Edit: I'm not saying it will definitely happen, but saying there's 0 chance he ends up with Marner type money to me seems inaccurate. Even if he gets exactly his 9Mx3 with no bonuses (important for jock tax since there's no income tax in Tampa) he'd only wind up $2.4M shy in post-tax, pre-escrow/fees income which is 92.14% of Marner's earnings, which I would consider to be 'Marner type money.'