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Quarter Season Evaluation

Created by: leaflet
Team: 2019-20 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Nov. 18, 2019
Published: Nov. 18, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
My evaluation of skaters at the quarter-season mark. In part based on statistics from evolving hockey (offensive contribution EVO at even strength, defensive contribution EVD at even strength, and expected wins above replacement) and pre-season expectations.

Both Nylander and Matthews stand out in both the offensive and defensive categories. Ceci is the best defensive player by every metric. Muzzin and Holl had decent stints.

The second and fourth line struggle coping against top opposition, and our two elite offensive defensemen clearly struggle in their zone. Marner's production at 5v5 has been abysmal so far. Combined with subpar goaltending, this reflects the rough start of the season.

# Player Evaluation
1 Auston Matthews A
2 William Nylander A
3 Kasperi Kapanen A-
4 Cody Ceci A-
5 Alex Kerfoot B+
6 Justin Holl B+
7 Jake Muzzin B+
8 Ilya Mikheyev B
9 Nicholas Shore C+
10 Frederik Gauthier C+
11 John Tavares C
12 Andreas Johnsson C
13 Mitch Marner C
14 Trevor Moore C
15 Morgan Rielly C-
16 Tyson Barrie D

# Player EVO EVD xWAR
1 Auston Matthews 4.8 0.5 1.1
2 William Nylander 2.9 0.6 0.6
3 Kasperi Kapanen 1.5 0.2 0.3
4 Cody Ceci 0.6 0.8 0
5 Alex Kerfoot 0.9 0.5 0.1
6 Justin Holl 0.2 0.4 0
7 Jake Muzzin 1.1 0.1 0.3
8 Ilya Mikheyev 0.4 -0.4 0.1
9 Nicholas Shore -0.2 -0.2 -0.3
10 Frederik Gauthier -0.3 -0.5 -0.2
11 John Tavares 1.3 -0.6 0.3
12 Andreas Johnsson -0.3 -0.9 -0.1
13 Mitch Marner -0.3 0 0
14 Trevor Moore -0.7 -0.6 -0.1
15 Morgan Rielly 1.2 -0.4 0
16 Tyson Barrie -0.8 -0.9 -0.2
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CBJ
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the STL
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2022
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$72,604,143$0$70,000$8,895,857
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,634,000$11,634,000
C
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,200,000$3,200,000
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$775,000$775,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$775,000$775,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$750,000$750,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$675,000$675,000
C
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,500,000$4,500,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,750,000$2,750,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$675,000$675,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$863,333$863,333
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$675,000$675,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$694,444$694,444 (Performance Bonus$70,000$70K)
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, C, RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$10,893,000$10,893,000
RW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,300,000$5,300,000
RW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,250,000$5,250,000
RW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1

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Nov. 18, 2019 at 1:11 a.m.
#1
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Joined: Aug. 2017
Posts: 1,717
Likes: 543
You can never have too much mayo on a sandwich!
Nov. 18, 2019 at 5:49 a.m.
#2
Molson beer is meh
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Joined: Jan. 2017
Posts: 3,815
Likes: 1,734
Proof advanced analytics isn’t everything....Ceci is at #4.....
 
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