I put math in hockey
Joined: Jun. 2018
Posts: 624
Likes: 167
Realistically, Hall this year has a value greater than Breadman last year. Comparable scoring rates over the last few years (in the midst of this down year, Hall's just 3 points off a ppg pace with a shooting percentage less than half his career average. If he scores at more typical rates for him, he'll be a ppg player easy) Hall's analytics are also better than Breadman's and he's got 1 more Hart trophy on his resume. Panarin banked an 11.5 million dollar contract after EvolvingWild's model predicted an 11 million dollar deal. Projecting Hall anywhere under ten million is pretty ludicrous.
I question the decision to ditch Kulak and Tatar. Kulak's put up solid offensive and defensive results over the last few years. He's nobody's idea of a star, but he's a heck of a lot better than, say, Alzner, and is definitely the team's best defensive LHD.
Tatar, meanwhile, is a very solid forward on a decent contract. If you need to clear cap space and ink a big name like Hall, it probably makes more sense to pony up the assets to dump the big bad contracts (Alzner, Price on the off chance anyone will even consider it, maybe Weber) as opposed to dumping 2 guys who's combined GAR at evens since the start of 2017 is actually higher than Hall's (Hall beats them combined by his very impressive 11.9 Powerpaly offence number.)
Montreal could definitely use Hall. I don't think this is how they get him.