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Sacrificing Marner

Created by: AnalyticsGeek
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Jan. 13, 2020
Published: Jan. 13, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
This is not at all realistic, so don't take it serious but I had the idea that the Leafs can part ways with one of their core forwards in order to get cap space for a good defence and goalie. This would improve the team overall and generate some much needed stability.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$5,000,000
5$4,500,000
2$2,200,000
3$2,300,000
2$1,200,000
2$800,000
2$800,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
7$9,000,000
7$8,000,000
Trades
1.
TOR
  1. Murray, Matt [RFA Rights]
  2. Pettersson, Marcus [RFA Rights]
  3. 2020 1st round pick (PIT)
  4. 2021 2nd round pick (PIT)
2.
TOR
  1. 2020 1st round pick (MTL)
Additional Details:
Top 10 Lottery Protected
3.
TOR
  1. 2020 1st round pick (DET)
DET
  1. Murray, Matt
Additional Details:
Top 20 Protected
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the DET
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CBJ
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the STL
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2022
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$84,000,000$83,610,116$0$400,000$389,884

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,200,000$2,200,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,640,250$11,640,250
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,200,000$1,200,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, C, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,200,000$3,200,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$800,000$800,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$775,000$775,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
UFA - 7
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,300,000$2,300,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,000,000$2,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
$8,000,000$8,000,000
G
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$894,167$894,167
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
RD
RFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$800,000$800,000
C
UFA - 1

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Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:21 p.m.
#1
KFTW
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Marner and Andersen for Gibson and Kase.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:24 p.m.
#2
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Quoting: csick
Marner and Andersen for Gibson and Kase.


While the value is probably close, I don't see Anaheim being a good fit for Marner, therefore Anaheim declines from moving one of the best goalies in the league.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:26 p.m.
#3
KFTW
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
While the value is probably close, I don't see Anaheim being a good fit for Marner, therefore Anaheim declines from moving one of the best goalies in the league.


Anaheim is looking for elite forward talent which is exactly what they need. But I agree that Gibson is probably untouchable. But I mean so is Marner
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:30 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: csick
Anaheim is looking for elite forward talent which is exactly what they need. But I agree that Gibson is probably untouchable. But I mean so is Marner


That's right, both guys are untouchable that is why it's an unrealistic situation. However, I am starting to see that the Leafs might need to move one of their core forward pieces if they seriously want to improve that defence and goaltending situation long term.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:38 p.m.
#5
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Really my friend, you should stop with your Marner thoughts, they are not at all correct. Marner is 22 has scored 94 points in a season and is on pace for a similar season over 82 games. Paying top dollar for a top contributor isn't a problem. He is not an overpaid no value player, that is just ridiculous.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:38 p.m.
#6
Shibbal18
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Youre on something if you think youre getting a 1st for Murray, especially from Buffalo. Pitt would have done that already
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:41 p.m.
#7
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This is probably the most realistic scenerio that the Leafs will need to come to terms with...almost impossible to carry half the teams payroll with 4 forwards (Matthews, Tavares, Marner, & Nylander) and expect long term results. Lehner on a good team with a couple good D additions would probably put Leafs over the hurdle.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:46 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Really my friend, you should stop with your Marner thoughts, they are not at all correct. Marner is 22 has scored 94 points in a season and is on pace for a similar season over 82 games. Paying top dollar for a top contributor isn't a problem. He is not an overpaid no value player, that is just ridiculous.


I agree with you that Marner is a terrific player. That's why he's able to get an excellent return if he were exposed on the trade market. I just don't see how the Leafs can keep all four of their top forwards if they want to get significant improvements on defence and in goal. It sure seems like they need it.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:51 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: Shibbal18
Youre on something if you think youre getting a 1st for Murray, especially from Buffalo. Pitt would have done that already


I think the Penguins are keeping Murray because they believe he can be a contributor until the end of the season. He's played well the last few games and is a legit starting netminder who's realistically only had 2 bad seasons. Keep in mind Corey Schneider got traded for Bo Horvat, and Martin Jones got a 1st round pick. There is no doubt Murray has value, especially since he won 2 cups.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 3:54 p.m.
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Quoting: Bluejackets2000
This is probably the most realistic scenerio that the Leafs will need to come to terms with...almost impossible to carry half the teams payroll with 4 forwards (Matthews, Tavares, Marner, & Nylander) and expect long term results. Lehner on a good team with a couple good D additions would probably put Leafs over the hurdle.


I agree if the Leafs want a legitimate improvement defensively and in goal, it's hard to not think they would have to part with one of their forwards.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:13 p.m.
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
I agree with you that Marner is a terrific player. That's why he's able to get an excellent return if he were exposed on the trade market. I just don't see how the Leafs can keep all four of their top forwards if they want to get significant improvements on defence and in goal. It sure seems like they need it.


Its all a hot take, the team is young and has been injured a lot this season. All things considering and keeping in mind they have two blue chippers in Sandin and Liljegren, they are not in rough shape. Lets all just stop overreacting to whatever perceived crisis is blowing up the internet and just breath through it. Nothing is ever as bad as it seems or as good as it seems, until you win the cup, then its that good.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:14 p.m.
#12
Shibbal18
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
I think the Penguins are keeping Murray because they believe he can be a contributor until the end of the season. He's played well the last few games and is a legit starting netminder who's realistically only had 2 bad seasons. Keep in mind Corey Schneider got traded for Bo Horvat, and Martin Jones got a 1st round pick. There is no doubt Murray has value, especially since he won 2 cups.


Schneider was a legit all star caliber goalie who was at the top of the league till injuries caught up with him, and Jones was projected to be one of the best in the league and took the Sharks to the finals. How they play years after the trades doesnt affect their value back then. Murray was back seat driver the first year only playing 13 games in the regular season then coming in fresh in the playoffs, then again in the next year only playing half the playoff games. Then fell off after Fluery went to Vegas and wasnt their to spot him anymore. Both Jones and Schneider were on an upwards trajectory when traded, Murray is the opposite
Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:21 p.m.
#13
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Edited Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:29 p.m.
Quoting: Shibbal18
Schneider was a legit all star caliber goalie who was at the top of the league till injuries caught up with him, and Jones was projected to be one of the best in the league and took the Sharks to the finals. How they play years after the trades doesnt affect their value back then. Murray was back seat driver the first year only playing 13 games in the regular season then coming in fresh in the playoffs, then again in the next year only playing half the playoff games. Then fell off after Fluery went to Vegas and wasnt their to spot him anymore. Both Jones and Schneider were on an upwards trajectory when traded, Murray is the opposite


Murray is 25 and has led his team to 2 cups. Don’t act like that is nothing. He has a lot of value and potential left in him. Sheary is the worst player in the league and the Penguins traded him for a 4th round pick. Would’ve got more if they weren’t dumping Hunwick.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:25 p.m.
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
I disagree. Murray is 25 and has led his team to 2 cups. He has a lot of value and potential, much more than Schneider and Jones at the time.


Not that value for Buffalo . We have our goalie of the future in the system thanks
Jan. 13, 2020 at 4:50 p.m.
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Detroit isn't giving up a 1st for Murray who over the last 3 seasons has been extremely average.
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 5:03 p.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Its all a hot take, the team is young and has been injured a lot this season. All things considering and keeping in mind they have two blue chippers in Sandin and Liljegren, they are not in rough shape. Lets all just stop overreacting to whatever perceived crisis is blowing up the internet and just breath through it. Nothing is ever as bad as it seems or as good as it seems, until you win the cup, then its that good.


Yes you are right.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 5:05 p.m.
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Quoting: aedoran
Detroit isn't giving up a 1st for Murray who over the last 3 seasons has been extremely average.


The pick is lottery protected, so if it’s 20th or lower, they get to keep it. Murray is a great goalie. Didn’t have a good first half but he’s bouncing back. Last season, he was good. Posted a near 92 percent save percentage (93% in the second half). He will be crucial for the Penguins the rest of the season.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 5:10 p.m.
#18
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
The pick is lottery protected, so if it’s 20th or lower, they get to keep it. Murray is a great goalie. Didn’t have a good first half but he’s bouncing back. Last season, he was good. Posted a near 92 percent save percentage (93% in the second half). He will be crucial for the Penguins the rest of the season.


Over the last 3 seasons with goalies that have played at least 20 games he is 37th in GAA and 36th in SV% and that is out of 75 goalies.

Goalies over the last 3 seasons

With the Wings being 12 points behind the next worst team and pretty much have a lock on that bottom spot they won't be picking worse than 4th.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 5:27 p.m.
#19
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Quoting: aedoran
Over the last 3 seasons with goalies that have played at least 20 games he is 37th in GAA and 36th in SV% and that is out of 75 goalies.

Goalies over the last 3 seasons

With the Wings being 12 points behind the next worst team and pretty much have a lock on that bottom spot they won't be picking worse than 4th.


That’s because he had a terrible 2017/18 season. It really dragged his stats down. But one season doesn’t make him bad overall.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 5:36 p.m.
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
That’s because he had a terrible 2017/18 season. It really dragged his stats down. But one season doesn’t make him bad overall.


You do realize his numbers so far this season are worse than the 2017-2018 season.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 6:00 p.m.
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Quoting: aedoran
You do realize his numbers so far this season are worse than the 2017-2018 season.


Yes I’m aware. So it’s mostly 2017/18 and the first half of this season. Let’s wait until the end of 2019/20 to see how high his value can get.
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 6:10 p.m.
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
Yes I’m aware. So it’s mostly 2017/18 and the first half of this season. Let’s wait until the end of 2019/20 to see how high his value can get.


Ok but the Wings have bigger needs than a goalie like defensemen. Detroit's 2 best defensemen are Hronek and Nemeth and Cholowski is getting close but he's not there yet. The Wing's have played like 15 defensemen this season. So why bring in a goalie that is just going to get shelled? if AA does get traded it will be for a good young defensemen of a good prospect.
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 6:21 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: aedoran
Ok but the Wings have bigger needs than a goalie like defensemen. Detroit's 2 best defensemen are Hronek and Nemeth and Cholowski is getting close but he's not there yet. The Wing's have played like 15 defensemen this season. So why bring in a goalie that is just going to get shelled? if AA does get traded it will be for a good young defensemen of a good prospect.


Then I should’ve included Pettersson in the deal as well.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 7:39 p.m.
#24
arky
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Wings in no place to trade a 1st round pick
Jan. 13, 2020 at 7:48 p.m.
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Quoting: mikearky
Wings in no place to trade a 1st round pick


Well whichever team will take Murray then but the point is to get rid of Marner on toronto’s side since they need defense and goaltending.
 
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