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Saad and Murphy for Nylander and Ceci

Created by: NextYearIsOurYear
Team: 2019-20 Chicago Blackhawks
Initial Creation Date: Jan. 13, 2020
Published: Jan. 13, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Made under the assumption that Seabrook and Shaw are done. Could probably work even if they aren't with some tweaks but this'll have to do for now.

Trying to value it to help Torontos cap problems and defense. This year they'd save close to $5M in cap space with this deal, giving them more options to be buyers if they want. They would also have Saad and Murphy next year too for a combined cap hit of $6,5M, instead of Nylander for close to $7M. After that they'd still have Murphy for an extra year with a cap hit of $2,5M.

From the Hawks perspective I thought trading for William Nylander and hoping the brothers have chemistry and can help Alex to reach his potential seemed like a good idea in theory. Chicago also needs more skilled offensive forwards IMO. I don't see the Hawks being contenders in 1-2 years anyway so I figured this could work out. Try to build to go on a run when Boq/Dach are on the last year on their ELCs and Saads retention comes off the books.

I originally had Gus for Raddysh and a pick but saw that trade form VGK and liked the return better so I stole it...

Didn't put much effort into the TBL trade. Anyone have any other suggestions go for it. Really want to re-unite the Erie Otters tho. This could be a move for next season, doesn't have to be now.

For next year maybe trade one of DeHaan/Määttä for a cheap-ish RHD? Let Ceci and Holden walk. Sign Mitchell. Re-sign Lehner and Kubalik. Crawford I'm 50/50 on. If he wants to take a cheap 1 or 2 year deal to stay with the Hawks as a backup I'm fine with it, but I don't want to spend more than $2-3M on a backup.

Let me know if this looks alright value wise or if not what needs work.
Trades
1.
CHI
  1. Ceci, Cody
  2. Nylander, William
  3. 2021 3rd round pick (TOR)
TOR
  1. Murphy, Connor ($1,350,000 retained)
  2. Saad, Brandon ($2,000,000 retained)
  3. 2021 7th round pick (CHI)
2.
CHI
  1. Holden, Nick
  2. 2020 2nd round pick (VGK)
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (NJD)
3.
TBL
  1. Caggiula, Drake ($750,000 retained)
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
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2021
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Logo of the NJD
Logo of the TOR
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Logo of the MTL
2022
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$61,266,552$0$7,557,500$20,233,448

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
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$10,500,000$10,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
C, RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$2,625,000$2,625,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$778,333$778,333 (Performance Bonus$32,500$32K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$2,475,000$2M)
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Tampa Bay Lightning
$833,333$833,333
RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
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$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, C
UFA - 3
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$1,000,000$1,000,000
C
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
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$5,538,462$5,538,462
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
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$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
RFA - 3
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$6,000,000$6,000,000
G
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,333,225$3,333,225
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$4,500,000$4,500,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,400,000$1,400,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vegas Golden Knights
$2,200,000$2,200,000
LD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$6,875,000$6,875,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$4,550,000$4,550,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,900,000$3,900,000
C, RW
UFA - 3

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Jan. 13, 2020 at 9:11 p.m.
#1
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Horrible for Toronto
Jan. 13, 2020 at 9:13 p.m.
#2
What in tarnation
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CHI needs to add. A lot. Saad and Murphy are near 30 with only couple of years left on their contracts, Nylander's what, 23 with 5 years left. Also he's better than both of them. There's 0 incentive for TOR to even consider it.
GenXHockey and MadLin27 liked this.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 9:20 p.m.
#3
exo2769
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Can we stop with the Nylander to CHI trades.
SociallyHawkward, Petrock83, CFMan and 2 others liked this.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 9:28 p.m.
#4
Formerly Jamiepo
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NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
MadLin27 liked this.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 9:46 p.m.
#5
Caps fan idk why
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Quoting: BurgerBoss
CHI needs to add. A lot. Saad and Murphy are near 30 with only couple of years left on their contracts, Nylander's what, 23 with 5 years left. Also he's better than both of them. There's 0 incentive for TOR to even consider it.


26 and 27 years old are near 30? Also Nylander is good but how good would he be away Matthews/Tavares? (Not knocking him just asking. Don’t get to see him play that often) I think the leafs could make a move for Murphy but Nylanders play this year would make him hard to move. If this was last year I wouldn’t argue but he’s drastically improved from last season. Looks like the player they expected him to be.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:03 p.m.
#6
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Please god stop trading for Nylander.
Aussie_Blackhawk liked this.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:05 p.m.
#7
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This guy work at TSN? Just an awful trade.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:07 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: TooMalevolent
This guy work at TSN? Just an awful trade.


Quoting: Petrock83
Please god stop trading for Nylander.


Quoting: BurgerBoss
CHI needs to add. A lot. Saad and Murphy are near 30 with only couple of years left on their contracts, Nylander's what, 23 with 5 years left. Also he's better than both of them. There's 0 incentive for TOR to even consider it.


Quoting: exo2769
Can we stop with the Nylander to CHI trades.


Quoting: Jamiepo
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Quoting: Capitalfail67
26 and 27 years old are near 30? Also Nylander is good but how good would he be away Matthews/Tavares? (Not knocking him just asking. Don’t get to see him play that often) I think the leafs could make a move for Murphy but Nylanders play this year would make him hard to move. If this was last year I wouldn’t argue but he’s drastically improved from last season. Looks like the player they expected him to be.


Honestly if the Leafs part ways with one of their top forwards, I think it’s going to be Marner. Matthews & Tavares are both franchise centers and are simply untouchable. Nylander’s on an excellent contract which makes him much more valuable than Marner. Marner for Saad & Murphy woultd probably be fair. Hawks may need to add a 2nd Round pick.
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:11 p.m.
#9
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The leafs don't trade any of their 4main guys upfront for Saad. And I rather like him, it's just not worth it with the age.
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Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:14 p.m.
#10
What in tarnation
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Quoting: Capitalfail67
26 and 27 years old are near 30? Also Nylander is good but how good would he be away Matthews/Tavares? (Not knocking him just asking. Don’t get to see him play that often) I think the leafs could make a move for Murphy but Nylanders play this year would make him hard to move. If this was last year I wouldn’t argue but he’s drastically improved from last season. Looks like the player they expected him to be.


Let's just say they're much more near 30 than Nylander is...
Capitalfail67 liked this.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 10:16 p.m.
#11
What in tarnation
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
Honestly if the Leafs part ways with one of their top forwards, I think it’s going to be Marner. Matthews & Tavares are both franchise centers and are simply untouchable. Nylander’s on an excellent contract which makes him much more valuable than Marner. Marner for Saad & Murphy woultd probably be fair. Hawks may need to add a 2nd Round pick.


Marner's 22 and once again in pace for almost 100 points. He might be a tad overpaid, but he's above Nylander and basically all players from CHI in value...
Jan. 13, 2020 at 11:27 p.m.
#12
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Quoting: BurgerBoss
CHI needs to add. A lot. Saad and Murphy are near 30 with only couple of years left on their contracts, Nylander's what, 23 with 5 years left. Also he's better than both of them. There's 0 incentive for TOR to even consider it.


LMAO Saad just turned 27 and Murphy 26.

That said, I don't think the pieces fit well, but Murphy is a big upgrade for Toronto. Saad is a better version of Johnsson but I don't think he fits Toronto's system well plus retaining $2M for Saad is a joke, no reason for the Hawks to retain anything or worse case $1M. Also no reason for the Hawks to retain on Murphy he's easily worth $3.8m. Hawks should run from this as well.
Jan. 13, 2020 at 11:30 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: TooMalevolent
The leafs don't trade any of their 4main guys upfront for Saad. And I rather like him, it's just not worth it with the age.


It's Saad and Murphy and together that is pretty fair value for Nylander; especially with retention. However, I don't think the Hawks should do this. Retaining $3.3M on Saad and Murphy is not necessary and a waste of cap space for two players that earn their contracts.
Jan. 14, 2020 at 12:45 a.m.
#14
No regretzkys
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Quoting: ChiHawk
It's Saad and Murphy and together that is pretty fair value for Nylander; especially with retention. However, I don't think the Hawks should do this. Retaining $3.3M on Saad and Murphy is not necessary and a waste of cap space for two players that earn their contracts.


LOL. You serious man?
This would be a steal for CHI....

Saad and Murphy are not fair value for Nylander
Jan. 14, 2020 at 1:06 a.m.
#15
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Quoting: MadLin27
LOL. You serious man?
This would be a steal for CHI....

Saad and Murphy are not fair value for Nylander


Yes they are; a top line right handed defenseman and a top 6 power forward that plays both ends of the ice and one of the top 12 to 15 defensive wingers in the game today (give you a hint, take a look at takeaways and his possession numbers)? That is exactly what Toronto needs but Hawks should run from this if they are retaining $3.3M...we need both types of players as much as Tor despite Nylander being a great dynamic winger which Chicago needs also.

Chicago is better off looking for another dynamic winger and moving other players then Saad and Murphy and retaining $3.3M...bad move also for Chicago.
Jan. 14, 2020 at 1:50 a.m.
#16
No regretzkys
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Quoting: ChiHawk
Yes they are; a top line right handed defenseman and a top 6 power forward that plays both ends of the ice and one of the top 12 to 15 defensive wingers in the game today (give you a hint, take a look at takeaways and his possession numbers)? That is exactly what Toronto needs but Hawks should run from this if they are retaining $3.3M...we need both types of players as much as Tor despite Nylander being a great dynamic winger which Chicago needs also.

Chicago is better off looking for another dynamic winger and moving other players then Saad and Murphy and retaining $3.3M...bad move also for Chicago.


I appreciate your justification for this trade being "pretty fair value", but a 23 year old star winger under 4+ years of control for a middle 6 forward and a fringe 2nd pairing Dman doesn't add up.
In what world is Murphy a top line defender...? And honestly Saad is barely even a top 6 winger anymore too. I have heard many Chicago fans say that.

A similar offer in reverse is: Debrincat for Hyman and Holl.
Sound good? Didn't think so.
Jan. 14, 2020 at 1:55 a.m.
#17
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Edited Jan. 14, 2020 at 2:13 a.m.
Quoting: MadLin27
I appreciate your justification for this trade being "pretty fair value", but a 23 year old star winger under 4+ years of control for a middle 6 forward and a fringe 2nd pairing Dman doesn't add up.
In what world is Murphy a top line defender...? And honestly Saad is barely even a top 6 winger anymore too. I have heard many Chicago fans say that.

A similar offer in reverse is: Debrincat for Hyman and Holl.
Sound good? Didn't think so.


Saad is not a middle 6; he plays the top line. Murphy is not a "fringe" 2nd pairing, that is insane. This tells me you don't watch the Hawks and therefore don't know what either player brings to the ice outside of what you read on a stat sheet; a big mistake a lot of folks do on here trying to evaluate players.

Murphy is a top liner in Chicago and would be in toronto. Easily would become Toronto's best defensive defender.

Where have you heard Saad is "barely' a top 6 winger? He's the best winger behind Kane this year and yes, that includes better then Cat or Toews.

I watch a fair amount of hockey outside of the Hawks, unlike most fans on here, and know what Nylander is worth. I love the guy, even when a lot of Leafs fans were down on him, but realistically no way does chicago do this and retain $3.3m that is just poor cap management while creating two holes to plug one. Toronto plugs two holes and creates a big one. Doesn't make sense for either team.
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Jan. 14, 2020 at 1:42 p.m.
#18
No regretzkys
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Quoting: ChiHawk
Saad is not a middle 6; he plays the top line. Murphy is not a "fringe" 2nd pairing, that is insane. This tells me you don't watch the Hawks and therefore don't know what either player brings to the ice outside of what you read on a stat sheet; a big mistake a lot of folks do on here trying to evaluate players.

Murphy is a top liner in Chicago and would be in toronto. Easily would become Toronto's best defensive defender.

Where have you heard Saad is "barely' a top 6 winger? He's the best winger behind Kane this year and yes, that includes better then Cat or Toews.

I watch a fair amount of hockey outside of the Hawks, unlike most fans on here, and know what Nylander is worth. I love the guy, even when a lot of Leafs fans were down on him, but realistically no way does chicago do this and retain $3.3m that is just poor cap management while creating two holes to plug one. Toronto plugs two holes and creates a big one. Doesn't make sense for either team.


I respectfully disagree. I don't have a link for you, but I distinctly remember reading a CHI fan on capfriendly saying something along the lines of "The more and more I watch Saad, the more and more I realize he isn't a top 6 forward."
Not saying I agree with that 100%.

Saad may play on Chi's top line, but that doesn't make him a "top line forward".

I am done with this thread, but I will sum up and give you some credit:

I would consider Saad a 2nd line winger. Not a top line guy on a competitive team however.
I'll remove the "fringe" and call Murphy a legit top 4 Dman. But again, not a top pairing Dman.

In my opinion Nylander is too much of an asset to trade for what I would call "very good accessory/supplementary pieces"
You can build a line with a Nylander. He drives his line. He actually creates plays for Matthews and Tavares, not as much vice versa. Anybody who watches the Leafs would know that.
You can't build an offense around Saad and can't build your D around Murphy.

So.. No disrespect to those Chicago players. I agree, they are good players, but I would never make that trade if I was the Leafs and I honestly believe for a soon to be rebuilding Chicago team, getting a 23 year old star forward for older, soon to be expiring contract, accessory pieces, is a no brainer. If you disagree that is fine. Its obvious we won't see eye to eye on this one
Jan. 14, 2020 at 2:40 p.m.
#19
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You are high on meth if you think Caggiula is worth Raddysh
Jan. 14, 2020 at 2:47 p.m.
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Quoting: BurgerBoss
CHI needs to add. A lot. Saad and Murphy are near 30 with only couple of years left on their contracts, Nylander's what, 23 with 5 years left. Also he's better than both of them. There's 0 incentive for TOR to even consider it.


Fair enough. Maybe I got a bit lost in the buzz around "how will Toronto win this year with all the injuries" and forgot how young the core still is. This was maybe more set up for a team who's window to win is closing in the next two years. And I thought a 27yo Saad, consistent 50ponit 2-way winger and a 26yo defensive D-man would be worth a 23yo 60-70point offensive winger in that scenario. But with how young the Leafs still are I can certainly see why you'd want to keep the younger guy with more term.

Also I don't think this is necessarily even a great move for the Hawks either. Was just thinking about possible line ups and thought I'd try to see if I could make it work cap wise and value wise in a trade.
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Jan. 14, 2020 at 2:50 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: ChiHawk
Saad is not a middle 6; he plays the top line. Murphy is not a "fringe" 2nd pairing, that is insane. This tells me you don't watch the Hawks and therefore don't know what either player brings to the ice outside of what you read on a stat sheet; a big mistake a lot of folks do on here trying to evaluate players.

Murphy is a top liner in Chicago and would be in toronto. Easily would become Toronto's best defensive defender.

Where have you heard Saad is "barely' a top 6 winger? He's the best winger behind Kane this year and yes, that includes better then Cat or Toews.

I watch a fair amount of hockey outside of the Hawks, unlike most fans on here, and know what Nylander is worth. I love the guy, even when a lot of Leafs fans were down on him, but realistically no way does chicago do this and retain $3.3m that is just poor cap management while creating two holes to plug one. Toronto plugs two holes and creates a big one. Doesn't make sense for either team.


I agree that this isn't a great trade for the Hawks. It was never meant to be a "this should happen trade". I was just an idea I had about re-uniting the Nylanders and wanted to hear opinions on the value on this. But if you want to be serious, there are other much better options for the Hawks than this, probably for the Leafs too. Maybe a true lose-lose trade then, lol.
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Jan. 14, 2020 at 2:56 p.m.
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Quoting: MadLin27
I respectfully disagree. I don't have a link for you, but I distinctly remember reading a CHI fan on capfriendly saying something along the lines of "The more and more I watch Saad, the more and more I realize he isn't a top 6 forward."
Not saying I agree with that 100%.

Saad may play on Chi's top line, but that doesn't make him a "top line forward".

I am done with this thread, but I will sum up and give you some credit:

I would consider Saad a 2nd line winger. Not a top line guy on a competitive team however.
I'll remove the "fringe" and call Murphy a legit top 4 Dman. But again, not a top pairing Dman.

In my opinion Nylander is too much of an asset to trade for what I would call "very good accessory/supplementary pieces"
You can build a line with a Nylander. He drives his line. He actually creates plays for Matthews and Tavares, not as much vice versa. Anybody who watches the Leafs would know that.
You can't build an offense around Saad and can't build your D around Murphy.

So.. No disrespect to those Chicago players. I agree, they are good players, but I would never make that trade if I was the Leafs and I honestly believe for a soon to be rebuilding Chicago team, getting a 23 year old star forward for older, soon to be expiring contract, accessory pieces, is a no brainer. If you disagree that is fine. Its obvious we won't see eye to eye on this one


I can see both sides to this. I never meant it as a serious "this should happen" trade, was mostly just for fun to see if this was enough value to get him. It doesn't make sense for the Hawks to give up players who fills roles that they need and retain that much salary either. And like I said in an earlier reply I got lost in the win now buzz around Toronto to forget how young their core still is. Their window isn't closing in two years anyway so they have no need to do this.

Also thinking about it how both Nylanders are mostly playmakers, using them around a center that's not a sniper might work against the Hawks too.
Jan. 14, 2020 at 3:01 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: Zwui21
You are high on meth if you think Caggiula is worth Raddysh


Like I said in the description I didn't even bother trying with that trade, as I have no idea what his value actually is (I know that it isn't this). I wanted to re-unite the Otters so I just took a roster player and added Raddysh. It was never meant to be that return it was just a roster player who happened to be there.
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Jan. 14, 2020 at 3:03 p.m.
#24
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Quoting: MikeyThePensFan
Honestly if the Leafs part ways with one of their top forwards, I think it’s going to be Marner. Matthews & Tavares are both franchise centers and are simply untouchable. Nylander’s on an excellent contract which makes him much more valuable than Marner. Marner for Saad & Murphy woultd probably be fair. Hawks may need to add a 2nd Round pick.


Really? That's interesting. Had no idea Marner was more expendable than Nylander for the Leafs.
Jan. 14, 2020 at 3:04 p.m.
#25
torontos finest
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Quoting: NextYearIsOurYear
Really? That's interesting. Had no idea Marner was more expendable than Nylander for the Leafs.


He's not.
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