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Realistic Vrana and Ovechkin Contracts

Created by: OvisBabes
Team: 2021-22 Washington Capitals
Initial Creation Date: Jan. 20, 2020
Published: Jan. 20, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
With the increased cap and TV deal I feel like these numbers, while high are fairly realistic for the market and how it will stand a year and a half from now.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$8,000,000
2$975,000
3$2,000,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
3$3,500,000
2$750,000
2$750,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$11,000,000
Trades
1.
WSH
  1. Bäck, Oskar [Reserve List]
  2. 2021 3rd round pick (DAL)
2.
WSH
  1. Räsänen, Eemeli [Reserve List]
  2. 2022 2nd round pick (TOR)
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the COL
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the ARI
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
2021
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the DAL
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
2022
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the WSH
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$90,000,000$73,139,594$472,927$132,500$16,860,406
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$11,000,000$11,000,000
LW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$9,200,000$9,200,000
C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$5,166,667$5,166,667
RW
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$8,000,000$8,000,000
LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$3,900,000$3,900,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$5,750,000$5,750,000
RW
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$2,415,000$2,415,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$863,333$863,333
LW, C
RFA - 3
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$975,000$975,000
LW
UFA
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$750,000$750,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$8,000,000$8,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$3,500,000$3,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$791,667$791,667 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$1,275,000$1,275,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$716,667$716,667
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$2,500,000$2,500,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$863,333$863,333
LD/RD
RFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$750,000$750,000
LW
UFA - 2

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Jan. 20, 2020 at 3:33 p.m.
#1
gregb569
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realistic.. good one
Jan. 20, 2020 at 3:45 p.m.
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11 million for 5 years on a guy who will be 35......holly smokes batman, way to ruin your cap.
Jan. 20, 2020 at 4:17 p.m.
#3
CAPS2018CHAMPS
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I think make Ovi 3 years at that number and maybe. I was thinking 3-4 year x 10M. Caps should be able to get Vrana at more than 5 years at 8M imo. 7 x 8M sounds good.
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Jan. 20, 2020 at 7:42 p.m.
#4
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OvisBabes
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Quoting: pharrow
11 million for 5 years on a guy who will be 35......holly smokes batman, way to ruin your cap.


he scores 50 goals ever year.... What would you think is fair to pay him?
Jan. 20, 2020 at 8:09 p.m.
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Quoting: OvisBabes
he scores 50 goals ever year.... What would you think is fair to pay him?


do you really think he's scoring 50 goals at 39, 49???
He isn't even on pace to hit 50 this year.
You don't pay a guy for what he use to do. And if you want the team to win when he's older you better be able to afford to give him real help.
Jan. 21, 2020 at 8:33 a.m.
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1 major issue I see is that Carlson would be the only right shot on the defense which is not the defensive strategy that this coaching staff implements. If Alexeyev, Siegenthaler, and Fehervary are all NHL ready soon then Orlov or Kempny will have to go, maybe both and aquire 2 veteran RHD while the young guys get their feet wet.
Jan. 21, 2020 at 10:44 a.m.
#7
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Quoting: pharrow
do you really think he's scoring 50 goals at 39, 49???
He isn't even on pace to hit 50 this year.
You don't pay a guy for what he use to do. And if you want the team to win when he's older you better be able to afford to give him real help.


He's on pace for 56.89 goals this year over 82 games. He has to sit out the first game after the all star break, so that drops it to 56.2. His outburst this week really helped him.

I think 10x3/4 is fair for Ovechkin. He is other-worldly.
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Jan. 21, 2020 at 3:20 p.m.
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Quoting: staytru20
He's on pace for 56.89 goals this year over 82 games. He has to sit out the first game after the all star break, so that drops it to 56.2. His outburst this week really helped him.

I think 10x3/4 is fair for Ovechkin. He is other-worldly.


You know what. I hope they pay OV that much, I really do. I have no problem the Caps destroying that cap.
What I do know, is OV shouldn't be playing at 235-240lbs. He can't skate and everyone knows it. Other players don't even view him as being one of the best players in the league. He didn't get a single vote from players when they voted that. Not one. Even though he still scores goals.
It's because he's slow. He can't skate. He's one dimensional in that he has a great shot, but nothing else. He's not hard to beat on defense. He isn't going to smoke anyone with speed on offense. If 4 other guys aren't doing the work to create him space he's in trouble. One on One he doesn't scare a single opponent.

He might be able to play till 40 as a power play specialist. Sitting him his dot, not really skating much and shooting. I will give you that.
But every year he looks more and more like a statue out there. His line this year has been ineffective in 5v5 play. They are coughing up more goals than they score. I think if that trend continues, and I think it will, he won't be a 1st line player more than a year or two. He's 34, the game got faster. His wheels are falling off. Even with him focusing more on his speed. It's a bit late for that.
If I were WSH I would keep him at 2 year deals. You will end up screwed paying him on a 5 year contract till he's 40. He can barely keep up now.
By that 5th year you will be paying 11 million a year for a 4th line player.
Jan. 21, 2020 at 3:44 p.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
You know what. I hope they pay OV that much, I really do. I have no problem the Caps destroying that cap.
What I do know, is OV shouldn't be playing at 235-240lbs. He can't skate and everyone knows it. Other players don't even view him as being one of the best players in the league. He didn't get a single vote from players when they voted that. Not one. Even though he still scores goals.
It's because he's slow. He can't skate. He's one dimensional in that he has a great shot, but nothing else. He's not hard to beat on defense. He isn't going to smoke anyone with speed on offense. If 4 other guys aren't doing the work to create him space he's in trouble. One on One he doesn't scare a single opponent.

He might be able to play till 40 as a power play specialist. Sitting him his dot, not really skating much and shooting. I will give you that.
But every year he looks more and more like a statue out there. His line this year has been ineffective in 5v5 play. They are coughing up more goals than they score. I think if that trend continues, and I think it will, he won't be a 1st line player more than a year or two. He's 34, the game got faster. His wheels are falling off. Even with him focusing more on his speed. It's a bit late for that.
If I were WSH I would keep him at 2 year deals. You will end up screwed paying him on a 5 year contract till he's 40. He can barely keep up now.
By that 5th year you will be paying 11 million a year for a 4th line player.


What do you consider as ineffective when looking at a line's performance at 5 on 5? Here's the Caps' current top line with Ovechkin, Backstrom, and Wilson while on the ice together at 5 on 5 play:

CF%: 56.98% FF% 55.38 SF: 160 SA: 123 GF: 16 GA: 14 High Danger Chances For: 63 High Danger Chances Against: 49 HDGF: 9 HDGA: 10

Let's compare that to the Bruins' top line of Pastrnak, Marchand, and Bergeron

CF% 59.03% FF% 57.95% SF: 270 SA: 178 GF: 30 GA 17 HDCF: 88 HDCA: 67 HDGF: 13 HDGA: 11

Is it really that far off? Main difference being that the Caps arguably have more scoring depth (7 double digit goal scorers vs 5). 4 of the Caps double digit goal scorers are not on the first forward line. Yes, that might play into your argument, but the Bruins rely much more on their top line than the Caps do.

Now, I agree that the tail-end of a long term, high dollar contract for Ovi could be painful. He's no spring chicken anymore, and I agree with you there.
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Jan. 21, 2020 at 4:13 p.m.
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Quoting: staytru20
What do you consider as ineffective when looking at a line's performance at 5 on 5? Here's the Caps' current top line with Ovechkin, Backstrom, and Wilson while on the ice together at 5 on 5 play:

CF%: 56.98% FF% 55.38 SF: 160 SA: 123 GF: 16 GA: 14 High Danger Chances For: 63 High Danger Chances Against: 49 HDGF: 9 HDGA: 10

Let's compare that to the Bruins' top line of Pastrnak, Marchand, and Bergeron

CF% 59.03% FF% 57.95% SF: 270 SA: 178 GF: 30 GA 17 HDCF: 88 HDCA: 67 HDGF: 13 HDGA: 11

Is it really that far off? Main difference being that the Caps arguably have more scoring depth (7 double digit goal scorers vs 5). 4 of the Caps double digit goal scorers are not on the first forward line. Yes, that might play into your argument, but the Bruins rely much more on their top line than the Caps do.

Now, I agree that the tail-end of a long term, high dollar contract for Ovi could be painful. He's no spring chicken anymore, and I agree with you there.


According to Hockey-Reference OV is a - in 5v5 play by I think 5 goals or something.
That's what I refer too. You can't be coughing up more than you are producing as a top line.
That's not PP or PK time that's 5v5 play.

That's where you first start to see decline in players. When you stop being the guy that dominates 5v5 play.
You could see it in players like Kessel. His 5v5 numbers were tanking he became a power play guy. And that has basically panned out.
It's not different here. He's 34. The effectiveness at 5v5 play is starting to show. It's not horrible by any means at this point. But I wouldn't hold my breath on it improving with age.
He's on pace to give up a career high GAIO.
While he's been a consistent +10 guy most of his career. That looks to be changing. You can't really blame the rest of the team around him. It's not like there isn't help there. He's got the same guys, they are all still relatively younger players.
As far as his corsi, his last 4 years in 5v5 play he's basically a 50% corsi player. He doesn't dominate possession while on the ice.

The numbers are what they are. My point being don't expect improvement on them at 35+. They only have one direction to really go.
So why sign a guy to 5 years till he's 40. That's just nuts and a mistake in the waiting. He's got his use on the ice. He has a great shot, could be a power play guy till he's 40. But his 5v5 play is going to be a problem much sooner than that. Like just about every player in the league past 35.
There really aren't a lot of guys playing top line minutes at 35+ anymore. It's too hard to keep your speed up at that age.
Jan. 21, 2020 at 4:19 p.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
Other players don't even view him as being one of the best players in the league. He didn't get a single vote from players when they voted that. Not one. Even though he still scores goals.


https://theathletic.com/1536630/2020/01/20/the-2020-nhl-poll-players-have-their-say-on-the-best-player-worst-referee-drinking-buddies-and-more/
Jan. 21, 2020 at 4:23 p.m.
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"Somewhere out there, Alex Ovechkin might be curious about the snub, but he didn’t go empty-handed. Ovechkin was named as the player that they’d want to have a beer"
https://sports.yahoo.com/mc-david-named-nh-ls-best-player-by-wide-margin-in-players-poll-164249889.html
Jan. 22, 2020 at 10:16 a.m.
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CAPS2018CHAMPS
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Quoting: pharrow
According to Hockey-Reference OV is a - in 5v5 play by I think 5 goals or something.
That's what I refer too. You can't be coughing up more than you are producing as a top line.
That's not PP or PK time that's 5v5 play.

That's where you first start to see decline in players. When you stop being the guy that dominates 5v5 play.
You could see it in players like Kessel. His 5v5 numbers were tanking he became a power play guy. And that has basically panned out.
It's not different here. He's 34. The effectiveness at 5v5 play is starting to show. It's not horrible by any means at this point. But I wouldn't hold my breath on it improving with age.
He's on pace to give up a career high GAIO.
While he's been a consistent +10 guy most of his career. That looks to be changing. You can't really blame the rest of the team around him. It's not like there isn't help there. He's got the same guys, they are all still relatively younger players.
As far as his corsi, his last 4 years in 5v5 play he's basically a 50% corsi player. He doesn't dominate possession while on the ice.

The numbers are what they are. My point being don't expect improvement on them at 35+. They only have one direction to really go.
So why sign a guy to 5 years till he's 40. That's just nuts and a mistake in the waiting. He's got his use on the ice. He has a great shot, could be a power play guy till he's 40. But his 5v5 play is going to be a problem much sooner than that. Like just about every player in the league past 35.
There really aren't a lot of guys playing top line minutes at 35+ anymore. It's too hard to keep your speed up at that age.


Ovi is second in the league in Even strength goals... I understand the power play specialist maybe in 5 years, but the guy has been top 3 in the league Even strength goal for the last 3 years. I thinking 3 or 4 years at 10M is no problem. That'd be a much lower percentage cap hit then he signed for his current deal. And if he cant skate, please watch the Islanders game on 1/18/20 with 23 Mins of ice time. He will slow down, but hes 34 and his 32-34 years have been better than his 30-32 years production wise.
Jan. 22, 2020 at 3:25 p.m.
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Quoting: cap2018champs
Ovi is second in the league in Even strength goals... I understand the power play specialist maybe in 5 years, but the guy has been top 3 in the league Even strength goal for the last 3 years. I thinking 3 or 4 years at 10M is no problem. That'd be a much lower percentage cap hit then he signed for his current deal. And if he cant skate, please watch the Islanders game on 1/18/20 with 23 Mins of ice time. He will slow down, but hes 34 and his 32-34 years have been better than his 30-32 years production wise.


his production is better because his line mates are better.
He can't skate. I don't know why you argue that. He's slow. He's not winning a foot race anytime soon.
Scoring goals and being a skater are two different things. He has a whole system build around his shot. He's like the only player in the whole league who has a whole system rotating around him. If you don't see that you are blind. And I'm not knocking it because it works. But he absolutely can not skate. There is no way in hell you would put him one to one with dozens of players in this league. He'd get smoked. Why do you have a hard time admitting that. He's 235-240 lbs at 34 years old. He can't move.
He plays best with other people who pull traffic and he finds open ice to shoot. If his linemates can't create space, he's done because he can't create it himself.
Much like their power play works. 4 guys go the one side of the ice and he waits on the other side for the puck while the defense is pulled over. That's what he does. It's why you find him just standing there on the ice a lot not moving his feet. Just waiting in one area maybe drifting slightly but never really working on the play.
He has a great shot so it works for them. But when you are using a forward almost in the role of a defenseman you begin to see the fact that he doesn't have any real foot speed. And if it's bad now how bad is it gonna be in 3 years.
You never see him working like most top forwards do. Be it McDavid, Crosby, McKinnon, Matthews you name it. They are all over the ice, below the goal line, in the scrum looking for the puck, grinding. Honestly when was the last time you really saw OV working the puck below the goal line. Like never. They would never let him down there because he can't get back and everyone knows it. He's too slow to play a real 200 foot game.
That's what happens when you are 235-240 lbs trying to keep up with track stars.
If he weighted 200lbs maybe he'd be a bit faster and skate better. Especially in his 35+ years. But he's yet to show he's willing to do that. So much like every other player in the whole league at 240lbs he's left in the smoke. Even Wilson who is 6'5 only weighs like 220lbs. Because he knows his game relies on speed. And he's one of the tallest guys in the league at 6'5. He's got 2 inches on OV and is years younger.
If you want OV to actually have foot speed it starts with a 30lb weight loss.
Because it doen't matter how "productive" you are, when the other team is able to skate right past you at will all the time and the line he's on is coughing up more goals than it's scoring. You can't leave the other 4 guys basically 5 v 4. And the slower he gets the more it's evident.
It's like looking at Chara now. When the game was slower 3 years ago he looked fine. But the game speed up and he became a pylon out there. Old slow and not a guy you wanted in a position where he had to go back into his own end from the Ozone. He became a PK guy defensive start guy. He's at the highest rate of defensive starts in his whole career now because they know he can't move. Even playing a 160foot game doesn't work for him anymore. The games too fast.

So yeah, it's great he's productive in a system that revolves around him. But I hate to break it to you, he's not far away from them not being able to hide the fact that's he's one of the slowest guys on the ice at this point in the game. The whole league is moving into defensemen with speed and who can move. A lot of them could beat OV in a foot race at this point.
So unless he's dropping 30lbs don't expect much of a change. He won't be worth 10 million in a couple of years. To pay him that till he's 40 is a complete and total waste of money. He shouldn't be signed to more than a 2 year deal. Much like players like Joe Thornton signed year to year or Chara on his two year deals. You just don't sign guys who can't move to 5 year deals.
Jan. 23, 2020 at 11:01 a.m.
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CAPS2018CHAMPS
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Quoting: pharrow
his production is better because his line mates are better.
He can't skate. I don't know why you argue that. He's slow. He's not winning a foot race anytime soon.
Scoring goals and being a skater are two different things. He has a whole system build around his shot. He's like the only player in the whole league who has a whole system rotating around him. If you don't see that you are blind. And I'm not knocking it because it works. But he absolutely can not skate. There is no way in hell you would put him one to one with dozens of players in this league. He'd get smoked. Why do you have a hard time admitting that. He's 235-240 lbs at 34 years old. He can't move.
He plays best with other people who pull traffic and he finds open ice to shoot. If his linemates can't create space, he's done because he can't create it himself.
Much like their power play works. 4 guys go the one side of the ice and he waits on the other side for the puck while the defense is pulled over. That's what he does. It's why you find him just standing there on the ice a lot not moving his feet. Just waiting in one area maybe drifting slightly but never really working on the play.
He has a great shot so it works for them. But when you are using a forward almost in the role of a defenseman you begin to see the fact that he doesn't have any real foot speed. And if it's bad now how bad is it gonna be in 3 years.
You never see him working like most top forwards do. Be it McDavid, Crosby, McKinnon, Matthews you name it. They are all over the ice, below the goal line, in the scrum looking for the puck, grinding. Honestly when was the last time you really saw OV working the puck below the goal line. Like never. They would never let him down there because he can't get back and everyone knows it. He's too slow to play a real 200 foot game.
That's what happens when you are 235-240 lbs trying to keep up with track stars.
If he weighted 200lbs maybe he'd be a bit faster and skate better. Especially in his 35+ years. But he's yet to show he's willing to do that. So much like every other player in the whole league at 240lbs he's left in the smoke. Even Wilson who is 6'5 only weighs like 220lbs. Because he knows his game relies on speed. And he's one of the tallest guys in the league at 6'5. He's got 2 inches on OV and is years younger.
If you want OV to actually have foot speed it starts with a 30lb weight loss.
Because it doen't matter how "productive" you are, when the other team is able to skate right past you at will all the time and the line he's on is coughing up more goals than it's scoring. You can't leave the other 4 guys basically 5 v 4. And the slower he gets the more it's evident.
It's like looking at Chara now. When the game was slower 3 years ago he looked fine. But the game speed up and he became a pylon out there. Old slow and not a guy you wanted in a position where he had to go back into his own end from the Ozone. He became a PK guy defensive start guy. He's at the highest rate of defensive starts in his whole career now because they know he can't move. Even playing a 160foot game doesn't work for him anymore. The games too fast.

So yeah, it's great he's productive in a system that revolves around him. But I hate to break it to you, he's not far away from them not being able to hide the fact that's he's one of the slowest guys on the ice at this point in the game. The whole league is moving into defensemen with speed and who can move. A lot of them could beat OV in a foot race at this point.
So unless he's dropping 30lbs don't expect much of a change. He won't be worth 10 million in a couple of years. To pay him that till he's 40 is a complete and total waste of money. He shouldn't be signed to more than a 2 year deal. Much like players like Joe Thornton signed year to year or Chara on his two year deals. You just don't sign guys who can't move to 5 year deals.


I'm not arguing with you about the 1v1 play, but you named 4 centers as playing a full 200 ft game. Of course they play more below the goal lines they are centers. Even the best defensive wingers like Mark Stone aren't backtracking all the way to their own goalline, they stick with their point men most of the time. Caps PP is set up for him everyone knows that so thats not the argument at all. You keep harping on the fact that he is just a PP guy with everything set up for him, then how come he is 2nd in the league in Even Strength Goals? His linemates have always been good. Backstrom or kuznetsov for the last 12-13 years plus a decent winger at worst. And for the record I don't want him to sign some 5+ year deal. But he definately is not in the Thornton/Chara category for a 1 or 2 year deal. They've only been signing those since they hit 38+ years old. He scored his first goal against Carolina the other night beating a guy off the wall towards the net, get the pass and scores. That's a pure small area foot speed play and shooting in stride, not standing still. By no means is he a fast player anymore, but hes not the standstill PP guy that most thought he would be by now.
Jan. 23, 2020 at 3:20 p.m.
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Quoting: cap2018champs
I'm not arguing with you about the 1v1 play, but you named 4 centers as playing a full 200 ft game. Of course they play more below the goal lines they are centers. Even the best defensive wingers like Mark Stone aren't backtracking all the way to their own goalline, they stick with their point men most of the time. Caps PP is set up for him everyone knows that so thats not the argument at all. You keep harping on the fact that he is just a PP guy with everything set up for him, then how come he is 2nd in the league in Even Strength Goals? His linemates have always been good. Backstrom or kuznetsov for the last 12-13 years plus a decent winger at worst. And for the record I don't want him to sign some 5+ year deal. But he definately is not in the Thornton/Chara category for a 1 or 2 year deal. They've only been signing those since they hit 38+ years old. He scored his first goal against Carolina the other night beating a guy off the wall towards the net, get the pass and scores. That's a pure small area foot speed play and shooting in stride, not standing still. By no means is he a fast player anymore, but hes not the standstill PP guy that most thought he would be by now.


Guentzel Marchand, Pasternak, Marner, I can list dozens of wingers who play below the goal line.
They don't put him back there he's to slow to get back. It's not even worth arguing.
He's gonna be 35 on that deal. Wheels come off fast. No way I sign him more than 2 years. Matter of fact, I'm telling him as he signs it. Drop 30 lbs and work on your speed.
The system will only work around him so long. The game gets faster every year at this point. They won't be able to hide him for 5 years and getting suck with that cap hit is immensely stupid, because they should have known better to begin with. They have nothing to lose signing him to 2 year deals. It's not like he's going to have better success anywhere else. No other team is changing their whole system for him.
 
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