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Flat Cap - Cernak

Created by: Jetman
Team: 2020-21 Winnipeg Jets
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 19, 2020
Published: Mar. 19, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Its a bit of an over pay but by doing only 3 years, he still is a RFA and he may like a 3 year better than a 5 as it gives him options like the past RFAs did last year. He reminds me of a Trouba with a bit less of an offensive game. He should work great with JoMo

This also makes it way more difficult for TBL as they value Cirelli and Serg over him imo...
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$925,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$4,000,000
6$6,250,000
2$900,000
2$900,000
2$900,000
2$1,750,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$1,250,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
1$750,000
3$3,333,333
Offer Sheets
Offer sheet annual average (AAV) is calculated by dividing the contract value by the lower of: 1. The contract length, or 2. Five years
PLAYERAAVCOMPENSATION
Cernak, Erik$4,000,000
2021 2nd round pick
Trades
1.
WPG
  1. Domi, Max [RFA Rights]
  2. 2020 3rd round pick (WSH)
2.
WPG
  1. DeSmith, Casey
  2. 2020 3rd round pick (PIT)
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (PIT)
PIT
  1. Lowry, Adam
  2. Niku, Sami
  3. 2020 3rd round pick (WSH)
3.
WPG
  1. Steen, Alexander
  2. 2020 1st round pick (STL)
STL
  1. 2020 2nd round pick (WPG)
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the STL
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
2022
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the WPG
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$79,610,357$0$132,500$1,889,643
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$7,142,857$7,142,857
LW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,125,000$6,125,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$8,250,000$8,250,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RW, LW
UFA - 5
$6,250,000$6,250,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$4,995,000$4,995,000
C, RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$2,280,000$2,280,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$1,750,000$1,750,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$900,000$900,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$817,500$817,500 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
LW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$900,000$900,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the St. Louis Blues
$5,750,000$5,750,000
LW, RW, C
NTC
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,250,000$6,250,000
LD
UFA - 8
$4,000,000$4,000,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$6,166,667$6,166,667
G
UFA - 4
$3,333,333$3,333,333
LD/RD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$3,000,000$3,000,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$1,250,000$1,250,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$925,000$925,000
LD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$775,000$775,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$7,600,000$7,600,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
C
UFA
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$5,291,667$5,291,667
C, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$750,000$750,000
LD
UFA - 1

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Mar. 19, 2020 at 3:48 p.m.
#1
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If their trading Sergachev, that's an easy match
Mar. 19, 2020 at 3:49 p.m.
#2
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: Hockeytor15
If their trading Sergachev, that's an easy match


Yes...if they trade Serg...
Mar. 19, 2020 at 3:59 p.m.
#3
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Idk I feel like Tampa will make other moves to keep Cernak, i.e. Gourde buyout, and maybe trading Palat or Johnson.
Mar. 19, 2020 at 4:03 p.m.
#4
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: KingsLover
Idk I feel like Tampa will make other moves to keep Cernak, i.e. Gourde buyout, and maybe trading Palat or Johnson.


They have to trade away about 17M to keep Cirelli, Cernak(at 4M) and Serg....It will be tough for them...
Mar. 19, 2020 at 4:05 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: Jetman
They have to trade away about 17M to keep Cirelli, Cernak(at 4M) and Serg....It will be tough for them...


Not if they all take bridge deals, and in Tampa their cap hits can be lower than on most other teams due to the fact that they have no income tax
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Mar. 19, 2020 at 4:18 p.m.
#6
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: KingsLover
Not if they all take bridge deals, and in Tampa their cap hits can be lower than on most other teams due to the fact that they have no income tax


at a cap of 81.5, there is no way in H that they can sign everyone...look at it yourself...BTW I did a TBL post earlier to show how bad their situation is.
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:13 p.m.
#7
Isles7
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Quoting: KingsLover
Not if they all take bridge deals, and in Tampa their cap hits can be lower than on most other teams due to the fact that they have no income tax


I think they’ll be able to keep them all - everyone thought point was getting 8+ on a bridge deal and he signed for less than 7.
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Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:23 p.m.
#8
MisstheWhalers
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Quoting: KingsLover
Idk I feel like Tampa will make other moves to keep Cernak, i.e. Gourde buyout, and maybe trading Palat or Johnson.


Buying out Gourde is 10 seasons of dead cap space, can't imagine they'd go that route.
Tampa always seems to figure out their cap crunch one way or another.
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Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:35 p.m.
#9
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: Isles777
I think they’ll be able to keep them all - everyone thought point was getting 8+ on a bridge deal and he signed for less than 7.


I doubt Cirelli and Serg will be agreeing to 900K bridge deals imo...Thats the only way that they will be able to afford 23 players unless they delete cap space by trades
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:44 p.m.
#10
Isles7
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Quoting: Jetman
I doubt Cirelli and Serg will be agreeing to 900K bridge deals imo...Thats the only way that they will be able to afford 23 players unless they delete cap space by trades


They’ll trade killorn and buyout gourde most likely
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:46 p.m.
#11
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: Isles777
They’ll trade killorn and buyout gourde most likely


Then what? By doing that, they will be basically at the cap with 18 or so players signed
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:49 p.m.
#12
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They don't have to have 23 players, they've run this year with 22 for a decent amount of time. No evidence there will be a flat cap either. I do agree Cernak is the only rfa that could be lost, as Tampa will not be trading Serg or Cirelli and neither has indicated they want out via an OS, which are extremely rare anyway. I think on bridges and with the no state tax playing a role, all 3 could be signed for around 11 or even less knowing JBB and his cap skills.
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:52 p.m.
#13
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: JTBF81
They don't have to have 23 players, they've run this year with 22 for a decent amount of time. No evidence there will be a flat cap either. I do agree Cernak is the only rfa that could be lost, as Tampa will not be trading Serg or Cirelli and neither has indicated they want out via an OS, which are extremely rare anyway. I think on bridges and with the no state tax playing a role, all 3 could be signed for around 11 or even less knowing JBB and his cap skills.


11M? try 14M+
Mar. 19, 2020 at 5:54 p.m.
#14
Isles7
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Quoting: Jetman
Then what? By doing that, they will be basically at the cap with 18 or so players signed


That frees up 7 mill. I think cernak will be the 1st to get signed, I can see him taking a Labanc deal. I think they’ll trade coburn (1.7) as well and cal Foote should make the team out of camp .
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Mar. 19, 2020 at 8:00 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Isles777
That frees up 7 mill. I think cernak will be the 1st to get signed, I can see him taking a Labanc deal. I think they’ll trade coburn (1.7) as well and cal Foote should make the team out of camp .

Yeah, Coburn is gone and so is Killorn(unless JBB convinces either Gourde or TJ to waive) and Paquette. Coleman replaces one of Killorn, Gourde or TJ and Goodrow replaces Paquette. Foote must be ready to go next year, if not then they likely would've moved him already. The dcorp should be Hedman-Rutta, McD-Cernak and Serg-Foote unless they want Serg back on the right. The only change I could see is if they like Bogo enough to re-sign him over Rutta maybe. It'll surprise many, but not Tampa fans, when Cirellj signs a 3 year bridge between 4 and 4.5, Serg at 4.5 or just a little higher and Cernak could get the Labanc treatment but a 2 or 3 year deal around 2 is also what most ppl who really know Tampa expect. Most think Tampa and JBB negotiate with these overpaid #'s in mind and yet it never plays out like that. I wonder what's more likely to happen this time.
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Mar. 20, 2020 at 9:49 a.m.
#16
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: JTBF81
Yeah, Coburn is gone and so is Killorn(unless JBB convinces either Gourde or TJ to waive) and Paquette. Coleman replaces one of Killorn, Gourde or TJ and Goodrow replaces Paquette. Foote must be ready to go next year, if not then they likely would've moved him already. The dcorp should be Hedman-Rutta, McD-Cernak and Serg-Foote unless they want Serg back on the right. The only change I could see is if they like Bogo enough to re-sign him over Rutta maybe. It'll surprise many, but not Tampa fans, when Cirellj signs a 3 year bridge between 4 and 4.5, Serg at 4.5 or just a little higher and Cernak could get the Labanc treatment but a 2 or 3 year deal around 2 is also what most ppl who really know Tampa expect. Most think Tampa and JBB negotiate with these overpaid #'s in mind and yet it never plays out like that. I wonder what's more likely to happen this time.


Unless JBB can pull magic and sign them before free agency opens, those three guys will be O/S....and no RFA/their agent would sign a cheap deal pre FA...
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:32 a.m.
#17
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Quoting: KingsLover
Idk I feel like Tampa will make other moves to keep Cernak, i.e. Gourde buyout, and maybe trading Palat or Johnson.


Gourde buyout? He's over 26 so it would be 2/3 of his contract for twice the amount of years left. So...that would be 3.4 for the next 10 years unless I made a mistake? YIKES!! definitely not a buyout candidate.
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:36 a.m.
#18
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Tampa needs to trade one, two of three of these of Johnson, Gourde, Palat and Killorn if they wanna keep Sergachev and Cirelli...Cernak can probably sign cheap. If Im Sergachev and Cirelli I want that Point money plus with more term. I highly doubt these guys would take bridge deals or hometown discounts. Go get your money boys
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:38 a.m.
#19
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Quoting: Jetman
Yes...if they trade Serg...


Cernak will be a cap causality IMO, unless he takes a discount. I doubt the jets would O/S him though. Might as well work out a deal and maybe the lightning would have interest in some inexpensive players like Niku
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:41 a.m.
#20
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: masterjuddi
Cernak will be a cap causality IMO, unless he takes a discount. I doubt the jets would O/S him though. Might as well work out a deal and maybe the lightning would have interest in some inexpensive players like Niku


a 2nd is better than a trade imo...
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:45 a.m.
#21
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Quoting: Jetman
a 2nd is better than a trade imo...


a second is nice compensation, but the bolts could have interest in a left shot puck moving dman in Niku. Just a thought
Mar. 20, 2020 at 11:47 a.m.
#22
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Quoting: masterjuddi
a second is nice compensation, but the bolts could have interest in a left shot puck moving dman in Niku. Just a thought


I doubt they would go Niku for Cernak is my thought...so we would have to add...
Mar. 20, 2020 at 1:13 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: Jetman
Unless JBB can pull magic and sign them before free agency opens, those three guys will be O/S....and no RFA/their agent would sign a cheap deal pre FA...


Even if some team throws an offer sheet at them, please let me know where any of them have voiced their want to leave Tampa. I'll wait, until them OS are about as rare as they come and the player almost never takes it. Keep holding out hope though, I'm sure after 5 years of Tampa having all of their players understand and buy in to their team strategy/philosophy, that Serg and Cirelli are jumping ship to a worse spot.
Mar. 20, 2020 at 1:17 p.m.
#24
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Jetsfan
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Quoting: JTBF81
Even if some team throws an offer sheet at them, please let me know where any of them have voiced their want to leave Tampa. I'll wait, until them OS are about as rare as they come and the player almost never takes it. Keep holding out hope though, I'm sure after 5 years of Tampa having all of their players understand and buy in to their team strategy/philosophy, that Serg and Cirelli are jumping ship to a worse spot.


I get your point...

If a team O/S Cirelli at 6-7M and TBL can only afford him at 4.5-5M, why wouldn't he agree...esp if that means that TBL may match. This goes for those other players too...
Mar. 20, 2020 at 1:33 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: Jetman
I get your point...

If a team O/S Cirelli at 6-7M and TBL can only afford him at 4.5-5M, why wouldn't he agree...esp if that means that TBL may match. This goes for those other players too...


Anything is possible but most contenders don't have that kind of cap to throw around. If Serg and Cirelli indicate they want more then JBB likely either doubles efforts to convince Gourdr or TJ to waive or trades Cernak. Serg and Cirelli though are too important for both now and later to let go. Again though I believe they will bet on themselves, take the million or so less bridge deal and then cash in later, all.while having several more cup runs in Tampa.
 
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