Quoting: oneX
And what about when they return and the attendance numbers are lower because society does not have the discretionary money it was spending on NHL tickets?
By the time things return to some normalcy, people will need to be worried about the rent owed from previous months because they didn't have the money to pay through the mess we know as the coronavirus.
Best case scenario would be the league keeps the cap the same, takes the hit for the next season, perhaps the season after as well. I think you forgot the part where reality trumps going to sports events.
I feel bad for all the people now laid off with rent to pay.
I feel for those people same. I had one person in my family affected by it as well. You think Im not taking it into consideration? Stop. I count with it. Cap at worst would stay the same and it would have consequences on next season and the cap raise after that. This would be spread out for multiple seasons to really get back where it was. But there wont be cap lowered. Thats just ridiculous. Next season, there would be lower revenue even if full season occured due to exact reason you mentioned. They might lose 1/4 of revenue next year if its fully played.
What would be logical best case scenario..
50% of expected cap raise for 20/21 (circa 1.5-2 million instead of 3-4, which would mean cap of 83-83.5M)
75% of expected cap raise for 21/22 (which considering Seattle expansion and new TV deal would mean 4-5M raise instead of 5-6M raise, cap at 88M)
100% of expected cap raise for 22/23 (new TV deal, Seattle expansion and full revenue would mean 5-6M raise again this year, 93M cap and then the raise slows down to about 3M raise per year)
realistic worst case scenario? Here..
0% of expected cap raise for 20/21 (cap stays at 81.5M)
75% of expected cap raise for 21/22 (which again means 4-5M instead of 5-6M, cap at around 86M)
100% of expected cap raise for 22/23 (add 5-6M to 86M and you have around 91-92M cap for 22/23 at worst)