Lowetide and Willis

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Created by: BeterChiarelli

Team: 2020-21 Edmonton Oilers

Initial Creation Date: Apr. 30, 2020

Published: Apr. 30, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

They used the term "buzzsaw offence" and I think it very much fits here. The dynamic almost feels like a Western Conference version of the Leafs, but with more physicality and arguably more firepower. Edmonton likely has the better defence, I'd give Toronto the edge in net.

Flames use their CBO on Lucic: I've added the $750k in savings to Edmonton's cap hit to reflect that.

Corcoran, Finkelstein, and Zummack signed out of the OHL, NCAA, and WHL respectively. I'm under the impression that Corcoran and Finkelstein are not going to sign with their respective clubs. The two CHL grads will join Gruden and Rodrigue in the ECHL and Finkelstein will play for Bakersfield.

Draft:
#20. (RC) Seth Jarvis (Portland, WHL)
#46 (via CBJ). (LW) Lukas Reichel (Berlin, DEL)
#65 (via SJS). (RD) Michael Benning (Sherwood Park, AJHL)
#82. (RW) Brandon Coe (North Bay, OHL)
#98 (via ANA). (G) Jan Bednar (Sokolov, Czech2)

Larsson and the $1.8M in dead cap expiring next year is used to extend RNH with the Hayes contract, "bridge" Yamamoto for 3 years, and find a bottom-pairing RHD replacement. Kassian is sold to Seattle during expansion, and McLeod makes the roster as the #4C next season. I'd anticipate the raise in the salary cap to cover bonus overages for this season.

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Berglund, Filip		2	$825,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Athanasiou, Andreas	3	$3,250,000
Bear, Ethan	2	$1,750,000
Kuffner, Ryan	2	$800,000
Lagesson, William	2	$800,000

UFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Ennis, Tyler	2	$1,350,000
Greiss, Thomas	2	$2,750,000
Hall, Taylor	6	$8,500,000
Söderberg, Carl	2	$3,500,000

CREATED	YEARS	CAP HIT
Corcoran, Connor	3	$925,000
Finkelstein, Benjamin	3	$925,000
Zummack, Eli	3	$925,000

Trades

EDM

CBO

ANA

Neal, James

EDM

Gáborík, Marián
Gruden, Jonathan
2020 2nd round pick (CBJ)
2021 5th round pick (EDM)

OTT

Puljujärvi, Jesse [Reserve List]
Russell, Kris
2022 3rd round pick (EDM)

Additional Details:

Edmonton pays Russell's signing bonus on July 1st

EDM

2020 3rd round pick (SJS)
2022 5th round pick (DET)

DET

Benning, Matthew [RFA Rights]

EDM

Weal, Jordan
2020 4th round pick (ANA)

MTL

Chiasson, Alex

Buyouts

Andrej Sekera: $2,500,000
Benoit Pouliot: $1,333,333

Retained Salary Transactions

Milan Lucic: $750,000 (12.5%)

Buried

Jordan Weal: $325,000 ($1,400,000)
Jujhar Khaira: $125,000 ($1,200,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2020
2021
2022

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$82,250,000	$82,506,032	$341,534	$730,000	-$256,032

Roster

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan $6,000,000$6,000,000 LW, C UFA - 1	McDavid, Connor $12,500,000$12,500,000 C UFA - 6	Ennis, Tyler $1,350,000$1,350,000 LW, RW UFA - 1
Hall, Taylor $8,500,000$8,500,000 LW UFA - 1	Draisaitl, Leon $8,500,000$8,500,000 C, LW UFA - 5	Yamamoto, Kailer $894,166$894,166 ($230,000$230K) RW RFA - 1
Athanasiou, Andreas $3,250,000$3,250,000 LW, RW UFA - 1	Söderberg, Carl $3,500,000$3,500,000 C, LW UFA - 1	Kassian, Zack $3,200,000$3,200,000 RW UFA - 4
Nygård, Joakim $875,000$875,000 LW UFA - 1	Haas, Gaëtan $915,000$915,000 C UFA - 1	Archibald, Josh $1,500,000$1,500,000 RW, LW UFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Nurse, Darnell $5,600,000$5,600,000 LD UFA - 2	Bear, Ethan $1,750,000$1,750,000 RD UFA - 2	Koskinen, Mikko $4,500,000$4,500,000 G M-NTC UFA - 2
Klefbom, Oscar $4,167,000$4,167,000 LD UFA - 3	Larsson, Adam $4,166,666$4,166,666 RD UFA - 1
Jones, Caleb $850,000$850,000 LD/RD UFA - 2	Bouchard, Evan $863,333$863,333 ($500,000$500K) RD RFA - 3	Greiss, Thomas $2,750,000$2,750,000 G UFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Lagesson, William $800,000$800,000 LD/RD UFA - 2		Gáborík, Marián $4,875,000$4,875,000 RW UFA - 1
Gambardella, Joseph $700,000$700,000 LW UFA - 1

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Yamamoto, K.		Draisaitl, L.		Hall, T.
	Bear, E.		McDavid, C.

Power Play 2
Athanasiou, A.		Nugent-Hopkins, R.		Ennis, T.
	Bouchard, E.		Klefbom, O.

Penalty Kill 1
	Söderberg, C.	Archibald, J.
	Nurse, D.	Larsson, A.

Penalty Kill 2
	Nygård, J.	Haas, G.
	Klefbom, O.	Jones, C.

Apr. 30, 2020 at 9:48 p.m.

#26

Copenhagen

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 6,640

Likes: 2,513

Quoting: CD282

I agree with the injury concerns, that's my huge hangup about signing Hall. If you look at his overall production (which accounts for missed time due to injuries) over the past few seasons, I don't see how it guarantees any Cups.

Taking the past 3 seasons combined, Hall was just 50th in the league in scoring. Several from this summer's UFA list did as well or better:

Hoffman: 87-98-185
Dadonov: 81-101-182
Hall: 66-116-182

You're essentially adding another Nuge, who went 74-104-178 in the same timeframe. Herein lies the rub: how do you justify paying RNH $1.5M less than Hall when he brings equivalent production and adds the ability to play center and is one of the better penalty killers in the league?

Regarding this summer, I think value can be found in getting 2 guys for the price of 1 Hall. Here are some UFAs and their production over the past 3 years:

Granlund: 54-97-151
Toffoli: 61-64-125
Soderberg: 56-65-121*
Smith: 64-56-120
Galchenyuk: 46-70-116
Namestnikov: 50-60-110
Marleau: 54-52-106

Soderberg and Namestinokob (for price) makes a lot of sense.

Apr. 30, 2020 at 9:51 p.m.

#27

Copenhagen

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 6,640

Likes: 2,513

Quoting: CD282

Willis (I think) talked about Ennis returning if they could get him at something close to his current salary, which I thought was interesting.

Personally I think he deserves a raise. But as a business, yes cheap is better for us of course.

CD282 liked this.

Apr. 30, 2020 at 10:09 p.m.

#28

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,966

Likes: 7,727

Quoting: Copenhagen

Soderberg and Namestinokob (for price) makes a lot of sense.

He's got Soderberg already. Could they do Toffoli + Smith for the same price as Hall? That would result in a better team IMO. Or Hoffman + Vesey or Galchenyuk?

Apr. 30, 2020 at 10:15 p.m.

#29

Copenhagen

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 6,640

Likes: 2,513

Quoting: CD282

He's got Soderberg already. Could they do Toffoli + Smith for the same price as Hall? That would result in a better team IMO. Or Hoffman + Vesey or Galchenyuk?

Hoffman and Vessy or Hoffman and Namestnikov I love love love

CD282 liked this.

May 1, 2020 at 3:20 a.m.

#30

Goilersfan1215

Joined: Jan. 2017

Posts: 852

Likes: 194

Quoting: BeterChiarelli

@Copenhagen @ConnorMcHellebucyk @ConnorMcDavid97 @oilersfan55 @Oilersfan71 @CzechingOut @Mayb81 @Goilersfan1215 @Bluetomorrow83 @jassan28 @hockeyconnor97 @CD282

I'm not a fan of signing Hall, but that recent Athletic article made me put pen to paper. Thoughts?

I’m a big fan of signing Hall, I’m also not opposed to moving him with Nuge on a second line, playing Hall with McDavid or giving him his own line and running three scoring lines with the fourth as a utility. The key to bringing in another big money forward is you probably won’t have the money to overpay Nurse in two years either. Win Win

May 1, 2020 at 3:26 a.m.

#31

Goilersfan1215

Joined: Jan. 2017

Posts: 852

Likes: 194

Quoting: Copenhagen

Hoffman and Vessy or Hoffman and Namestnikov I love love love

As good as those players are. At the end of the day when Hall is on the ice, his impact is >
Plus you have a guy who actually likes the city and has openly admitted to wanting to stay here. For what it’s worth I think that’s still a thing Edmonton has to consider with free agents

May 1, 2020 at 6:32 a.m.

#32

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,966

Likes: 7,727

Quoting: Goilersfan1215

As good as those players are. At the end of the day when Hall is on the ice, his impact is >
Plus you have a guy who actually likes the city and has openly admitted to wanting to stay here. For what it’s worth I think that’s still a thing Edmonton has to consider with free agents

That's the problem - he's not always on the ice. It's not worth devoting so much precious cap space for so many years to a player who is only going to be available some of the time.

Goilersfan1215 liked this.

May 1, 2020 at 10:28 a.m.

#33

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,966

Likes: 7,727

Quoting: BeterChiarelli

Draft:
#20. (RC) Seth Jarvis (Portland, WHL)
#46 (via CBJ). (LW) Lukas Reichel (Berlin, DEL)
#65 (via SJS). (RD) Michael Benning (Sherwood Park, AJHL)
#82. (RW) Brandon Coe (North Bay, OHL)
#98 (via ANA). (G) Jan Bednar (Sokolov, Czech2)

Just wanted to say I LOVE this draft chart. This represents a HUGE win if the Oilers amateur scouting team can pull it off. A draft like this would set the franchise up for another 15 years.

Goilersfan1215 and BeterChiarelli liked this.

May 1, 2020 at 11:10 a.m.

#34

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,966

Likes: 7,727

Quoting: CD282

He's got Soderberg already. Could they do Toffoli + Smith for the same price as Hall? That would result in a better team IMO. Or Hoffman + Vesey or Galchenyuk?

Quoting: Copenhagen

Hoffman and Vessy or Hoffman and Namestnikov I love love love

If it's possible to replace Hall + Ennis on the roster above with Hoffman + Granlund for about the same $10M, that would be pretty much ideal. Granlund is coming off a down year and Hoffman comes with well-known baggage, so it might be possible. That would boost scoring considerably and push this team into the top echelon of contenders.

Hoffman - McDavid - Granlund: 100 goals
Nuge - Draisaitl - Yamamoto: 90 goals
Athanasiou - Soderberg - Kassian: 50 goals
4th line + spares: 25 goals
Defensemen: 30 goals

That's 3.60 GF/GP. With the improvement in net the Oilers should be able to reduce their goals-against from 3.03 GA/GP to something like 2.90, giving them a goal differential of +0.70 per game. That puts them among the best teams in the league:

BOS +0.85
TBL +0.70
COL +0.66
PHI +0.52
STL +0.46
PIT +0.36
WAS +0.35
CAR +0.35

Of course, anything can happen, you could have a number of players take a step back, injuries, etc. But adding this type of skill can only make the team stronger going forward.

Copenhagen liked this.

May 1, 2020 at 1:58 p.m.

#35

Goilersfan1215

Joined: Jan. 2017

Posts: 852

Likes: 194

Quoting: CD282

Just wanted to say I LOVE this draft chart. This represents a HUGE win if the Oilers amateur scouting team can pull it off. A draft like this would set the franchise up for another 15 years.

I would be pretty pumped if we had a draft that looked similar to this, especially if we are able to grab Jarvis at 20 and Benning at 65. Those are two very good looking picks

CD282 and BeterChiarelli liked this.

May 1, 2020 at 11:32 p.m.

#36

Copenhagen

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 6,640

Likes: 2,513

Quoting: Goilersfan1215

For 6 million I like Hall too. FOr 9 million and 8 years I dont like Hall

Goilersfan1215 and CD282 liked this.

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