My final take- Leafs fans read this Also EDM NSH OTT

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: firezfurx

Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs

Initial Creation Date: May 4, 2020

Published: May 4, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

My moves explained:
-Kerfoot is a good 3C/LW, but is simply too expensive. Nashville is a team that wants younger players to do a minor rebuild. Jarnkrok is a cheap 3C. Seems fair to me, and to people I've asked.

-DeMelo is an excellent shutdown DFD and would be the perfect partner for Rielly. However, with up and coming guys like Sandin an Liljigren the term doesn't have to be too long.

-Puljajarvi is a problematic player. He is still good prospect, but his refusal to play is alarming. I'd have him worth at about a 2nd and a 4th. Toronto is a very European-friendly team with tons of their roster coming from there, and with the arrival of Lehtonen and the success of Kapanen I think he would be happy to play in Toronto. The extra picks might be unnecessary. I have Kapanen on his off-wing but he's done it in the past and if it means that JP develops well it's not a huge deal. He is still playing RW on the PP and PK.

-Bogosian is a very under rated DMan and has been passed over lots. He would be a great insurance guy in case Lehtonen doesn't turn out. Also for when 3/4 of the D ends up getting injured.

-I really really hate trading Dermott, but in the end it's him or DeMelo theres not room for both. It just feels bad trading a skilled young defensemen who's been playing since he's 21. It would be bad if Dermott turned into a star with another team, but this is a risk I'm willing to take:
As Dermott is a healthy scratch on this team I see him getting moved to a team that is rebuilding and would love a young defensemen who can play on the right side comfortably, and in the future can play with their elite LHD. Ottawa comes to mind. I had Toronto taking back a third which seems reasonable as well as Jaros who isn't really an NHLer but if everyone gets injured again I think he could play up.

-The special teams make enough sense. The PP looks excellent. Lehtonen is a proven OFD QB and could really take charge of that second unit. While the PK isn't great it's gotten better. Demelo is an excellent DFD for that first unit. For the second unit I put Sandin over Rielly as Sandin is looking for more minutes, while Rielly is looking for yes and hopefully saving him that 2 min a night can help keep him healthy. If Sandin can't play PP minutes Bogosian may have to start playing. I would not play Lehtonen on a PK unit, as the KHL-NHL ice is different and positioning is different. He is also quite small and isn't a PK guy anyway.

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Puljujärvi, Jesse		2	$925,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Mikheyev, Ilya	3	$1,850,000
Jaros, Christian	2	$800,000
Brooks, Adam	2	$800,000

UFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
DeMelo, Dylan	3	$3,500,000
Spezza, Jason	1	$700,000
Bogosian, Zach	1	$1,200,000

Trades

TOR

Järnkrok, Calle

NSH

TOR

Puljujärvi, Jesse [Reserve List]
2020 5th round pick (EDM)
2021 4th round pick (EDM)

Additional Details:

JP needs a new start. Playing and growing with Kapanen could be great for him.

EDM

Johnsson, Andreas

Additional Details:

Edmonton is sick of JP, and have a particularly weak LW. Johnsson is a 40 point player when healthy, and could play well with McDavid and Ennis.

TOR

Jaros, Christian [RFA Rights]
2020 3rd round pick (OTT)

Additional Details:

TOR takes back someone who has NHL experience and although will be an AHL guy when 3/4 of the D corps gets injured he can play up for a bit.

OTT

Dermott, Travis [RFA Rights]

TOR

2021 7th round pick (OTT)

OTT

Åberg, Pontus [RFA Rights]
Veronneau, Max [RFA Rights]

Additional Details:

Ottawa liked Verroneau and Aberg will likely go back to the SHL so for Ottawa it is really getting back an AHL guy they liked and hopefully can play up in the future and a guy who might be an AHL guy or an SHL guy for a pick. Low risk low reward for both parties involved.

Buyouts

Mikhail Grabovski: $0

Retained Salary Transactions

Phil Kessel: $1,200,000 (15%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2020
2021
2022

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$81,500,000	$80,374,783	$0	$0	$1,125,217

Roster

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Hyman, Zach $2,250,000$2,250,000 RW, LW M-NTC UFA - 1	Matthews, Auston $11,640,250$11,640,250 C UFA - 4	Marner, Mitchell $10,903,000$10,903,000 RW UFA - 5
Mikheyev, Ilya $1,850,000$1,850,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	Tavares, John $11,000,000$11,000,000 C, LW NMC UFA - 5	Nylander, William $6,962,366$6,962,366 RW UFA - 4
Kapanen, Kasperi $3,200,000$3,200,000 RW UFA - 2	Järnkrok, Calle $1,000,000$1,000,000 RW, C, LW UFA - 2	Puljujärvi, Jesse $925,000$925,000 RW UFA - 2
Engvall, Pierre $1,250,000$1,250,000 RW, LW UFA - 2		Barabanov, Alexander $925,000$925,000 RW, LW UFA - 1
	Spezza, Jason $700,000$700,000 C, RW UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Rielly, Morgan $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 2	DeMelo, Dylan $3,500,000$3,500,000 RD UFA - 4	Andersen, Frederik $5,000,000$5,000,000 G M-NTC UFA - 1
Muzzin, Jake $5,625,000$5,625,000 LD NMC UFA - 4	Holl, Justin $2,000,000$2,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 3	Campbell, Jack $1,650,000$1,650,000 G UFA - 2
	Lehtonen, Mikko $925,000$925,000 LD UFA - 1
Sandin, Rasmus $894,167$894,167 LD UFA - 2	Bogosian, Zach $1,200,000$1,200,000 RD UFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Petan, Nicolas $775,000$775,000 C, LW, RW UFA - 1

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Nylander, W.		Tavares, J.		Matthews, A.
	Rielly, M.		Marner, M.

Power Play 2
Hyman, Z.		Järnkrok, C.		Kapanen, K.
	Mikheyev, I.		Lehtonen, M.

Penalty Kill 1
	Engvall, P.	Marner, M.
	Muzzin, J.	DeMelo, D.

Penalty Kill 2
	Hyman, Z.	Kapanen, K.
	Sandin, R.	Holl, J.

May 4, 2020 at 3:11 p.m.

leafs101

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 11,202

Likes: 5,207

Dermott is worth more

Saskleaf liked this.

May 4, 2020 at 3:12 p.m.

JaredOfLondon

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 19,579

Likes: 7,353

Bogosian isnt over looked, he's just terrible.

May 4, 2020 at 3:14 p.m.

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: leafs101

Dermott is worth more

Thank you! Lots of people think hes worth a 3rd but he should get at least a 2nd. I just didn't want to start a war.

May 4, 2020 at 3:14 p.m.

leafs101

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 11,202

Likes: 5,207

Quoting: firezfurx

Thank you! Lots of people think hes worth a 3rd but he should get at least a 2nd. I just didn't want to start a war.

I wouldn't move him for less than a 2nd+ unless I absolutely had to

May 4, 2020 at 3:15 p.m.

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: JaredOfLondon

Bogosian isnt over looked, he's just terrible.

I don't know. His advanced stats and basic stats are pretty good and I don't want to seem like a stathead but he seems good to me. Alternatively you keep Dermott which is just as good.

May 4, 2020 at 3:18 p.m.

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: leafs101

I wouldn't move him for less than a 2nd+ unless I absolutely had to

Ya I really don't like the idea of moving him but it might be necessary. If you don't move him don't sign Bogosian. Pretty simple.

May 4, 2020 at 3:24 p.m.

JaredOfLondon

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 19,579

Likes: 7,353

Quoting: firezfurx

I don't know. His advanced stats and basic stats are pretty good and I don't want to seem like a stathead but he seems good to me. Alternatively you keep Dermott which is just as good.

what? his stats are junk all around, even with an 8 game blip to "ok" playing sheltered as hell on Tampa. He's not a regular NHL guy anymore and he certainly isnt worth over a million dollars on a roster where he cant be sheltered like a fresh faced rookie.

May 4, 2020 at 3:25 p.m.

villenash

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 10,247

Likes: 7,114

I don't mind kerfoot, but I think the preds pass. The other two added to the trade do nothing - and really just seems like a lateral move for NSH. So may as well just keep the known commodity that is already well liked on the team

gmgb liked this.

May 4, 2020 at 3:28 p.m.

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: JaredOfLondon

what? His corsi and fenwick for are both above 50%, his offensive stats are fine and even if he was playing slightly sheltered minutes he was still 3rd pairing! It's rare you see 3rd pairing guys anywhere near a 50% on those metrics. Also, his numbers weren't improved after going to TB and even when he was playing for a god-awful Buffalo he played well. I get everyone looks at stats differently but that seems self-explanatory.

May 4, 2020 at 3:28 p.m.

#10

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: villenash

Yea I saw that coming. What else would NSH want out of that?

May 4, 2020 at 3:35 p.m.

#11

JaredOfLondon

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 19,579

Likes: 7,353

Quoting: firezfurx

his raw corsi and fenwick are only above 50% for the 8 games he was with tampa. Like literally for his entire career all the way back to atlanta, his icetime was 6th among defenders on tampa, almost 3 mins less a game than the 5th guy (shattenkirk) so he may have been getting 3rd pairing icetime by technicality, he was still used significantly less than the other 3rd pairing guy.
This isnt about seeing stats differently, this is about realizing that 8 games on the best team in the NHL behind one of the best defensive teams in the NHL does not good stats make

firezfurx liked this.

May 4, 2020 at 3:35 p.m.

#12

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: JaredOfLondon

Fair

May 4, 2020 at 3:45 p.m.

#13

Silverbug

tml

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 294

Likes: 63

Be careful with trading Veronneau to Ottawa as we have to give Ottawa a 6th if he plays 10 nhl games!

May 4, 2020 at 3:46 p.m.

#14

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: Silverbug

Be careful with trading Veronneau to Ottawa as we have to give Ottawa a 6th if he plays 10 nhl games!

Oh forgot about that. Maybe send him to MTL instead then.

May 4, 2020 at 3:49 p.m.

#15

ZPirtle

Go Preds

Joined: Dec. 2016

Posts: 682

Likes: 229

Quoting: villenash

I see this as a slight upgrade offensively, but not sure if Kerfoot brings the same defensive game. Don't know that much about him, but Kerfoot is 3 years younger, and seems to have offensive potential. Jarnkrok has never cracked 35 points, but Kerfoot has cracked 40 is 2 of 3 seasons.

Quoting: firezfurx

Yea I saw that coming. What else would NSH want out of that?

I'd say Kerfoot and a 5th for Jarnkrok is fair given the salary difference.

May 4, 2020 at 3:56 p.m.

#16

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: ZPirtle

Thats it? I mean Goat and the others arent great but I'd rather have them then a 5th. Dubas would take that all day

May 4, 2020 at 4:06 p.m.

#17

gmgb

Joined: Jun. 2017

Posts: 7,597

Likes: 5,193

Quoting: firezfurx

Yea I saw that coming. What else would NSH want out of that?

I don't have much interest in Kerfoot. But if NSH were to move Jarnkrok, maybe something like a 2nd, a 4th & Jesper Lindgren?

May 4, 2020 at 4:07 p.m.

#18

villenash

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 10,247

Likes: 7,114

Quoting: firezfurx

Yea I saw that coming. What else would NSH want out of that?

Looking at what some teams got for cheap forwards at the deadline this season, I think if they trade him that they would get the most value at a time like that. Given the right circumstances, who knows, maybe he could fetch a 1st or a 2nd + good prospect or something like that (referencing Goodrow, Coleman). If NSH was trading for Kerfoot, I'd rather keep Jarnkrok and run them on the same line. I think losing Jarnkrok to get Kerfoot doesn't move the needle enough for NSH. If TOR needed a player back in a Kerfoot trade, I'd probably lean towards Bonino over Jarnkrok and add whatever on either side to make it work. I'm not sure if NSH even makes any big trades this summer - I see them more active in free agency.

May 4, 2020 at 4:12 p.m.

#19

Saskleaf

Go leafs go

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 13,207

Likes: 9,173

Quoting: leafs101

Dermott is worth more

Quoting: firezfurx

Thank you! Lots of people think hes worth a 3rd but he should get at least a 2nd. I just didn't want to start a war.

Completely agree with you guys. I even posted that Dermott would get a first if you packaged him with a fourth and a fifth. Wouldn’t even consider trading him for a second.

May 4, 2020 at 4:15 p.m.

#20

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,955

Likes: 7,725

Edmonton declines. If you want to substitute Johnsson with Kerfoot or Kapanen they would listen, but they aren't interested in Johnsson.

May 4, 2020 at 4:34 p.m.

#21

DonkeyLips

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 1,681

Likes: 373

There isnt anything the leaves could do to get themselves passed the 1st round. They are a terrible organization. Even if there was something they could do, they are too stupid to actually execute it. They couldn't even name the right guy captain.

May 4, 2020 at 4:59 p.m.

#22

leafs101

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 11,202

Likes: 5,207

Quoting: CD282

Edmonton declines. If you want to substitute Johnsson with Kerfoot or Kapanen they would listen, but they aren't interested in Johnsson.

Hah! Kapanen or Kerfoot for a guy who refuses to come back to EDM and isn't even a sure thing in the NHL? Ok there

May 4, 2020 at 5:00 p.m.

#23

leafs101

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 11,202

Likes: 5,207

Also kapanen was not good on his off wing

May 4, 2020 at 5:06 p.m.

#24

CD282

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 23,955

Likes: 7,725

Quoting: leafs101

Hah! Kapanen or Kerfoot for a guy who refuses to come back to EDM and isn't even a sure thing in the NHL? Ok there

Sure, then no deal.

May 4, 2020 at 6:04 p.m.

#25

firezfurx

Thread Starter

Dubas isnt a genius

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 2,824

Likes: 681

Quoting: gmgb

I don't have much interest in Kerfoot. But if NSH were to move Jarnkrok, maybe something like a 2nd, a 4th & Jesper Lindgren?

Jesper Lindgren? I'm not complaining.
And yes because we could trade Kerfoot for those picks, and Lindgren has almost no value to us.

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