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Advanced Stats Leafs

Created by: firezfurx
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: May 25, 2020
Published: May 25, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Advanced stats say this team would be really really good, even the defense.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$3,000,000
3$1,750,000
3$2,000,000
2$1,250,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$700,000
Trades
1.
TOR
  1. 2020 3rd round pick (EDM)
  2. 2021 3rd round pick (EDM)
EDM
  1. Kerfoot, Alexander
2.
TOR
  1. Wallmark, Lucas [RFA Rights]
  2. Weegar, MacKenzie [RFA Rights]
FLA
  1. Duszak, Joseph
  2. Johnsson, Andreas
  3. 2020 3rd round pick (EDM)
  4. 2020 4th round pick (TOR)
  5. 2020 6th round pick (CAR)
Additional Details:
Another pick?
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the STL
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2022
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$81,499,783$0$0$217

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Hyman, Zach
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Matthews, Auston
$11,640,250$11,640,250
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Marner, Mitchell
$10,903,000$10,903,000
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Mikheyev, Ilya
$1,750,000$1,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Tavares, John
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Nylander, William
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Engvall, Pierre
$1,250,000$1,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Kapanen, Kasperi
$3,200,000$3,200,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Barabanov, Alexander
$925,000$925,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Waivers ExemptKorshkov, Yegor
$925,000$925,000
RW
RFA - 1
Wallmark, Lucas
$2,000,000$2,000,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Spezza, Jason
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Rielly, Morgan
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Weegar, MacKenzie
$3,000,000$3,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Andersen, Frederik
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Muzzin, Jake
$5,625,000$5,625,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Holl, Justin
$2,000,000$2,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Campbell, Jack
$1,650,000$1,650,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Lehtonen, Mikko
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Dermott, Travis
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Sandin, Rasmus
$894,167$894,167
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Marincin, Martin
$700,000$700,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Rosén, Calle
$750,000$750,000
LD
UFA - 1

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May 25, 2020 at 3:18 p.m.
#1
KakkoForMauriceRichardAward
Brace for the Storm
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Joined: May 2017
Posts: 12,840
Likes: 6,647
Because advanced stats alone are so good
vr1995 liked this.
May 25, 2020 at 3:19 p.m.
#2
firezfurx
Thread Starter
Dubas isnt a genius
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Joined: Apr. 2020
Posts: 2,824
Likes: 681
Quoting: KakkoForMauriceRichardAward
Because advanced stats alone are so good


Thats the irony. That defense looks like sh*t but according to legitimate advanced stats (mostly CF%, xGa TM REL/60, and Sh%) this defense should shut down an elite offensive team. The reality is likely somewhere in between.
May 25, 2020 at 3:19 p.m.
#3
UpsideDownQue
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Joined: Aug. 2017
Posts: 8,440
Likes: 6,060
which advanced stats say that?
May 25, 2020 at 3:19 p.m.
#4
ChiHawk
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Joined: Apr. 2017
Posts: 18,980
Likes: 9,276
Instead of the 3rd, 4th and 6th, you're probably looking at a 2nd and 5th.
May 25, 2020 at 3:23 p.m.
#5
Wqrrior
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Joined: Feb. 2019
Posts: 10,304
Likes: 3,986
florida only does that trade if kerfoot is involved, and dermott accompanies him.
May 25, 2020 at 3:31 p.m.
#6
firezfurx
Thread Starter
Dubas isnt a genius
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Joined: Apr. 2020
Posts: 2,824
Likes: 681
Quoting: Wqrrior
florida only does that trade if kerfoot is involved, and dermott accompanies him.


They can take Kerfoot or really any defensive prospect they want not named Liljegren, but Dermott has crazy good advanced stats and since for this ACGM that's all I'm looking at he's untouchable.
I4evrblue liked this.
May 25, 2020 at 3:34 p.m.
#7
Barilko14
In Pridham we trust
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Joined: May 2015
Posts: 3,589
Likes: 1,969
Quoting: firezfurx
Thats the irony. That defense looks like sh*t but according to legitimate advanced stats (mostly CF%, xGa TM REL/60, and Sh%) this defense should shut down an elite offensive team. The reality is likely somewhere in between.


Why does that defence look like ****? Looks like best case scenario to me, considering they won't be acquiring a Seth Jones or Victor Hedman.

Seems like Weegar would be a great partner for Rielly (who finished 5th in Norris voting while paired with Ron Hainsey). I don't really think this team needs the second coming of Nik Lidstrom in order for their defence to be decent.
May 25, 2020 at 3:37 p.m.
#8
firezfurx
Thread Starter
Dubas isnt a genius
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Joined: Apr. 2020
Posts: 2,824
Likes: 681
Quoting: Barilko14
Why does that defence look like ****? Looks like best case scenario to me, considering they won't be acquiring a Seth Jones or Victor Hedman.

Seems like Weegar would a great partner for Rielly (who finished 5th in Norris voting while paired with Ron Hainsey). I don't really think this team needs a the second coming of Nik Lidstrom in order for their defence to be decent.


Yea Weegar has insane shot suppresion and is very VERY good on odd-man rushes. The idea is that Weegar is more stay-at-home allowing Rielly to go on the offensive, similar to what Hainsey did. To most other fanbases it looks bad considering they don't know how good Muzzin + Holl is and have never looked at advanced stats in their life.
May 25, 2020 at 3:38 p.m.
#9
LeafsFanForSomeReason
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Joined: Jan. 2020
Posts: 6,712
Likes: 5,221
Quoting: Barilko14
Why does that defence look like ****? Looks like best case scenario to me, considering they won't be acquiring a Seth Jones or Victor Hedman.

Seems like Weegar would be a great partner for Rielly (who finished 5th in Norris voting while paired with Ron Hainsey). I don't really think this team needs the second coming of Nik Lidstrom in order for their defence to be decent.


I really do have high hopes that the Leafs can acquire Weegar. Has absurd advanced stats, limits shots/goals against, I think he would make an excellent partner for Rielly. Tallon also isn't exactly known for embracing analytics, so he could come for a decent price.
Barilko14, firezfurx and I4evrblue liked this.
 
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