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2020-21 pred

Created by: adawson01
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 14, 2020
Published: Jun. 14, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Blackwood could also just be a Lehner or Murray or any goalie that is of their ilk in FA.
Andersen trade only occurs with a suitable replacement.
I can provide some explanations for some of my trades but will for sure listen to any reasonings against them on all sides.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
4$4,220,000
3$1,850,000
1$1,250,000
1$825,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$3,000,000
Offer Sheets
Offer sheet annual average (AAV) is calculated by dividing the contract value by the lower of: 1. The contract length, or 2. Five years
PLAYERAAVCOMPENSATION
Blackwood, Mackenzie$4,220,000
2021 2nd round pick
Trades
1.
TOR
  1. Formenton, Alex
  2. Gustavsson, Filip
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (OTT)
  4. 2021 4th round pick (COL)
Additional Details:
2nd becomes a 1st if Ott makes playoffs and Andersen plays 45+ games for NHL team next season.
OTT
  1. Andersen, Frederik
  2. 2021 4th round pick (TOR)
Additional Details:
This trade only occurs if we go out early in playoffs (play-in or 1st round) and we sign blackwood. 4th(tor) gets the conditional 2nd from ottawa to make up for quality discrepancy in players. Toronto gets younger and less cap hit in goalie (more secure? for longer). Formenton is fast and can be nasty could be a similar player to Kap if we ever trade him. Gustavson has some chops and has played in NHL before and will allow our young goalies to continue to dev in minors.
2.
TOR
  1. 2021 2nd round pick (EDM)
  2. 2021 5th round pick (DET)
3.
TOR
  1. 2020 6th round pick (MIN)
Additional Details:
likely a 5-7 rounder or two or as sweetner.
MIN
  1. Bracco, Jeremy [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
Anyone. He seems displeased in Toronto and clearly not part of our plans.
4.
MTL
  1. Kerfoot, Alexander
  2. 2021 2nd round pick (EDM)
  3. 2021 4th round pick (COL)
  4. 2022 3rd round pick (TOR)
Additional Details:
3rd in 2022 becomes a 1st if Danault re-signs during his UFA year in for Toronto.
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the STL
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the DET
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2022
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$81,105,616$0$0$394,384

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,640,250$11,640,250
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$10,903,000$10,903,000
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,250,000$1,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,083,333$3,083,333
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,200,000$3,200,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$821,667$821,667
LW, RW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$725,000$725,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
$3,000,000$3,000,000
RD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,625,000$5,625,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,000,000$2,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
$4,220,000$4,220,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,850,000$1,850,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,650,000$1,650,000
G
UFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
LD
UFA - 1

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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:10 p.m.
#1
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Welcome to Capfriendly.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:11 p.m.
#2
Hakuna Matata
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K issues

NJ matches as they got significantly more cap space and Blackwood is their new starter.
Danault is worth way more than that even if he is a rental.
Ottawa has no need of freddie they got Nilsson/Hogberg as their tandem next year.
Johnsson could probs get a third and a 5th if lucky but a 2nd would be wishful thinking. Maybe a conditional 2nd but even thats a gamble.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:15 p.m.
#3
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Ottawa is the last team who would ever trade for Andersen. They're a rebuilding team, and there's no way it makes sense for them to ever look at re-signing him, so it would be as a pure rental, in a rebuilding year, for a team that already has two NHL goalies.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:18 p.m.
#4
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Lol, 2+ million for ruan Reaves
Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:20 p.m.
#5
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Every teams decline
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:23 p.m.
#6
Pop Pop
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Id rather have kerfoot than johnsson
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:29 p.m.
#7
its been a pleasure
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Quoting: LeafsFanForSomeReason
Welcome to Capfriendly.


Hey that's my job
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:39 p.m.
#8
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: Claesson4Norris
Ottawa is the last team who would ever trade for Andersen. They're a rebuilding team, and there's no way it makes sense for them to ever look at re-signing him, so it would be as a pure rental, in a rebuilding year, for a team that already has two NHL goalies.


You do make fair points. I think it could work even so as Andersen is proven at NHL, would provide both short and long term stability in the position and has trust of their coach and if Ottawa will not commit to winning at some point their RFA may seek to be truly paid (ala Marner) to play in Ottawa even with their pieces. The price for the transaction is also fairly reasonable as well IMO.
Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:42 p.m.
#9
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Lol, 2+ million for ruan Reaves


yeah that may be an overpay (1.5 to 1.8 may be more accurate) but he would fill alot of roles for us I would think and Vegas among other teams may be in the lookout for a guy like him. Plus who wouldn't want a guy w playoff exp, fights, hits and can chip in some goals if asked. Seems like the kind of guy it would be good to have against Boston too.
Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:44 p.m.
#10
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: Jfstompers
Id rather have kerfoot than johnsson


Fair. I do like Kerfoot and Johnsson, however I think it would ultimately help the team a bit to fix some hole and replenish our draft stock a bit. Dubas has some good history with drafting so far at least. If we could get Danault. (many of stats I found on NHL and Cap friendly suggest their playstyle and contracts bang for buck suggest similar yields). Danault as 3rd c would be filthy even just one year.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 7:47 p.m.
#11
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: aadoyle
K issues

NJ matches as they got significantly more cap space and Blackwood is their new starter.
Danault is worth way more than that even if he is a rental.
Ottawa has no need of freddie they got Nilsson/Hogberg as their tandem next year.
Johnsson could probs get a third and a 5th if lucky but a 2nd would be wishful thinking. Maybe a conditional 2nd but even thats a gamble.


1. Agree Blackwood likely is retained but a man can dream.
2. Danault is better but is not signed as long Kerfoot is younger and signed longer and produces similar to him even now. You could sweeten more from toronto's end but only if he re-signs with us.
3. See another thread for my reasoning for Ott and Andersen.
4. Johnsson I'd be down for cond 2nd but Id also consider holding onto him so we aren't trading from low point too.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:07 p.m.
#12
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Let's not be dismissive of new people posting teams.

Kerfoot is no slouch, so I agree the difference is not that big there. I like Danault as he's more of a prototypical 3C, but he will ask for more money. So in 2 years, the Leafs will end up back to square one.

The DeMelo sign is something Leafs should consider. The Reaves one, however, no.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:10 p.m.
#13
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: leaflet
Let's not be dismissive of new people posting teams.

Kerfoot is no slouch, so I agree the difference is not that big there. I like Danault as he's more of a prototypical 3C, but he will ask for more money. So in 2 years, the Leafs will end up back to square one.

The DeMelo sign is something Leafs should consider. The Reaves one, however, no.


I'd be curious of hearing why no to Reaves. I always like watching the guy play. I will say I didn't watch alot of Vegas this year though maybe 5 -7 times max but I liked him pretty much every time and on 1 year i don't hate the idea (clearly).
Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:17 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: adawson01
You do make fair points. I think it could work even so as Andersen is proven at NHL, would provide both short and long term stability in the position and has trust of their coach and if Ottawa will not commit to winning at some point their RFA may seek to be truly paid (ala Marner) to play in Ottawa even with their pieces. The price for the transaction is also fairly reasonable as well IMO.


Andersen was not meaningfully better than Nilsson this year, and the Sens have Marcus Hogberg who is coming off a solid rookie season and is 100% deserving of ome of two NHL jobs. So either you're either swapping Andersen for Nilsson, which is a marginal upgrade at best, or he plays over Hogberg, at which point you probably lose him either to Waivers, or when he goes back to Sweden instead of reporting to Belleville.

Furthermore, there's no way signing Andersen ever makes sense for a team in Ottawa's position. Either he has another down season like this year, and there's no way you can give him a contract given his age, or he bounces back, but then he's likely asking for term on his next deal which is a red flag. Sens competitive window will be opening after next season, Andersen will be 32+ as Ottawa's window starts to open. That just doesn't bode well for the long term viability of the Sens with they are starting their window with a goalie on the decline.

Also even if they were interested for whatever reason, they aren't giving up Formenton. There's too much potential there for it to ever make sense.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:21 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: adawson01
I'd be curious of hearing why no to Reaves. I always like watching the guy play. I will say I didn't watch alot of Vegas this year though maybe 5 -7 times max but I liked him pretty much every time and on 1 year i don't hate the idea (clearly).


Maybe in a scenario where we have more space. In the current cap situation, and given that I wouldn't expect Keefe to play him much, that 2.2M is too high. Signing Clifford instead, say at 1.25M if he accepts that, may actually work to keep some kind of physical presence.
Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:26 p.m.
#16
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: leaflet
Maybe in a scenario where we have more space. In the current cap situation, and given that I wouldn't expect Keefe to play him much, that 2.2M is too high. Signing Clifford instead, say at 1.25M if he accepts that, may actually work to keep some kind of physical presence.


That is a good argument for sure. Clifford will still be a solid Reaves like player for likely less.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:32 p.m.
#17
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: Claesson4Norris
Andersen was not meaningfully better than Nilsson this year, and the Sens have Marcus Hogberg who is coming off a solid rookie season and is 100% deserving of ome of two NHL jobs. So either you're either swapping Andersen for Nilsson, which is a marginal upgrade at best, or he plays over Hogberg, at which point you probably lose him either to Waivers, or when he goes back to Sweden instead of reporting to Belleville.

Furthermore, there's no way signing Andersen ever makes sense for a team in Ottawa's position. Either he has another down season like this year, and there's no way you can give him a contract given his age, or he bounces back, but then he's likely asking for term on his next deal which is a red flag. Sens competitive window will be opening after next season, Andersen will be 32+ as Ottawa's window starts to open. That just doesn't bode well for the long term viability of the Sens with they are starting their window with a goalie on the decline.

Also even if they were interested for whatever reason, they aren't giving up Formenton. There's too much potential there for it to ever make sense.


I think with their other forawrd options and how this year went I don't think formenton is seen as such a valuable commodity in OTT or NHL overall. I would argue that this year is an anomaly for Andersen just based on past performance but I certainly understand the concern Ottawa would have in signing him. Keep in mind that Blackwood would unlikely become a leaf as NJ would likely retain meaning we likely just keep andersen as our starter anyways. If we retain andersen then I think things work differently over the offseason to ensure we are better suited to handle his departure starting after this summer.
Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:52 p.m.
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Wow! This Habs trade is brutal...
Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:54 p.m.
#19
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: Suzuki_Cup
Wow! This Habs trade is brutal...


Care to elaborate?
Jun. 14, 2020 at 8:55 p.m.
#20
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Quoting: adawson01
I think with their other forawrd options and how this year went I don't think formenton is seen as such a valuable commodity in OTT or NHL overall. I would argue that this year is an anomaly for Andersen just based on past performance but I certainly understand the concern Ottawa would have in signing him. Keep in mind that Blackwood would unlikely become a leaf as NJ would likely retain meaning we likely just keep andersen as our starter anyways. If we retain andersen then I think things work differently over the offseason to ensure we are better suited to handle his departure starting after this summer.


Alex Formenton just had a fantastic season in Belleville, where he was on pace to hit over 30 goals as a rookie. I think one of the reasons he doesn't get credit as a offensive talent is his lack of outstanding Junior production, and his rep as a defensive specialist/PK guy. I think he has the potential to be a Kapanen style middle six winger. Sens have a lot of really good forwards, but Formenton is definitely a really important part of their future, even if he's more of a 3rd liner than a 1st or 2nd liner.

Also I think Toronto would be smart to make a play for a goalie this offseason. If Lehner or Markstrom hit the open market I think they should try and sign one, then trade Andersen to whoever misses out.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 9:08 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: adawson01
yeah that may be an overpay (1.5 to 1.8 may be more accurate) but he would fill alot of roles for us I would think and Vegas among other teams may be in the lookout for a guy like him. Plus who wouldn't want a guy w playoff exp, fights, hits and can chip in some goals if asked. Seems like the kind of guy it would be good to have against Boston too.


Hes literally the last thing the leafs need and wouldn't do a thing to help in any significant way over boston.
Jun. 14, 2020 at 9:22 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: adawson01
Fair. I do like Kerfoot and Johnsson, however I think it would ultimately help the team a bit to fix some hole and replenish our draft stock a bit. Dubas has some good history with drafting so far at least. If we could get Danault. (many of stats I found on NHL and Cap friendly suggest their playstyle and contracts bang for buck suggest similar yields). Danault as 3rd c would be filthy even just one year.


Johnsson is a LW and wing Detroit deepest position. They have a much bigger need for a LD, C and G. So I just don't see Detroit giving up 2nd for a winger.
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Jun. 14, 2020 at 9:37 p.m.
#23
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GuzzytheGaul
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Quoting: aedoran
Johnsson is a LW and wing Detroit deepest position. They have a much bigger need for a LD, C and G. So I just don't see Detroit giving up 2nd for a winger.


That is fair. I can't say I watched alot of Detroit recently but they seemed like they could use just about anyone right now.
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Jun. 15, 2020 at 8:37 a.m.
#24
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Quoting: adawson01
Care to elaborate?


Habs will not trade Danault, he will stay in MTL. He was our BP during many games this year. Danault has chances to be a Selke finalist in a few years, which Kerfoot probably won't be. A 3rd round pick doesn't close the gap.
Habs also have no reason to do that trade. Why trade our best center for another one? I haven't watched a lot of Kerfoot, but I'm pretty sure that he will never be what Danault is presently.
I understand the trade from the Leafs side, but not on the Habs side.
Jun. 15, 2020 at 11:49 a.m.
#25
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hahahaha
 
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