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Swapping Bad Defencemen Based On Scuderi-Daley Trade

Created by: AnalyticsGeek
Team: 2020-21 Pittsburgh Penguins
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 19, 2020
Published: Jun. 19, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Personally I think there are better ways of dealing with the JJ situation, however, the Penguins have made a similar trade in the past, therefore, it gave me an idea to do it again. Both defencemen in this scenario are horrible, they have term on their contract & their underlying numbers are trash. However, Gostisbehere’s playing style & overall upside reminds me of Trevor Daley. An offensive minded defenceman known for his skating & mobility. Obviously he plays a risky game, but perhaps playing in the Pens speed puck possession system will help him rejuvenate his career.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$5,000,000
2$3,000,000
2$3,250,000
2$1,850,000
2$1,850,000
Trades
1.
PIT
    Future Considerations
    2.
    PIT
    1. Gostisbehere, Shayne ($750,000 retained)
    Buried
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2020
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    2021
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the ANA
    2022
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    22$81,500,000$79,752,675$0$1,245,000$1,747,325

    Roster

    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $4,500,000$4,500,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $8,700,000$8,700,000
    C
    NMC
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $5,300,000$5,300,000
    RW
    NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $5,500,000$5,500,000
    LW, RW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $9,500,000$9,500,000
    C
    NMC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $3,500,000$3,500,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $1,850,000$1,850,000
    LW, C
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $3,250,000$3,250,000
    C, LW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $1,850,000$1,850,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $1,000,000$1,000,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $750,000$750,000
    C, LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $3,500,000$3,500,000
    LW, RW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 5
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $4,100,000$4,100,000
    LD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $7,250,000$7,250,000
    RD
    M-NTC, NMC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $5,000,000$5,000,000
    G
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $4,025,175$4,025,175
    LD
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
    RD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $3,000,000$3,000,000
    G
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $700,000$700,000
    RD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
    $3,750,000$3,750,000
    LD/RD
    UFA - 3
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $764,167$764,167 (Performance Bonus$182,500$182K)
    C
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
    LD
    RFA - 2

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    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:41 p.m.
    #1
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    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:42 p.m.
    #2
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    Gostisbehere is younger and has much higher upside. Not sure why PHI would do this, let alone with the retention
    Pmwalker liked this.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:45 p.m.
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    Jack Johnson will need to be attached with a pretty high pick to be moved with out retention. I would expect the Marleau to CAR deal would be the comparable to move him.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:47 p.m.
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    Pmwalker
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    Ghost isn’t a bad defenseman. He was a hurt defenseman who had some confidence issues on top of it. He stated to play better before the break and his confidence was up as well. Zero chance we do this.
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    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:50 p.m.
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    Not a chance. Flyers can still trade ghost for picks/prospects. Johnson has negative value and the Pens would need add a to a first to move him. He doesn't get Ghost plus retention.
    Pmwalker liked this.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 2:56 p.m.
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    Quoting: Itchy22
    Jack Johnson will need to be attached with a pretty high pick to be moved with out retention. I would expect the Marleau to CAR deal would be the comparable to move him.


    yawn...... it costs a 1st to move Gudbranson.....
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 3:00 p.m.
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    If you are looking to play Ghost for 3 years, then I guess it's ok for the penguins.

    Personally I don't like it.
    The buyout on Ghost is awful.
    The penguins would have a much easier time moving JJ than Ghost if they wanted to dump the final 2 years of the contract.
    JJ buyout in the final 2 years.
    $1,125,000, $1,875,000, $875,000, $875,000
    an actual buyout cost of $3,500,000

    Ghost buyout is .
    $3,833,333, $3,833,333, $333,333, $333,333
    an actual buyout cost of $1,333,333.

    In other words, you can't really save cap in buying out Ghost.
    It's a non starter. if you are trying to move him to another team.
    JJ is much easier to trade.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 4:11 p.m.
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    Quoting: pharrow
    If you are looking to play Ghost for 3 years, then I guess it's ok for the penguins.

    Personally I don't like it.
    The buyout on Ghost is awful.
    The penguins would have a much easier time moving JJ than Ghost if they wanted to dump the final 2 years of the contract.
    JJ buyout in the final 2 years.
    $1,125,000, $1,875,000, $875,000, $875,000
    an actual buyout cost of $3,500,000

    Ghost buyout is .
    $3,833,333, $3,833,333, $333,333, $333,333
    an actual buyout cost of $1,333,333.

    In other words, you can't really save cap in buying out Ghost.
    It's a non starter. if you are trying to move him to another team.
    JJ is much easier to trade.


    Why would anyone consider buying Ghost out though. He’s not nearly as bad as these boards make him out to be and with that contract. Considering him a buyout candidate Is laughable. Players get hurt and sometimes lack confidence.....doesn’t mean they can’t get healthy and grow more confidence.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 4:14 p.m.
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    No way flyers do it, but I could see a similar Johnson for underperforming D with higher upside
    penguindude87 liked this.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 4:20 p.m.
    #10
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    Edited Jun. 19, 2020 at 4:46 p.m.
    Ottawa says NO THANKS. We might take on a contract to help us reach the floor but, if it's not a player we actually want, there are teams who'll actually reward us for taking their cap dump, so...
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 4:21 p.m.
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    Yaps at me for talking nonsense, being a homer, over valuing my team's players while under valuing other teams players... then posts Gostisbehere ($750K retained) for Jack Johnson
    Pmwalker liked this.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:01 p.m.
    #12
    NoWah49
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    I'd be down for this. Always wanted a puck mover on that left side
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:02 p.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: TCMonkey
    Ottawa says NO THANKS. We might take on a contract to help us reach the floor but, if it's not a player we actually want, there are teams who'll actually reward us for taking their cap dump, so...


    Jugs is the exact type of player OTT takes on.
    A. he is covered by at least 80% by insurance if he goes on LTIR. So it's basically free cap for OTT.
    B. if he plays he'll probably play well there, and then OTT will flip him for a pick at TDL.

    It's foolish to think OTT wouldn't take him. He's low risk high reward for OTT.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:04 p.m.
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    Quoting: Pmwalker
    Why would anyone consider buying Ghost out though. He’s not nearly as bad as these boards make him out to be and with that contract. Considering him a buyout candidate Is laughable. Players get hurt and sometimes lack confidence.....doesn’t mean they can’t get healthy and grow more confidence.


    Because he's not worth 4 million as a 3rd pairing.
    Which is another reason why I don't see the penguins doing this.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:16 p.m.
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    Quoting: pharrow
    Jugs is the exact type of player OTT takes on.
    A. he is covered by at least 80% by insurance if he goes on LTIR. So it's basically free cap for OTT.
    B. if he plays he'll probably play well there, and then OTT will flip him for a pick at TDL.

    It's foolish to think OTT wouldn't take him. He's low risk high reward for OTT.


    If I'm Ottawa, I pass. There are loads of teams trying to clear cap space so Ottawa has plenty of options, and most teams understand it costs a pick or prospect to get rid of a bad contract. Ottawa can do better than "future considerations".
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:21 p.m.
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    Quoting: pharrow
    Because he's not worth 4 million as a 3rd pairing.
    Which is another reason why I don't see the penguins doing this.


    The Pens not doing this ???? You mean the Flyers surely. Ghost retained for Jack Johnson is a complete joke for Philly not Pittsburgh
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:34 p.m.
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    Quoting: TCMonkey
    If I'm Ottawa, I pass. There are loads of teams trying to clear cap space so Ottawa has plenty of options, and most teams understand it costs a pick or prospect to get rid of a bad contract. Ottawa can do better than "future considerations".


    there are not loads of teams clearing space with players that can be flipped. Maybe TB, but they probably aren't giving up players for virtually nothing, they surely aren't going to add to moving a guy like Kilorn.

    There just aren't that many guys with the one of two options. A. LTIR for 1 year on an expiring contract. and B. capable of being flipped if he does play.

    I'm sure if you want to take on some 6 year 7 million dollar deal you can get valsic for SJS.
    But that's not the idea here. It's a 1 year deal, possibly costs the owner nothing, if it does, he will get something out of it.
    I think there are maybe 2-3 guys who have 1 year left and are on LTIR. Dubinsky is one but CBJ isn't going to move him. There is no point for them to do that.
    It's the exact type of move he made last year.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 5:39 p.m.
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    Quoting: Pmwalker
    The Pens not doing this ???? You mean the Flyers surely. Ghost retained for Jack Johnson is a complete joke for Philly not Pittsburgh


    You over value Ghost.
    The penguins have a 3rd pairing guy waiting in POJ.
    Getting an almost 4 million 3rd pairing guy for 3 years is not in their best interest.
    Which is why I have the buyout at 2 years. As that is when POJ will probably be ready to come in and play.
    So they will either move JJ (most likely to a team that buys him out) or buy him out.

    Ghost is harder to move out. And that was the whole point.
    Moving JJ out is no big deal, it's an easy buyout. even buried it's 2 mil in cap for 2 years.
    You can't do that with ghost.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 6:49 p.m.
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    Quoting: pharrow
    there are not loads of teams clearing space with players that can be flipped. Maybe TB, but they probably aren't giving up players for virtually nothing, they surely aren't going to add to moving a guy like Kilorn.

    There just aren't that many guys with the one of two options. A. LTIR for 1 year on an expiring contract. and B. capable of being flipped if he does play.

    I'm sure if you want to take on some 6 year 7 million dollar deal you can get valsic for SJS.
    But that's not the idea here. It's a 1 year deal, possibly costs the owner nothing, if it does, he will get something out of it.
    I think there are maybe 2-3 guys who have 1 year left and are on LTIR. Dubinsky is one but CBJ isn't going to move him. There is no point for them to do that.
    It's the exact type of move he made last year.


    Are you talking about the Callahan trade? That allowed us to get rid of Condon and upped a 6th rd pick to a 5th. So Ottawa got 2 perks out of that move. PLUS they knew Callahan wouldn't play so there was no danger of A) having to pay him or B) him taking a roster spot away from a player we're trying to develop. If you're talking about Namestnikov, well, he's just a better player than Bjugstad, and I'm not sure Ottawa was 100% sure he'd only be a rental. They knew they had 50 game to decide and would be able to recoup the 4th rounder he cost them at the very least.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 7:03 p.m.
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    Quoting: TCMonkey
    Are you talking about the Callahan trade? That allowed us to get rid of Condon and upped a 6th rd pick to a 5th. So Ottawa got 2 perks out of that move. PLUS they knew Callahan wouldn't play so there was no danger of A) having to pay him or B) him taking a roster spot away from a player we're trying to develop. If you're talking about Namestnikov, well, he's just a better player than Bjugstad, and I'm not sure Ottawa was 100% sure he'd only be a rental. They knew they had 50 game to decide and would be able to recoup the 4th rounder he cost them at the very least.


    Hard to say Namestnikov has more value than Bjugstad. Jugs is a center. If he's healthy come TDL, those are rare, especially on expiring deals.
    Look at this years TDL, there were virtually none to come in and help.
    If Jugs plays well, and OTT inflates his numbers much like they did to Dzingle, and virtually every other player OTT has knowingly flipped, they will benefit from flipping him.
    I mean really you get one or two paths with him. He sits on LTIR costs nothing.
    B, you flip him for something else.

    Most likely you get A. but It's a contract year for him so B. is a real possibility.
    It's not like he doesn't have skill he does. He's just always hurt.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 7:15 p.m.
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    Quoting: pharrow
    Hard to say Namestnikov has more value than Bjugstad. Jugs is a center. If he's healthy come TDL, those are rare, especially on expiring deals.
    Look at this years TDL, there were virtually none to come in and help.
    If Jugs plays well, and OTT inflates his numbers much like they did to Dzingle, and virtually every other player OTT has knowingly flipped, they will benefit from flipping him.
    I mean really you get one or two paths with him. He sits on LTIR costs nothing.
    B, you flip him for something else.

    Most likely you get A. but It's a contract year for him so B. is a real possibility.
    It's not like he doesn't have skill he does. He's just always hurt.


    I would far rather have Norris in the line up. Probably get the same p/gp while gaining experience and he's a beast in the face-off circle.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 7:25 p.m.
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    Quoting: TCMonkey
    I would far rather have Norris in the line up. Probably get the same p/gp while gaining experience and he's a beast in the face-off circle.


    you are over here acting like OTT has 4 centers.

    At which point we are done.
    Jun. 19, 2020 at 7:35 p.m.
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    Edited Jun. 19, 2020 at 7:51 p.m.
    Quoting: pharrow
    you are over here acting like OTT has 4 centers.

    At which point we are done.


    Centers I would rather see them use over Bjugstad: Tierney, White, Norris, L. Brown, Nick Paul, Anisimov, and (possibly) Byfield or Rossi. Not sure why you're acting like someone disagreeing with you means they don't have a valid opinion. It's okay to agree to disagree. Most GMS do in real life too.

    There are also a large number of UFA centres who would cost less and be just as valuable at trade deadline: Spezza, Ennis, Brassard, Eakin, Koivu... the list goes on.
    Jun. 20, 2020 at 2:47 p.m.
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    Quoting: moli92
    Gostisbehere is younger and has much higher upside. Not sure why PHI would do this, let alone with the retention


    Quoting: Pmwalker
    Ghost isn’t a bad defenseman. He was a hurt defenseman who had some confidence issues on top of it. He stated to play better before the break and his confidence was up as well. Zero chance we do this.


    Quoting: krzyk0
    Not a chance. Flyers can still trade ghost for picks/prospects. Johnson has negative value and the Pens would need add a to a first to move him. He doesn't get Ghost plus retention.


    I agree that the value is not fair, but I’m trying to make a trade solely based on the Scuderi for Daley swap. It may seem hard to believe but I feel there are GMs throughout the league that still value the type of defenceman JJ is. Indeed he’s terrible, but he is big, physical, blocks shots, can be used on the PK & PP. There were still teams that wanted Scuderi, Girardi & Russell.
     
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