Forums/Armchair-GM

Rasmus Dahlin contract

Created by: Sabres923
Initial Creation Date: Jun 30, 2020
Published: Jun 30, 2020 at 2:42
Team: 2020-21 Buffalo Sabres
Team Explanation
Dahlin is eligible to get extended by the Sabres this offseason. He was on a 56 point pace this season, which would have gave him 100 career points as a teenage defenseman which is absurd. Hopefully they can lock him up for 8 years. But how much AAV do you think he deserves?
Buyouts
  • Cody Hodgson: $791,667
  • Christian Ehrhoff: $0
Retained Salary Transactions
  • Eric Staal: $1,625,000 (50%)
  • Taylor Hall: $4,000,000 (50%)
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
DAL
2021
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
2022
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
10$81,500,000$54,129,167$1,487,500$3,487,500$27,370,833
Left WingCenterRight Wing
BUF
Skinner, Jeff
$9,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 7
BUF
Eichel, Jack
$10,000,000
C
UFA - 6
BUF
Okposo, Kyle
$6,000,000
RW
NTC
UFA - 3
BUF
Johansson, Marcus
$4,500,000
C, LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
BUF
McCabe, Jake
$2,850,000
LD
UFA - 1
BUF
Ristolainen, Rasmus
$5,400,000
RD
UFA - 2
BUF
Hutton, Carter
$2,750,000
G
UFA - 1
BUF
Dahlin, Rasmus
$925,000
LD
RFA - 1
BUF
Miller, Colin
$3,875,000
RD
UFA - 2
BUF
Jokiharju, Henri
$925,000
RD
RFA - 1

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Jun 30, 2020 at 2:44
#1
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 177
Likes: 63
Between 8 and 9
Sabres923 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 2:48
#2
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 10,509
Likes: 5,960
Probably a significant jump from the 8×8 that Chabot got last summer. My guess is North of 9mil on an 8 year deal.
Sabres923 and Xqb15 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 2:54
#3
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 4,514
Likes: 1,573
He struggled early this year defensively
And his icetime was only 19min & change bc of his defensive issues
I’ve got no doubt he should improve on those,
but bc of that... right NOW... i think he’s worth 7mil per
Especially with what’s happening with the Cap the next couple years

That’s exactly why his agent won’t even consider extending now
They’ll wait until he has next season under his belt
And i wouldn’t be surprised if at that time they take a bridge deal, so he can really hit it big once the Cap is going up again

So maybe a 3yrs x $7mil deal
Then an 8year x $10mil deal
And if he’s winning awards by then, maybe even more $$$
Dan10900 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 2:54
#4
Terry_AkiSauce
Joined: Jun 2019
Posts: 1,593
Likes: 601
Probably a 9x8 but could even be 9.5 cause he has to live in Buffalo which is definitely a factor. I wonder if he'll go for a 7Mx5 to leave faster
gregb569 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 3:07
#5
Thread Starter
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 3,220
Likes: 1,655
Quoting: Jdfitz77
He struggled early this year defensively
And his icetime was only 19min & change bc of his defensive issues
I’ve got no doubt he should improve on those,
but bc of that... right NOW... i think he’s worth 7mil per
Especially with what’s happening with the Cap the next couple years

That’s exactly why his agent won’t even consider extending now
They’ll wait until he has next season under his belt
And i wouldn’t be surprised if at that time they take a bridge deal, so he can really hit it big once the Cap is going up again

So maybe a 3yrs x $7mil deal
Then an 8year x $10mil deal
And if he’s winning awards by then, maybe even more $$$


3 by 7 is risky. I think they should extend Jokiharju this offseason.
Jun 30, 2020 at 3:12
#6
Joined: Apr 2017
Posts: 4,514
Likes: 1,573
Quoting: Sabres923
3 by 7 is risky. I think they should extend Jokiharju this offseason.


Why is 3x7 risky?
Career ending injury would be the only thing stopping him from cashing in after

I like your ideas of extending guys early
It’s just rarely done bc the player agents wanna get the most $$$ they can
Jun 30, 2020 at 6:41
#7
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 12,869
Likes: 3,775
Quoting: Claesson4Norris
Probably a significant jump from the 8×8 that Chabot got last summer.

Why?
Jun 30, 2020 at 6:41
#8
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 12,869
Likes: 3,775
Quoting: Claesson4Norris
Probably a significant jump from the 8×8 that Chabot got last summer.

Why?
Jun 30, 2020 at 8:31
#9
thewookie1
Joined: Jun 2016
Posts: 1,029
Likes: 265
Quoting: Terry_AkiSauce
Probably a 9x8 but could even be 9.5 cause he has to live in Buffalo which is definitely a factor. I wonder if he'll go for a 7Mx5 to leave faster


Garbage take, Buffalo is a great city and we have plenty of players who continue to live here after retirement. The franchise isn't doing great but the city isn't some kind of pariah; unless you need a wild night life and something tells me that isn't exactly something Dahlin is concerned about.



8x8 seems fair, with a stationary cap he should get approximately the same as Chabot.
Jun 30, 2020 at 9:07
#10
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 2,586
Likes: 1,141
Imo it will be a game of chicken because Heiskanen and Makar can sign extensions too and nobody wants to sign first and set the bar for others but Chabot’s deal is the logical starting pt.
Jun 30, 2020 at 9:32
#11
OK Blue Jays
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,290
Likes: 555
Quoting: Terry_AkiSauce
Probably a 9x8 but could even be 9.5 cause he has to live in Buffalo which is definitely a factor. I wonder if he'll go for a 7Mx5 to leave faster


Dahlin is weird as f*ck when you listen to him talk. He strikes me as a nerdy Swedish kid and loves it here from everything he's said. I can't see him wanting out this quick. Seems to naïve for that to me.
Jun 30, 2020 at 10:00
#12
Go Wings Go
Joined: Jun 2016
Posts: 28,999
Likes: 6,704
I'll say 8x9.5m Rasmus Dahlin is the 2nd coming of Niklas Lidstrom.
Jun 30, 2020 at 10:39
#13
Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 4,469
Likes: 2,395
8M x 8Y. The next season will be quite revealing. He is already working on his muscles and shot, also his game became better after an injury, he will add on the defensive, improve the shot, become more physical and will play 20+ minutes.
Jun 30, 2020 at 11:10
#14
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 2,148
Likes: 1,155
I doubt he signs this offseason unless he gets a huge deal. I could see him waiting until next season to see what Makar gets and use him as a comparable
Sabres923 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 11:54
#15
Terry_AkiSauce
Joined: Jun 2019
Posts: 1,593
Likes: 601
Quoting: Smithcd995
Dahlin is weird as f*ck when you listen to him talk. He strikes me as a nerdy Swedish kid and loves it here from everything he's said. I can't see him wanting out this quick. Seems to naïve for that to me.


Depends on his agent, not sure who represents him but it could be a shorter term deal cause of corona but could lead to him leaving in the future if they don't turn it around
Jun 30, 2020 at 12:42
#16
Sabres are elite
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 5,102
Likes: 1,594
I could see a 8 year 8.5-9 mil contract, but it wouldn't surprise me if he gets 10 mil
Jun 30, 2020 at 1:01
#17
Thread Starter
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 3,220
Likes: 1,655
Quoting: Skyraider112
I could see a 8 year 8.5-9 mil contract, but it wouldn't surprise me if he gets 10 mil

It will be criticized, but so was the Eichel contract.
Jun 30, 2020 at 1:51
#18
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 10,509
Likes: 5,960
Quoting: CD282
Why?


They've produced pretty similarly through the first two years of their ELCs, But Dahlin has done it as A) a teenager and B) a former 1st overall pick. Those things matter on a long term deal. You're buying their future years, and there's a lot to suggest that Dahlin's future years will be even better than Chabot's.
Sabres923 liked this.
Jun 30, 2020 at 2:45
#19
Sabres are elite
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 5,102
Likes: 1,594
Quoting: Sabres923
It will be criticized, but so was the Eichel contract.


I'm hoping he takes a 8 by 8 but that's awfully hopeful
Sabres923 liked this.
 
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