Worst case scenario next season

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: alwaysnextyear

Team: 2020-21 Tampa Bay Lightning

Initial Creation Date: Jul. 3, 2020

Published: Jul. 3, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

None of Johnson, Palat, Gourde or McDonagh are willing to waive their NTC’s to go anywhere, and none of the teams that are on Killorn’s list make an offer for him. Instead Tampa basically has to give him away to whichever team on his list will take the contract.

This still forces Tampa to trade both Cirelli and Sergachev for draft picks as neither are willing to take a discount for their services, but they do get high end picks for each of them. They can then just barely afford to bridge Cernak and cobble together the rest of the 23 man roster.

Free Agent Signings

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Verhaeghe, Carter	1	$850,000
Stephens, Mitchell	2	$850,000
Joseph, Mathieu	2	$800,000
Volkov, Alexander	2	$850,000
Cernak, Erik	2	$3,000,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Bogosian, Zach		1	$1,000,000
Schenn, Luke		1	$700,000

Trades

TBL

2020 1st round pick (BUF)

Additional Details:

8th overall pick

BUF

Cirelli, Anthony [RFA Rights]

TBL

2020 1st round pick (OTT)

Additional Details:

5th overall pick

OTT

Sergachev, Mikhail [RFA Rights]

TBL

2021 5th round pick (COL)

COL

Killorn, Alex
2021 7th round pick (TBL)

Buyouts

Vincent Lecavalier: $0

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2020
2021
2022

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$81,500,000	$81,450,924	$0	$500,000	$49,076

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Johnson, Tyler $5,000,000$5,000,000 RW, C, LW NTC UFA - 4	Stamkos, Steven $8,500,000$8,500,000 LW, C NMC UFA - 4	Kucherov, Nikita $9,500,000$9,500,000 RW NMC UFA - 7
Coleman, Blake $1,800,000$1,800,000 RW, LW UFA - 1	Point, Brayden $6,750,000$6,750,000 C, RW UFA - 2	Palat, Ondrej $5,300,000$5,300,000 LW, RW NTC UFA - 2
Paquette, Cédric $1,650,000$1,650,000 C, LW, RW UFA - 1	Goodrow, Barclay $925,000$925,000 C, LW UFA - 1	Gourde, Yanni $5,166,666$5,166,666 C, LW, RW NTC UFA - 5
Verhaeghe, Carter $850,000$850,000 LW UFA - 2		Joseph, Mathieu $800,000$800,000 LW, RW UFA - 2
	Barré-Boulet, Alex $759,258$759,258 RW, LW UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Hedman, Victor $7,875,000$7,875,000 LD NMC UFA - 5	Cernak, Erik $3,000,000$3,000,000 RD UFA - 3	Vasilevskiy, Andrei $9,500,000$9,500,000 G UFA - 8
McDonagh, Ryan $6,750,000$6,750,000 LD NTC UFA - 6	Bogosian, Zach $1,000,000$1,000,000 RD UFA - 1	McElhinney, Curtis $1,300,000$1,300,000 G UFA - 1
Coburn, Braydon $1,700,000$1,700,000 LD NTC UFA - 1	Foote, Cal $925,000$925,000 ($500,000$500K) RD RFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Stephens, Mitchell $850,000$850,000 C UFA - 2
Volkov, Alexander $850,000$850,000 LW, RW UFA - 1
Schenn, Luke $700,000$700,000 RD UFA - 1

Jul. 3, 2020 at 9:55 p.m.

hockeyconnor97

Connor

Joined: Oct. 2018

Posts: 1,529

Likes: 635

Don’t think Ottawa would trade their pick but idk

Jul. 3, 2020 at 9:58 p.m.

Richard88

John 3 16

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 9,581

Likes: 4,618

I think Tampa would put Cernak's $3m towards Cirelli, and move Paquette as well to scrape together enough to resign him. Assuming that he's willing to take a bridge.

Colorado would gladly take Killorn at that price. Assuming of course that we don't have grander plans for someone like Hall or Pietrangelo.

Jul. 3, 2020 at 10:10 p.m.

pharrow

Banned

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 19,215

Likes: 4,837

$4,227,438 for a 1st.
Something tells me teams will try offer sheets before trading those picks away. If they are smart they coordinate and do it at the same time.

Jul. 3, 2020 at 10:19 p.m.

SlevinKalevra

Joined: Jun. 2019

Posts: 5,286

Likes: 2,731

Killorn has value. So does TJ and Palat. Move them. Keep Cirelli. Move Gourde into the top six and hope he re discovers his scoring touch

Jul. 3, 2020 at 10:42 p.m.

justaBoss

What in tarnation

Joined: Oct. 2017

Posts: 32,709

Likes: 31,449

Cernak ain't worth that much. Would offer him a 1x1 contract. But yeah even if the worst possible scenario happens this is sustainable.

Btw Killer was in pace for 60 points...who in their right mind would offer a 5th for him...that's madness.

Jul. 3, 2020 at 11:16 p.m.

SalamiCheese

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,928

Likes: 2,670

Buffalo says yes

Jul. 4, 2020 at 12:41 a.m.

alwaysnextyear

Thread Starter

alwaysnextyear

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 5,524

Likes: 1,566

Quoting: justaBoss

Cernak will have a fair number of teams ready to offer him well over 3m on an offer sheet. 1x1 is ludicrous. He played top 4 on a good team, had good possession numbers, has size, kills penalties. TBL lowballs him like that and he’ll definitely sign an offer sheet.

And I do think Killorn will be traded, but the return won’t be what it would’ve been a year ago with the new economic reality.

Jul. 4, 2020 at 12:42 a.m.

HurricanesMan

Joined: Jun. 2020

Posts: 186

Likes: 60

Quoting: pharrow

$4,227,438 for a 1st.
Something tells me teams will try offer sheets before trading those picks away. If they are smart they coordinate and do it at the same time.

wouldn't that be tampering?

Jul. 4, 2020 at 1:10 a.m.

justaBoss

What in tarnation

Joined: Oct. 2017

Posts: 32,709

Likes: 31,449

Quoting: alwaysnextyear

1x1 follows the logic that of Labanc, DeAngelo and Pettersson signed this year. Granted it's wishful thinking, but I wouldn't call it impossible.

If I had to guess they'll ink him for one year around a $1M contract, and then give him a bigger contract if SEA takes McDonagh's contract...ofc this is purely hypothetical.

Jul. 4, 2020 at 11:40 a.m.

#10

EnvironmentalTwister

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,123

Likes: 246

Quoting: hockeyconnor97

Don’t think Ottawa would trade their pick but idk

Best case scenario for 5th OA is around Sergachev TBH

alwaysnextyear liked this.

Jul. 4, 2020 at 2:45 p.m.

#11

pharrow

Banned

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 19,215

Likes: 4,837

Quoting: HurricanesMan

wouldn't that be tampering?

only if you can prove it.

Jul. 4, 2020 at 4:15 p.m.

#12

HurricanesMan

Joined: Jun. 2020

Posts: 186

Likes: 60

Quoting: pharrow

only if you can prove it.

wouldn't be hard for call records and chat logs to be found by the NHL, and I would assume they would punish teams that do not comply

Jul. 4, 2020 at 4:18 p.m.

#13

alwaysnextyear

Thread Starter

alwaysnextyear

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 5,524

Likes: 1,566

Quoting: pharrow

$4,227,438 for a 1st.
Something tells me teams will try offer sheets before trading those picks away. If they are smart they coordinate and do it at the same time.

It's true some teams would be lining up for an offer sheet with later 1st round picks, but if Tampa is smart they try to resolve this situation by trade before another team can ever make the offer. Both Cirelli and Sergachev would fetch a very good return in a trade before the offer sheet window opened.

Jul. 4, 2020 at 4:20 p.m.

#14

pharrow

Banned

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 19,215

Likes: 4,837

Quoting: HurricanesMan

wouldn't be hard for call records and chat logs to be found by the NHL, and I would assume they would punish teams that do not comply

paulie doesn't like phones

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