Arthur Staple latest article

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Created by: joshelkin

Team: 2020-21 New York Islanders

Initial Creation Date: Jul. 9, 2020

Published: Jul. 9, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

https://theathletic.com/1916630/2020/07/09/the-many-decisions-facing-the-cap-strapped-islanders-under-the-new-cba/

Lamoriello has already showed a bit of this handiwork with the Isles, exiling Ladd for the bulk of his time as Isles GM due to Ladd’s knee issues. The Islanders save $1.075 million on each contract that’s buried in the AHL, so they have options with that or the LTIR exile — the latter of which opens up the full value of a contract. If Ladd were to start next season on LTIR, the Isles would be able to go above the cap by $5.5 million. That seems like the most likely course for Ladd and possibly Komarov, too. He missed an extended period last season with neck issues, which could reappear before next season begins.

If Ladd and Komarov were to start next season on LTIR, the Islanders would have room to maneuver on the free-agent market.

In this scenario, maybe the Isles can afford Mike Hoffman to add to their limited offense; maybe they can aim even higher and sign Taylor Hall. But this group, which includes a couple of prospects in Bellows and Wahlstrom, looks younger and deeper.

TLDR: Conservative RFA projections. Ladd and Komarov land on Robidas Island because Lou finds his way around the cap. Trade Leddy for what you can get. Use the found space to sign a Hoffman or Hall

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Sorokin, Ilya		2	$2,500,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Barzal, Mathew	2	$6,500,000
Toews, Devon	3	$2,750,000
Pulock, Ryan	5	$5,500,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Hoffman, Mike		6	$6,000,000
Martin, Matt		1	$750,000

Trades

NYI

2021 4th round pick (LAK)

LAK

Leddy, Nick

Additional Details:

"Leddy’s role won’t be as prominent as it was. This is not a “trade him because he stinks” idea — it’s pure cap economics and Johnny Boychuk, who turns 37 next year, likely won’t draw much trade interest."

Buyouts

Rick DiPietro: $0

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2020
2021
2022

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$81,500,000	$81,488,333	$0	$750,000	$11,667

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Lee, Anders $7,000,000$7,000,000 LW NTC UFA - 6	Barzal, Mathew $6,500,000$6,500,000 C, RW UFA - 3	Hoffman, Mike $6,000,000$6,000,000 LW UFA - 1
Beauvillier, Anthony $2,100,000$2,100,000 RW, LW UFA - 1	Nelson, Brock $6,000,000$6,000,000 C, LW NTC UFA - 5	Eberle, Jordan $5,500,000$5,500,000 RW NTC UFA - 4
Bellows, Kieffer $894,166$894,166 ($212,500$212K) LW, RW UFA - 1	Pageau, Jean-Gabriel $5,000,000$5,000,000 C NTC UFA - 6	Bailey, Josh $5,000,000$5,000,000 RW, LW, C UFA - 4
	Cizikas, Casey $3,350,000$3,350,000 C UFA - 1	Clutterbuck, Cal $3,500,000$3,500,000 RW UFA - 2
Martin, Matt $750,000$750,000 LW, RW UFA - 4

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
	Pulock, Ryan $5,500,000$5,500,000 RD UFA - 2	Varlamov, Semyon $5,000,000$5,000,000 G NTC UFA - 3
Pelech, Adam $1,600,000$1,600,000 LD UFA - 1
Toews, Devon $2,750,000$2,750,000 LD UFA - 4	Mayfield, Scott $1,450,000$1,450,000 RD UFA - 3	Sorokin, Ilya $2,500,000$2,500,000 G UFA - 1
Hickey, Thomas $2,500,000$2,500,000 LD UFA - 2	Dobson, Noah $894,167$894,167 ($537,500$538K) RD RFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Boychuk, Johnny $6,000,000$6,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 2		Ladd, Andrew $5,500,000$5,500,000 LW M-NTC UFA - 3
Johnston, Ross $1,000,000$1,000,000 LW UFA - 2		Komarov, Leo $3,000,000$3,000,000 RW, LW, C M-NTC UFA - 2
Dal Colle, Michael $700,000$700,000 LW UFA - 1

Jul. 9, 2020 at 1:55 p.m.

slapshot723

NYI

Joined: Jun. 2016

Posts: 3,523

Likes: 1,116

Funny how he has Ladd and Komarov heading to Robidas Island. Ladd sure, Komarov I doubt.

Toews won't take something that small for three years. He'll either take a cheap two-year deal (which I doubt) or a fair value six-year deal.

Pulock contract seems really small too. He deserves a big payday, although given the circumstances I understand why he may not get it.

joshelkin liked this.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 1:59 p.m.

Hawkisles

Joined: Jan. 2016

Posts: 2,156

Likes: 521

I'm curious as to how you put players on to LTIR. I don't know if you can say "Ladd/Komarov had health issues last year, we want their cap hit to not count". Granted, we've seen a bunch of teams do this several times over. I don't know. The NHL has been pretty unkind to the Isles lately; pushed back hard on Sorokin being with the Isles this year and did so much damage that he might not even sign here now and recently indicated that there won't be any CBOs, which the Isles desperately need if there's going to be a flat cap. If the NHL was unaccommodating on those fronts, I don't know why they'd allow the Isles to bs their way out of cap hit obligations to two league veterans. I hope I'm wrong here, but I feel like the Isles are going to have to give up some assets this offseason to fit under the cap and there's just no getting around that.

EnvironmentalTwister and joshelkin liked this.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:00 p.m.

ForsbergForVezina

CHI NYI

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 4,676

Likes: 2,256

Staple writes for The Athletic, so if he really thinks both Ladd and Komarov will end up on LTIR, there's definitely some legitimacy to that. However, I remain doubtful. Seems very....convenient.

As for the UFAs, I want absolutely nothing to do with Hoffman. His value exceeds what some of the underlying numbers say he is; his shot allows him to score from anywhere. But he's way too one-dimensional. Evolving Hockey's WAR is a controversial stat, but Hoffman has been below replacement level at even strength over the past 3 seasons, with most of his value coming on the power play. Beyond that, he's got negative corsi for and expected goal differentials and bad offensive teammate-relative numbers. And for six years, his weaknesses are only going to be further exposed.

I don't think the Islanders are in as bad shape as some other people think, but I don't think he's going to be a positive addition long-term. Honestly, the Islanders need a pure-offense type player, but not at that age, cap hit or term. I'd rather develop a guy like Bellows, Wahlstrom or Holmstrom into that type of player.

masterjuddi liked this.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:23 p.m.

masterjuddi

Joined: Feb. 2017

Posts: 3,902

Likes: 1,760

I think Barzal's bridge deal would be closer to 7 mill, maybe for 3 years like Tkachuk's in Calgary, but whatever...if they cant get him locked in on a long term team a bridge like that makes sense
I also think Hoffman gets more on the open market. Teams are gonna pay him

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:31 p.m.

tkecanuck341

Joined: May 2016

Posts: 14,723

Likes: 6,219

Quoting: Hawkisles

If players are nearing the end of their careers, have had some injury issues, and don't really have the drive to play anymore, then I could see them "retiring" early on Robidas island. It allows them a way to essentially not have to show up to work anymore, but still get paid their full salary over the remainder of their contract. Sign me up for that.

Obviously, they would need a doctor to corroborate whatever "equipment allergy" is putting them on LTIR, but as long as they find one that is willing to stake their medical reputation on the diagnosis, then it's probably fair game. Joffrey Lupul all but confirmed on social media several years ago that his injury was BS and he was perfectly capable of returning to play, but the team didn't want him back.

The team gets what they want in extra cap space and the player continues to get paid while going on early retirement. Everyone wins.

Hawkisles liked this.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:38 p.m.

Hawkisles

Joined: Jan. 2016

Posts: 2,156

Likes: 521

Quoting: tkecanuck341

Ladd's been seen working out. He clearly wants to return to play, so I don't know how you do all this if the player doesn't consent to this process.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:44 p.m.

Hawkisles

Joined: Jan. 2016

Posts: 2,156

Likes: 521

Quoting: ForsbergForVezina

I agree about Hoffman. We have too many bad contracts already, and I don't think he transforms the team into a contender even if Hoffman stays good throughout his contract.

ForsbergForVezina liked this.

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:57 p.m.

EnvironmentalTwister

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,123

Likes: 246

LTIR is not free cap space btw

Jul. 9, 2020 at 2:59 p.m.

ForsbergForVezina

CHI NYI

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 4,676

Likes: 2,256

Quoting: Hawkisles

I agree about Hoffman. We have too many bad contracts already, and I don't think he transforms the team into a contender even if Hoffman stays good throughout his contract.

I do think he would help, but not enough to justify the contract he’s going to get and, like you said, not even to make the Islanders a contender long term

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