Quoting: mokumboi
2- Well... I didn't call him a solution. But if you must, actually, he was obviously one of the few "solutions" on the roster. The other 15 or so players were the ones who weren't solving anything. That's not his fault.
No no no no no- this is what I just said, that's the problem with point shares right there. Just because he was a big reason that they got the points they got doesn't mean that he was contributing to that team's success- because the team was not successful. They made the playoffs once while he was there. Yes he was getting the most point shares for those teams, and yes everyone else on the team was bad, that does not mean that he was part of the solution. It just means someone needed to get points and he shot the puck a lot. It's why Ryan Dzingel had a 5.7 on Ottawa and a 2.3 OPS on Carolina this year. If you look into the math underlying how PS are calculated, you will find that it is based very heavily on goal scoring. This is why David Perron this year has a way higher OPS than Ryan O'Reilly did- even though O'Reilly had more points and assisted on some 70% of Perron's goals. So how does that track?
Quoting: mokumboi
3- Eh? Last season was the second highest PS total of his career, good for 5th on the Canes. He had almost a full defensive point share more than Petro. He was ahead of guys like Slavvin, Hedman, Heiskanen, Chara and Gerard in that same category.
I'm not sure saying Justin Faulk is better than 41-year-old Chara is that big of a plus for him, Chara hasn't been elite for a few years now. Hedman, Slavin, Heiskanen, Girard, and Pietrangelo are top pairing defensemen and all went up against tougher competition than Faulk- and also don't forget how god awful Pietrangelo was in 2018. Faulk's DPS went up the same season he got busted off the top pairing for Hamilton, I find it hard to believe that's a coincidence. DPS calculations also take +/- into account and, as we all know, that stat is often deceptive. Faulk's +/- was positive for only the second time in his career that season.
Quoting: mokumboi
4- I think he's quite capable of getting back to the 5.5-6.5 range. Hopefully, on short order, so we can have him snapped up by Seattle. I still think that's the ideal scenario here.
I mean, I agree and that would be nice, but If he wants to get better consideration from Seattle he needs to have a better GAR and WAR because those are the stats that Alex Mandrycky, who heads up Seattle's analytics department, values. But Faulk's stats in those areas have been cratered for years, I'm not sure a one year uptick will help us much there. Maybe the Francis connection helps.
Quoting: mokumboi
I'm not saying the guy will be an All-Star again for us, but the talk about him and his play has been a bit overwrought. And yeah, acquiring him was questionable. I questioned it, too. But we're here now, so I'm going to hope for the best.
To be clear, I don't think he's as bad as we've seen. But I also don't think he's anything more than a third pairing defenseman at this point, maybe a low end second pair guy. Which is fine and good, those are NHL jobs, he's just being paid too much for too long if that's all he can be.