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Gusev

Created by: Richard88
Team: 2020-21 Colorado Avalanche
Initial Creation Date: Jul. 24, 2020
Published: Jul. 24, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$925,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$2,250,000
4$4,750,000
3$2,750,000
1$875,000
Trades
1.
COL
  1. Barron, Morgan [Reserve List]
  2. 2020 3rd round pick (DAL)
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (NYR)
Additional Details:
Ideally the 2nd would be in 2020, but since it's not NYR include a B/C prospect who probably tops out as a 4th liner.

Barron is friends with and plays on the same team at Cornell as Avs prospect Matthew Stienburg.
NYR
  1. Jost, Tyson [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
Rangers get a young and cost-controlled 3C.
2.
COL
  1. 2021 4th round pick (NYR)
NYR
  1. Kamenev, Vladislav [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
Kamenev could go anywhere but Rangers might want to add him for some extra C depth.
3.
COL
  1. Smith, Zack
  2. 2020 2nd round pick (PIT)
Additional Details:
Cap dump. Avs take on Smith's $3.25m caphit for one year to upgrade a pick.
CHI
  1. 2020 5th round pick (COL)
4.
COL
  1. Gusev, Nikita
Additional Details:
Colorado get a playmaker to set up Kadri and Burakovsky.

Gusev is a pending UFA so it would make sense for NJ to cash in as they are rebuilding.
NJD
  1. Beaucage, Alex [Reserve List]
  2. Zadorov, Nikita [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
NJ get a physical top 4 LHD in Zadorov which fills a big need

They also get a solid forward prospect in Beaucage (3rd/ #78 in 2019) who has an elite shot and just scored 40 goals in 63 games in the QMJHL.
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the COL
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the DAL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the FLA
Logo of the COL
2021
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the NYR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the NYR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
2022
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the COL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$75,018,095$0$5,425,000$6,481,905

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$5,571,429$5,571,429
LW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$6,300,000$6,300,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$9,250,000$9,250,000
RW, C
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$4,500,000$4,500,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$4,750,000$4,750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,500,000$3,500,000
C, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,900,000$3,900,000
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,850,000$2,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$1,800,000$1,800,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,333,333$3,333,333
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$2,000,000$2,000,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 7
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$925,000$925,000
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
LD/RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$3,450,000$3,450,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$875,000$875,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$150,000$150K)
C
RFA - 2
$925,000$925,000
LW, RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$842,500$842,500 (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
G
UFA - 1

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Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:22 p.m.
#1
Kyle from Chicago
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Way too much to dump smith.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:25 p.m.
#2
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John 3 16
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Quoting: Stan_Bowman
Way too much to dump smith.


What do you think it should cost?

I get that Smith is still a useful 4th liner who can take faceoffs and PK, but Chicago are in a cap squeeze and $3.25m (or $2.15m buried) would go a long way towards opening up capspace for Kubalik among others. Very few teams are going to want to take on that caphit.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:27 p.m.
#3
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Quoting: Richard88
What do you think it should cost?

I get that Smith is still a useful 4th liner who can take faceoffs and PK, but Chicago are in a cap squeeze and $3.25m (or $2.15m buried) would go a long way towards opening up capspace for Kubalik among others. Very few teams are going to want to take on that caphit.


The big factor is his buyout is only just over a mil. Buying out him and Maatta combined would save roughly 5 million, where as trading them both would save like 7 mil. Its not the biggest difference to dump the whole contract vs the buy out
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:32 p.m.
#4
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Minor stats are a great way to be let down - see Reid Boucher
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:37 p.m.
#5
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
The big factor is his buyout is only just over a mil. Buying out him and Maatta combined would save roughly 5 million, where as trading them both would save like 7 mil. Its not the biggest difference to dump the whole contract vs the buy out


That makes sense.

Just had a look at Maatta's buyout. Surprising that it's only $680k for 4 years on a $4m+ contract, but I guess it's because he's still pretty young so has that 1/3 ratio instead. That's pretty good for Chicago, though a buyout over 4 years is a bit of a pain in a flat cap league.

I guess you can simply buyout Smith and have $1.1m in dead space. But wouldn't you rather just remove him entirely? Maybe a team like Detroit would be interested in a lesser cap dump but he'd have to waive to go to them i suppose.

Would you do something like Smith + 2nd for a 3rd instead of a 5th?
Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:38 p.m.
#6
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John 3 16
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Quoting: kogger
Minor stats are a great way to be let down - see Reid Boucher


Is this in relation to Beaucage?

If that's return isn't to your liking please feel free to let me know what a fair return would be for Gusev.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:47 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: Richard88
Is this in relation to Beaucage?

If that's return isn't to your liking please feel free to let me know what a fair return would be for Gusev.


it is and I'm not saying that Beaucage isnt talented at all his numbers look great!

Where the Devils are slotted in the draft + our other first picks we can draft a higher upside FWD and we have enough cap room to extend Gusev. I like Zadorov but I would rather go for Serge if I'm being honest seeing that Tampas cap situation isn't promising.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:53 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: Richard88
That makes sense.

Just had a look at Maatta's buyout. Surprising that it's only $680k for 4 years on a $4m+ contract, but I guess it's because he's still pretty young so has that 1/3 ratio instead. That's pretty good for Chicago, though a buyout over 4 years is a bit of a pain in a flat cap league.

I guess you can simply buyout Smith and have $1.1m in dead space. But wouldn't you rather just remove him entirely? Maybe a team like Detroit would be interested in a lesser cap dump but he'd have to waive to go to them i suppose.

Would you do something like Smith + 2nd for a 3rd instead of a 5th?


Yeah if it was Smith + 2nd for 3rd it would make a lot more sense. Unfortunately he probably doesnt have positive value, but if the dump is too much, we can just stomach the buyout.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 2:58 p.m.
#9
Kyle from Chicago
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Quoting: Richard88
What do you think it should cost?

I get that Smith is still a useful 4th liner who can take faceoffs and PK, but Chicago are in a cap squeeze and $3.25m (or $2.15m buried) would go a long way towards opening up capspace for Kubalik among others. Very few teams are going to want to take on that caphit.


I'd do smith plus a 4th for a 7th.

His buyout is decent, he is still a good 4th line player on a one year contract.

Quoting: Richard88
That makes sense.

Just had a look at Maatta's buyout. Surprising that it's only $680k for 4 years on a $4m+ contract, but I guess it's because he's still pretty young so has that 1/3 ratio instead. That's pretty good for Chicago, though a buyout over 4 years is a bit of a pain in a flat cap league.

I guess you can simply buyout Smith and have $1.1m in dead space. But wouldn't you rather just remove him entirely? Maybe a team like Detroit would be interested in a lesser cap dump but he'd have to waive to go to them i suppose.

Would you do something like Smith + 2nd for a 3rd instead of a 5th?
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 3:40 p.m.
#10
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I think the only way Gusev moves is if it is for a 1st.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 4:11 p.m.
#11
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John 3 16
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Quoting: kogger
it is and I'm not saying that Beaucage isnt talented at all his numbers look great!

Where the Devils are slotted in the draft + our other first picks we can draft a higher upside FWD and we have enough cap room to extend Gusev. I like Zadorov but I would rather go for Serge if I'm being honest seeing that Tampas cap situation isn't promising.


Thanks for your thoughtful response. smile

You can certainly draft a more upside forward, but at the same time you lack some 2nd and 3rd round sort of talent, and that's important to filling out a roster as well.

If you can get Sergachev that's definitely the better choice, but I don't think Tampa are going to move him. They'll do everything to move Gourde and Killorn which should be enough to fit everyone else in.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 4:16 p.m.
#12
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John 3 16
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Quoting: Leafs_and_Sens_Fan
I think the only way Gusev moves is if it is for a 1st.


High picks are going to be more valuable than usual due to the flat cap and the ED, and Gusev doesn't have much of a track-record beyond this one season which makes it a risky proposition. It's also likely that his production would drop somewhat if he moved to a contender as he likely wouldn't be getting as much prime offensive minutes and PP time as he does in NJ (at least that wouldn't be the case in Colorado).

He did get traded for a 2nd + 3rd, and he's proven himself in the NHL now, but conversely that trade was also made when he was an RFA whereas now he's a pending UFA which makes a big difference.

Something around a Roster player + 2nd/prospect seems to be pretty solid value. Maybe there would be an additional small add, depending on the prospect/player.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 4:22 p.m.
#13
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
Yeah if it was Smith + 2nd for 3rd it would make a lot more sense. Unfortunately he probably doesnt have positive value, but if the dump is too much, we can just stomach the buyout.


Quoting: Stan_Bowman
I'd do smith plus a 4th for a 7th.

His buyout is decent, he is still a good 4th line player on a one year contract.


Thanks for your replies, much appreciated.

It's a bit hard to set prices for cap dumps now before the offseason starts, as it could turn out that capspace is extremely expensive.

That being said, in theory I'd like to get a 2nd since Colorado are missing a pick in that round this year, so I'd be much more keen on Smith + 2nd for 3rd/4th deal than Smith + 4th for 7th.

Either way I think there's a reasonable deal to be made somewhere there that benefits both teams.

With regards to the player himself, do you think he would be ok with being a 13th forward, particularly that it's a contract year? I mean, 13th forwards still tend to get 60+ games but he might prefer a bigger role on a lesser team, but I don't think he'd be able to have much say in the matter unless he lists Colorado on his no-trade list which would be surprising for him to do.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 4:57 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: Richard88
Thanks for your replies, much appreciated.

It's a bit hard to set prices for cap dumps now before the offseason starts, as it could turn out that capspace is extremely expensive.

That being said, in theory I'd like to get a 2nd since Colorado are missing a pick in that round this year, so I'd be much more keen on Smith + 2nd for 3rd/4th deal than Smith + 4th for 7th.

Either way I think there's a reasonable deal to be made somewhere there that benefits both teams.

With regards to the player himself, do you think he would be ok with being a 13th forward, particularly that it's a contract year? I mean, 13th forwards still tend to get 60+ games but he might prefer a bigger role on a lesser team, but I don't think he'd be able to have much say in the matter unless he lists Colorado on his no-trade list which would be surprising for him to do.


If you have him, he's still a pretty useful forward that knows how to score in the front of the net, win board battles, PK, etc. If the blackhawks dont trade him I would expect he plays a majority of games next season.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 5:39 p.m.
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
If you have him, he's still a pretty useful forward that knows how to score in the front of the net, win board battles, PK, etc. If the blackhawks dont trade him I would expect he plays a majority of games next season.

Sounds like the ideal 4C/depth forward for a contender, albeit overpaid obviously.

What would you say he is worth in AAV if he signed a contract today?
Jul. 24, 2020 at 5:46 p.m.
#16
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Quoting: Richard88
Sounds like the ideal 4C/depth forward for a contender, albeit overpaid obviously.

What would you say he is worth in AAV if he signed a contract today?


depends on term. I would probably give him 1.5
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 5:56 p.m.
#17
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
depends on term. I would probably give him 1.5


Would you give him away for free in a trade with 50% retention? That way you save like $1.5m in capspace without having to buy him out and have $1m against the cap for 2 years.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 6:03 p.m.
#18
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Quoting: Richard88
Would you give him away for free in a trade with 50% retention? That way you save like $1.5m in capspace without having to buy him out and have $1m against the cap for 2 years.


hmm thats interesting. Probably not free but I would take like a 6th or 7th. After this offseason, we should be good on cap for a few years and the extra year wouldnt be too much of an issue.
Jul. 24, 2020 at 6:45 p.m.
#19
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no thanks from NJ
Jul. 24, 2020 at 6:59 p.m.
#20
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
hmm thats interesting. Probably not free but I would take like a 6th or 7th. After this offseason, we should be good on cap for a few years and the extra year wouldnt be too much of an issue.


Yeah that's kind of what I meant when I said for free. A 7th is pretty insignificant.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 7:00 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: Richard88
Yeah that's kind of what I meant when I said for free. A 7th is pretty insignificant.


Ah, haha yeah I probably shouldve assumed that lol
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 7:23 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: Richard88
High picks are going to be more valuable than usual due to the flat cap and the ED, and Gusev doesn't have much of a track-record beyond this one season which makes it a risky proposition. It's also likely that his production would drop somewhat if he moved to a contender as he likely wouldn't be getting as much prime offensive minutes and PP time as he does in NJ (at least that wouldn't be the case in Colorado).

He did get traded for a 2nd + 3rd, and he's proven himself in the NHL now, but conversely that trade was also made when he was an RFA whereas now he's a pending UFA which makes a big difference.

Something around a Roster player + 2nd/prospect seems to be pretty solid value. Maybe there would be an additional small add, depending on the prospect/player.


Okay maybe a 3rd and a 2nd that upgrades to a 1st if you extend Gusev.

I'm sure they'd prefer a team that negotiates a contract with Gusev beforehand and gives them a 1st though.
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Jul. 24, 2020 at 8:27 p.m.
#23
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John 3 16
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Quoting: SlickWilly
Ah, haha yeah I probably shouldve assumed that lol


Nah it was fair to ask. smile Nice doing business with you anyways grin
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Jul. 25, 2020 at 10:57 a.m.
#24
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Quoting: zyyyp
no thanks from NJ


picture checks out lol
Jul. 25, 2020 at 12:18 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: kogger
picture checks out lol


Don't be mistaken, I love the guy but I'm still on board with trading him if he doesn't plan on re-signing here. just think a middle pairing defensive D and an average prospect is an incredibly weak return for a 60 point winger that's 27 years of age. He could be close to an 80 point guy playing in the Avs top 6.
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