Jersey wont do that

Agreed! It’s not close either. NJ won’t be giving up a 1st for Risto. You’ll have to find a different trade partner if that’s your perceived valuation.

I don’t think Cirelli signs that deal

I love all of your additions.
IMO that is all i would pay Cirelli. While the potential is there, the proof is not that strong nor that long.
Very shrewd move to get the 3rd back even if we need to over pay.
I love Noah and we need a LHD, but I think you are offering way too much. They are very similar and may actually be an even swap.
A huge haul for Ristolainen, I think he is worth it. Back in 2015 Chiarelli offered Hall for Rasmus so at least one GM agree with your assessment.
Unfortunately the Sabres will lose a quality player, Miller or some one equal in value.

Over all I give you an "A" rating. Good job.