The Unpopular Route No Trades

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: exo2769

Team: 2020-21 Chicago Blackhawks

Initial Creation Date: Jul. 26, 2020

Published: Jul. 30, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

STAY THE COURSE!

Why? We KNOW the cap for the next 3 years. This assumes we can't trade Maatta, which I believe we can. It also assumes Smith goes to Rockford. I'm not 100% sure we can move him without giving up good assets. Sending him down can actually HELP the younger guys become professionals.

Strome and Kubalik take 1 year deals. There will be extra cap next year with Saad and Smith coming off the books next year. I really don't think the threat of an offersheet is a serious one this offseason. They typically aren't anyway, but especially this year with close to all the teams scrambling to figure out their cap situations.

Pius Suter will EARN a spot in the middle six. I think his style of play best matches Saad/Toews, but I just can't break up that Kubalik/Toews/Saad line. It's what I've wanted since the start of the 2019 season and it's really good.

I also like the they're rolling for the EDM playoff series. It allows for Kane to bounce between Strome/Nylander and Dach/Debcrincat. HOWEVER, I do think Pius Suter will bounce Nylander down to the 4th line. Absolutely nothing against Nylander. I think he just needs more time to develop. Keep skating hard. His time will come.

As for in net. I'd prefer to sign Crow vs any other option, but I understand if we need to go Talbot/Greiss...that's still better than losing assets in a trade.

I'm growing more interested in drafting Sanderson as I do more research. He won't be ready for quite some time, but He's looking like the real deal every time I watch his games. If the Hawks are at pick 10 I'd be ok with Sanderson/Quinn/Lundell. If they go Askarov, I'm not going to pout because they need a prospect goalie with starter potential...I just don't think it's a wise choice of a top 10 pick.

Free Agent Signings

RFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Strome, Dylan		1	$3,500,000
Kubalik, Dominik		1	$3,500,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Crawford, Corey		2	$3,000,000

Buyouts

Olli Määttä: $680,600

Buried

Zack Smith: $2,175,000 ($3,250,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2020
2021
2022

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$81,500,000	$72,234,306	$1,090,244	$5,982,500	$9,265,694

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Kubalik, Dominik $3,500,000$3,500,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	Toews, Jonathan $10,500,000$10,500,000 C NMC UFA - 3	Saad, Brandon $5,000,000$5,000,000 LW, RW M-NTC UFA - 1
Suter, Pius $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) C, LW UFA - 1	Strome, Dylan $3,500,000$3,500,000 C UFA - 2	Kane, Patrick $2,625,000$2,625,000 RW NMC UFA - 3
DeBrincat, Alex $6,400,000$6,400,000 LW, RW UFA - 3	Dach, Kirby $925,000$925,000 ($2,500,000$2M) C, RW RFA - 2	Shaw, Andrew $3,900,000$3,900,000 C, RW UFA - 2
Nylander, Alexander $863,333$863,333 ($850,000$850K) RW, LW RFA - 1	Kämpf, David $1,000,000$1,000,000 C UFA - 1	Carpenter, Ryan $1,000,000$1,000,000 RW, C UFA - 2
	Highmore, Matthew $725,000$725,000 LW, RW UFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Keith, Duncan $5,538,462$5,538,462 LD NMC UFA - 3	Boqvist, Adam $894,167$894,167 ($850,000$850K) RD RFA - 2	Crawford, Corey $3,000,000$3,000,000 G UFA - 2
De Haan, Calvin $4,550,000$4,550,000 LD/RD UFA - 2	Murphy, Connor $3,850,000$3,850,000 RD UFA - 2	Delia, Collin $1,000,000$1,000,000 G UFA - 2
	Mitchell, Ian $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) RD RFA - 3
Carlsson, Lucas $792,500$792,500 ($82,500$82K) LD UFA - 1	Seabrook, Brent $6,875,000$6,875,000 RD NMC UFA - 4

Jul. 30, 2020 at 10:58 a.m.

Kyle_Davidson

Kyle from Chicago

Joined: Feb. 2018

Posts: 9,831

Likes: 5,799

Nylander should absolutely be playing over both Suter and Shaw at this point.

McRanteskog and ForsbergForVezina liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:01 a.m.

McRanteskog

RETIRED

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 4,846

Likes: 2,481

Quoting: Stan_Bowman

Nylander should absolutely be playing over both Suter and Shaw at this point.

100%

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:02 a.m.

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Edited Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:07 a.m.

Quoting: Stan_Bowman

Nylander should absolutely be playing over both Suter and Shaw at this point.

IDK about that. There were a few times last night that Kane was upset at him jumping off sides stopping the rush. I think he's a solid player and he 100% is NOT the lazy player that BUF fans were making him out to be, but Nylander's actually produced better when he's AWAY from Kane. It's weird, but true.

https://www.naturalstattrick.com/linestats.php?fromseason=20192020&thruseason=20192020&stype=2&sit=5v5&score=all&rate=n&team=CHI&vteam=ALL&view=wowy&loc=B&gpfilt=none&fd=2019-10-02&td=2020-04-04&tgp=2000&strict=incl&p1=8479423&p2=8474141&p3=0&p4=0&p5=0

***EDIT*** This is a good thing by the way! I like it when players aren't required to be next to super stars in order to produce. He's actually the BEST when he pairs with Kampf as his centerman.

https://www.naturalstattrick.com/linestats.php?fromseason=20192020&thruseason=20192020&stype=2&sit=5v5&score=all&rate=n&team=CHI&vteam=ALL&view=wowy&loc=B&gpfilt=none&fd=2019-10-02&td=2020-04-04&tgp=2000&strict=incl&p1=8479423&p2=8480144&p3=0&p4=0&p5=0

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:11 a.m.

SlickWilly

Joined: Nov. 2017

Posts: 3,222

Likes: 2,162

Quoting: exo2769

I liked Nylander a lot last night. He was aggressive and made some good plays on the forecheck, and the two times I saw him go offside, one was not his fault because Kane made an extra move with the puck which completely screwed Nylander over and the other one was because of a board battle, which is fairly common. Nylander made a couple great passes to Kane that unfortunately he couldnt bury, but he very well could have been all over the scoresheet yesterday

Kyle_Davidson liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:12 a.m.

Kyle_Davidson

Kyle from Chicago

Joined: Feb. 2018

Posts: 9,831

Likes: 5,799

Quoting: exo2769

Last night was the first time in 4.5 months that any of them played hockey against a real opponent, I'm not sure where you heard that Kane was frustrated with Nylander going offsides, but if he was it seems unwarranted in my opinion. I only saw it happen once last night and I think it was a bad call by the ref.

The sample size is too small to say that Nylander produces better away from Kane, but if you don't want to play him with Kane then you should easily play him with Strome/Dach and Debrincat. My point being that there's no way he will become a top 6/9 player if we continue to bury him on the 4th line.

exo2769 liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:13 a.m.

Kyle_Davidson

Kyle from Chicago

Joined: Feb. 2018

Posts: 9,831

Likes: 5,799

Quoting: SlickWilly

Unpopular opinion, the Kane-Strome goal yesterday was impossible if Nylander didn’t move the puck out of our defensive zone to Kane.

SlickWilly liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:16 a.m.

ForsbergForVezina

CHI NYI

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 4,661

Likes: 2,253

Not a fan of dumping both Maatta and Koekkoek for nothing after very solid seasons. Even in a flat cap world, teams still have needs and if they're smart enough, the Hawks can be the one to fill it.

Otherwise, all the roster stuff is fine, I agree with a lot of it

exo2769 liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:16 a.m.

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Quoting: Stan_Bowman

I made an edit to my previous which you may not have seen yet. I believe when "Player A" can make a line better...that's the best thing in the world. He makes Kampf's line better. This isn't a knock on him at all! It's a HUGE kudos! This makes the entire team better. 100% agreed and understood on the sample size.

SlickWilly liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:18 a.m.

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Quoting: ForsbergForVezina

100% agreed. I'm trying to be the MOST conservative I can here. Drake's not here. 4k isn't here. Matta should get a nice return IMO. Hawks should 110% be able to do better than the team above.

ForsbergForVezina liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:23 a.m.

#10

Jco5ta5

Hawks Fan

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 2,630

Likes: 1,651

I don’t disagree with your description at all. It will be a tough offseason if you have Strome, Kubalik, AND Saad all needing new contracts. I think you lose some value in needing to trade someone’s RFA or UFA (Saad) rights because teams know you can only afford 2 or 3. Also what if one or both RFAs go off next year? Another 60-70 pts for Strome and 30 goals for Kubalik? It might be wise if they’ll accept multiple years and maybe offsetting years like 2 to Kubalik and 3 to Strome. That way you deal with one at a time. (Though Dach and Boker are also up in 2 years). F...my head hurts lol

exo2769 liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 11:27 a.m.

#11

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Quoting: Jco5ta5

Lol, yeah. It's a tough call. With Saad and Smith coming off the books that ~$10M available for just raises above the $3.5M already signed. It's hard to predict the future. Maybe Saad still wants to go for the money? That's almost certainly not going to be the Hawks. Who knows? Those are good problems to have if one of the goes off.

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Jul. 30, 2020 at 12:55 p.m.

#12

ChiHawk

Joined: Apr. 2017

Posts: 18,991

Likes: 9,300

Why would you bury smith versus a buyout at 1/2 the price?

Jul. 30, 2020 at 1:22 p.m.

#13

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Edited Jul. 30, 2020 at 1:29 p.m.

Quoting: ChiHawk

Why would you bury smith versus a buyout at 1/2 the price?

A.) we can take it and B.) the following year we would have to pay $1M too, which I don't want. C.) I really do think he can help develop the younger guys in Rockford to be professionals. If he doesn't show up then suspend him and he gets removed all together.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 2:14 p.m.

#14

ChiHawk

Joined: Apr. 2017

Posts: 18,991

Likes: 9,300

Quoting: exo2769

Just buy him out and take the $1M hit both this year and next.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 2:45 p.m.

#15

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Quoting: ChiHawk

Just buy him out and take the $1M hit both this year and next.

I don't like that option personally. I gave three benefits to not doing that. It eliminates the additional optionality we get next year too. So 4 I guess. The $1M this year isn't worth it IMO.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 8:04 p.m.

#16

ChiHawk

Joined: Apr. 2017

Posts: 18,991

Likes: 9,300

Quoting: exo2769

I don't like that option personally. I gave three benefits to not doing that. It eliminates the additional optionality we get next year too. So 4 I guess. The $1M this year isn't worth it IMO.

A) We need the cap space especially considering room for bonuses...not sure what the carry over is ($1.2Mish I believe); spending $2.1M in Rockford is not smart for a team against the cap
B) Okay
C) Okay

A trumps B and C IMO

exo2769 liked this.

Jul. 30, 2020 at 10:27 p.m.

#17

exo2769

Thread Starter

exo2769

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 15,603

Likes: 9,697

Edited Jul. 31, 2020 at 8:53 a.m.

Quoting: ChiHawk

I hear ya. Cheers! We'll just have to agree to disagree. I view my method as ripping off a band-aid.

ChiHawk liked this.

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