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Sabres Fix

Created by: edwardtedbrady
Team: 2020-21 Buffalo Sabres
Initial Creation Date: Aug. 26, 2020
Published: Aug. 26, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
This is a next year fix to the Buffalo Sabres. All contract projections via 2020 Evolving Hockey contract projections. Only UFAs for D. A couple RFA's from last year but looks like a new team. Plus more players fall off the cap next year which allows team to sign Joki & Dahlin & then reevaluate roster.

Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win.

Gaudreau is a dump by Calgary. They are acquiring a young top 4 D man in Montour & another young top 6 d man in Pilut. They could use an elite blue line. On top receive 8th 2nd round which will still have potential to hit key players & next years sabres first (which we have seen the sabres have not trended well to making the playoffs). Its a good trade & allow Calgary to gain more support offensively & defensively with an affordable, youthful, blue line.

Last trade is questionable but might be worth it for Pens. If they are running for the cup again they would probably love another offensive defensemen to round out their scoring. Risto offers that & they trade their backup in Jarry & keep Murray since he already has won them a cup. Stick with what you know.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,173,000
1$821,100
3$4,802,000
2$2,912,000
4$4,977,000
8$8,744,000
1$1,500,000
2$3,000,000
1$800,900
1$813,200
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$1,802,000
1$840,800
Trades
1.
2.
CGY
  1. Montour, Brandon
  2. Pilut, Lawrence
  3. 2020 2nd round pick (BUF)
  4. 2021 1st round pick (BUF)
3.
Buyouts
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the DAL
2021
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
2022
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the BUF
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$79,935,733$1,487,500$4,337,500$1,564,267

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$6,750,000$6,750,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$10,000,000$10,000,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$4,977,000$4,977,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$9,000,000$9,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,083,333$3,083,333
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$8,744,000$8,744,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
C, LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$2,912,000$2,912,000
LW, RW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$925,000$925,000
C, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RW
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$813,200$813,200
RW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$800,900$800,900
C
UFA - 3
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$2,850,000$2,850,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$3,875,000$3,875,000
RD
UFA - 2
$3,000,000$3,000,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,850,000$3M)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$864,166$864,166
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$1,500,000$1,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$637,500$638K)
RD
RFA - 1
$1,802,000$1,802,000
LD
UFA - 1
$840,800$840,800
RD
UFA

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Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:31 a.m.
#1
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Statistically below average?!!!! Danault has some of the best xG numbers in the league!!!!
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Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:31 a.m.
#2
Subbanator
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Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win.

Literally the only line of this that's true is that MTL has teo young centers, then goes on to say we desperately need young centers...in the end this doesn't get you Danault
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Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:33 a.m.
#3
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No sure Montreal would want 2 more centers to add to the mix.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:48 a.m.
#4
jcambers
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I don't know who Lawerence Pilut, but as a Flames fan - I'd have a tough time saying 'no' to that trade.

It's a no brainer if you keep the 1st and change Lawerence to Cozens.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:52 a.m.
#5
Shibbal18
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Edited Aug. 26, 2020 at 3:58 p.m.
Quoting: jcambers
I don't know who Lawerence Pilut, but as a Flames fan - I'd have a tough time saying 'no' to that trade.

It's a no brainer if you keep the 1st and change Lawerence to Cozens.


Why would Buffalo ever entertain trading Cozens, Pilut is the promising Dman that walked out on Botterill because he refused to give him a chance in the NHL even though Pilut was killing it in the A
Aug. 26, 2020 at 8:54 a.m.
#6
Shibbal18
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"Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win."

What?? because of his point totals?? You say MTL has 2 future young centers as a justification for trading a center away, but then you give them 2 more centers....
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Aug. 26, 2020 at 9:04 a.m.
#7
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That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!
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Aug. 26, 2020 at 9:46 a.m.
#8
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716tablebreaker
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Quoting: NeedTheCleanser
Statistically below average?!!!! Danault has some of the best xG numbers in the league!!!!


Quoting: Shibbal18
"Danault is statistically a below average C. Better offensively then defensively. Montreal has two future young centers. With the trade they get a young potential top 6 forward & a young bottom 6 forward which they need. This fills their need for a 3rd line center & top 6 forward. Win-win."

What?? because of his point totals?? You say MTL has 2 future young centers as a justification for trading a center away, but then you give them 2 more centers....


Quoting: Carlapin007
That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!


Quoting: Carlapin007
That has to be one of the worst Danault trades I have ever seen. In fact, I stopped reading at < statisticaly below average >...

Again, go watch some games!!!


Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 9:50 a.m.
#9
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716tablebreaker
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For those who will say "Danault played 1st & 2nd line all regular season." I know he played that but based on recent articles by the NHL, Montreal Gazette, & more it states the coach wants Danault to be a defensively minded 3rd line center.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 10:13 a.m.
#10
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Sorry to say Bro, but you live on a different planet than the rest of us. Forget the numbers and watch some damn games, will you!? Danault is top-10 in the NHL as a 2-way center. He plays big minutes against the best lines and most of the time his line comes up on top of the opponents.

I'll give you the fact that he's not a PP specialist, and that's why he doesn't play the PP... In fact, Danault played 204 games in the last 3 seasons and during those games, he played only 203 minutes of PP. So yeah, I wonder why he doen't put up numbers...
Aug. 26, 2020 at 10:30 a.m.
#11
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716tablebreaker
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Okay. If you're biggest argument against me is that I don't watch games, then it isn't a good response to my trade. It says "YOU" personally value him more than his worth. I do watch a lot of hockey but I don't need to describe on average how much I watch to convince you I know hockey. You can choose to disagree & that is fine but this trade isn't meant to screw over Montreal to benefit the sabres. Its supposed to be fair trades that could happen.

I will agree that being a top line center does help in trade value but when the coach no longer values you as a top line center then your value lowers. He can compete, young, & has a respectable contract. You may think he's a good two way center but statistically that doesn't match what you're saying. Him not being on a power play does lower his value as well. You know it does. its not petty but it just means he doesn't have the experience on the power play. This past year was his worst defensive game of his career. Don't get mad if I point at he isn't what people believe he is. Analystic's are important, more now than ever, in evaluating trades. Does analytics miss things, yes. It is not perfect. But it shouldn't be ignored as well as it shouldn't be the only thing used.

If you think there is a better, more fair trade to offer the sabres could offer, I'm all ears. I'm not here to criticize or insult. I'm just hear to have a discussion & view peoples opinions.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 10:35 a.m.
#12
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Only reason MTL would trade Danault is biggest they have a surplus of Centers. This would not be enough and doubt theyre interested in Mittelstadt.
Aug. 26, 2020 at 10:40 a.m.
#13
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Quoting: edwardtedbrady
Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.


he's a below average FINISHER, but his xG totals are so high that he can still put up enough points to be top 20 among centers in 5v5 P/60, and consistently one of the better defensive centers (42nd in xGA/60 among all forwards, and obv he is helped by his linemates, but even isolated he's still far above average defensively) in the league (and he is horrible on the PP)
Aug. 26, 2020 at 10:42 a.m.
#14
Shibbal18
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Quoting: edwardtedbrady
Every person is entitled to their opinion of my trades. If you are a Montreal Canadiens fan, I understand this look like it would be a bad trade but in reality it isn't. Below is an explanation of why Danault is below average (career wise). He is a great player. I'm not saying the guy is terrible & he can/is a 1 or 2 line center but what he isn't is a 2way center & isn't effective on the power play either. Again...this is statically, not how I feel or have watched. I'm going by numbers not personal view.

Danault
MoneyPuck.com
0.76 Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes Played
13 Goals From 16.87 Expected Goals During 1,337 Minutes Played
12.20 Expected Goals After Adjusting For Shooting Talent
Predicted Shooting Talent is 27.7% Below Average

According to Hockeyviz Isolated Summary he is actually -2%. He has been for the past 3 years -3%, -2%, -2%. His power play is -13% in his career. On top of that he is 5v5 +.04% xG/60 (2% above average) & 5V5 -.18 xG/60 (-7%) defensively. Which you'd think hows he is more of an offensively minded centermen but is he is not good on the power play (-13%) & his predicted shooting talent is not great which tells me he doesn't make a lot of shots he takes.

Danault for Montreal was playing 3rd line center. Which proves & says Montreals coach wants a defensively minded third line center for his team. Danault has 1 year left & would want a payday which Montreal doesn't want to offer considering they have their 1-2 centers for the future. Mittelstadt is still considered a top 6 prospect. Analysts have stated he might fit a winger role better than a center role & actually did well in the AHL when moved. If you read my post I state top 6 forward, not center. Asplund has played in the NHL & is a young center that can fit that 3rd-4th center line role depending on his development. He might not be immediate but he can fill a spot to rotate & is young. They also have Jake Evens to fill that 3rd line center role & Asplund could be your fourth. Thats a great young center core for the future. You're getting two young & very affordable potential top 6 & bottom 6 players where one can still be an elite player & the other can fill the bottom fit role.

It benefits both teams & fills needs. Plus with this Montreal actually gains something then if they play him one more year & lose him as an UFA.


The importance of analytics in hockey is dropping, mostly because of situations like this. Looking at charts do not tell you a lot about a player. And people can skew numbers any way they want. Unlike baseball, their seems to be way too many variables to be accounted for. Advanced stats also really dont do much in the way of predicting a player's next season, especially after a change of scenery. They dont offer much more than the eye test could and its generally recommended to watch the players anyway despite having these numbers. They should make up about 3% of a decision on a player
Aug. 26, 2020 at 11:17 a.m.
#15
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The flames and the Canadians easily decline.
 
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