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What Am I Missing

Created by: I4evrblue
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Aug. 31, 2020
Published: Aug. 31, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
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https://twitter.com/SammyT_51/status/1299845130795524097?s=20
https://twitter.com/KwnStorm/status/1300510989478223880?s=20
Came across these two polls today asking who says no if the Panthers offer Ekblad for Nylander and I was shocked to see just how close it was.
Who do Leaf fans honestly think Nylander is? If this is a 1-for-1 deal it's a landslide win for the Leafs. Even if you think the player values are even you have to admit that Ekblad checks all the boxes the Leafs need. He'd be a terrific partner for Rielly, would help the PK and their defensive game and would add size and skill to a blueline in desperate need.
What am I missing?
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2020
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2021
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2022
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
20$81,500,000$79,234,084$0$0$2,265,916
Left WingCentreRight Wing
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$1,500,000$1,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
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C
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C, LW
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RW, LW
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UFA - 1
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LW, RW
RFA - 4
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LW, C, RW
UFA - 3
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RW, LW
UFA - 1
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LD
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RD
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G
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$5,625,000$5,625,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
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RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
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$1,650,000$1,650,000
G
UFA - 2
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$894,167$894,167
LD
UFA - 2
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:21 p.m.
#1
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I don't really know much about ekblad - he definitely has #1 potential and term. Florida is desperately trying to dump cap so I can't see them taking on an equivalent contract in Nylander. They'd love the player but idk if they have the cash to pay him
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:21 p.m.
#2
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The answer to your question is a fourth line RW
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:23 p.m.
#3
Isles7
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You’d probably have to add sandin. Sandin + Nylander for Ekblad + 2nd
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:27 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
I don't really know much about ekblad - he definitely has #1 potential and term. Florida is desperately trying to dump cap so I can't see them taking on an equivalent contract in Nylander. They'd love the player but idk if they have the cash to pay him


If they want savings it works in their favour.
Nylander has 4 years left with 6M of actual salary left to pay each season. His signing bonus of 3.5M has been paid out already for the 20/21 season. Total $$$ left to pay for the duration of his contract is 20.5M.
Ekblad has 5 years left with a yearly breakdown of 6, 9, 6, 7, and 6 years. His signing bonus of 4M has been paid out already for the 20/21 season. Total $$ left to pay for the duration of his contract is 31M.
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:27 p.m.
#5
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Well the first thing you are missing is thinking an open poll on twitter is just Leafs fans responding.
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:28 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: Isles777
You’d probably have to add sandin. Sandin + Nylander for Ekblad + 2nd


Too far in their favour if you do that
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:34 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: Isles777
You’d probably have to add sandin. Sandin + Nylander for Ekblad + 2nd


I wouldn't do Sandin for Ekblad 1 for 1.
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:35 p.m.
#8
Isles7
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Quoting: I4evrblue
Too far in their favour if you do that


Ekblad is one of the best two way D in the league and he’s on a great contract. It’s going to take a bit of an overpay to get ekblad , the leafs won’t get him with fair value.
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:37 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: Isles777
You’d probably have to add sandin. Sandin + Nylander for Ekblad + 2nd


Not even close. More like Nylander, Dermott, and a mid round pick for Ekblad and a guy like Accari. Remember it saves the Panthers real money too
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:39 p.m.
#10
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Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is one of the best two way D in the league and he’s on a great contract. It’s going to take a bit of an overpay to get ekblad , the leafs won’t get him with fair value.


He's not one of the best 2 way D lol. He's not even as good as Rielly.

He's similar to Pulock. If he has a bargain contract I wonder what Pulock's gonna get. 8Mx5?

Quoting: Ryminister_27
Not even close. More like Nylander, Dermott, and a mid round pick for Ekblad and a guy like Accari. Remember it saves the Panthers real money too


I'd give Nylander and Dermott for Ekblad. Nothing more.
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:41 p.m.
#11
Isles7
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Quoting: Leafs_and_Sens_Fan
He's not one of the best 2 way D lol. He's not even as good as Rielly.

He's similar to Pulock. If he has a bargain contract I wonder what Pulock's gonna get. 8Mx5?



I'd give Nylander and Dermott for Ekblad. Nothing more.


https://twitter.com/hockeystatscz/status/1300541543619661824?s=21

Lol yes he is. Panthers would laugh if the leafs offered dermott (ha) and nylander
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:42 p.m.
#12
Isles7
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Quoting: Ryminister_27
Not even close. More like Nylander, Dermott, and a mid round pick for Ekblad and a guy like Accari. Remember it saves the Panthers real money too


Ekblad is a #1 defenseman owed 35 mill over the next 5 years (7 mill Per) . That is a steal. Panthers won’t entertain your offer.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:42 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is one of the best two way D in the league and he’s on a great contract. It’s going to take a bit of an overpay to get ekblad , the leafs won’t get him with fair value.


Then they won't get him.
That's not the discussion though.
The discussion is how somebody wouldn't trade Nylander for him straight up.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:44 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is a #1 defenseman owed 35 mill over the next 5 years (7 mill Per) . That is a steal. Panthers won’t entertain your offer.


Actually he's owed 7.5M... and again what will the Islanders sign Pulock too.

Very similar production and style of play. If 7.5M is a massive bargain is Pulock worth 8M? 9M?
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:51 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Leafs_and_Sens_Fan
Actually he's owed 7.5M... and again what will the Islanders sign Pulock too.

Very similar production and style of play. If 7.5M is a massive bargain is Pulock worth 8M? 9M?


Learn the difference between cap hit and salary. Actually after ekblad received a 4 milllion dollar signing bonus on July 1st, he is now owed 31 million dollars in next 5 years, which is 6.2 mill per year.

Ekblad is better than pulock and signed an 8 year deal. Pulock will get 6 mill x 5, if he signs for 8 years he’ll get closer to 7 mill.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:53 p.m.
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Quoting: Isles777
Learn the difference between cap hit and salary. Actually after ekblad received a 4 milllion dollar signing bonus on July 1st, he is now owed 31 million dollars in next 5 years, which is 6.2 mill per year.

Ekblad is better than pulock and signed an 8 year deal. Pulock will get 6 mill x 5, if he signs for 8 years he’ll get closer to 7 mill.


Ekblad isn't better than Pulock lol. Man have you even seen the guy play. You're acting like he's the great Bobby Orr and a multi cup winner.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:54 p.m.
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Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is a #1 defenseman owed 35 mill over the next 5 years (7 mill Per) . That is a steal. Panthers won’t entertain your offer.


Panthers are also a extremely low budget team, and Nylander compared to Ekblad saves them $10.5M in real cash. & Ekblad is not a true #1. He's a good #2 but doesn't have the offence of a #1. A package of Nylander plus another cheap NHL roster player and a pick is well within range of his value
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:55 p.m.
#18
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Quoting: Leafs_and_Sens_Fan
Ekblad isn't better than Pulock lol. Man have you even seen the guy play. You're acting like he's the great Bobby Orr and a multi cup winner.


Ekblad is better than Pulock. Pulock is an average skater at best. He'll never be a top pairing guy because of it.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:56 p.m.
#19
Isles7
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Quoting: Ryminister_27
Ekblad is better than Pulock. Pulock is an average skater at best. He'll never be a top pairing guy because of it.


Ekblad is better than pulock, but he without a doubt a top pairing guy. Unless you think your eye test is a better indicator of pulocks performance than analytics
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:57 p.m.
#20
Isles7
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Quoting: Ryminister_27
Panthers are also a extremely low budget team, and Nylander compared to Ekblad saves them $10.5M in real cash. & Ekblad is not a true #1. He's a good #2 but doesn't have the offence of a #1. A package of Nylander plus another cheap NHL roster player and a pick is well within range of his value


Ekblad is a #1

https://twitter.com/hockeystatscz/status/1300541543619661824?s=21
Aug. 31, 2020 at 6:59 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is better than pulock, but he without a doubt a top pairing guy. Unless you think your eye test is a better indicator of pulocks performance than analytics


Top pairing d-man can skate and keep up with any team in the league. Pulock is not that. Yes I will always trust the eye test for that. Analytics aren't everything, they'll never be able to tell the whole story.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 7:03 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: Ryminister_27
Ekblad is better than Pulock. Pulock is an average skater at best. He'll never be a top pairing guy because of it.


Pulock's better at positioning and defensively.

If you're saying potential wise Ekblad has a higher ceiling I can agree with that but right now they're pretty equal (Pulock might even be better).

Quoting: Isles777
Ekblad is better than pulock, but he without a doubt a top pairing guy. Unless you think your eye test is a better indicator of pulocks performance than analytics


Analytics say Dermott is worth 6M when he clearly isn't...

Teams that play like the Blue Jackets and the Islanders have worse advanced stats...
Aug. 31, 2020 at 7:05 p.m.
#23
Isles7
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Quoting: Ryminister_27
Top pairing d-man can skate and keep up with any team in the league. Pulock is not that. Yes I will always trust the eye test for that. Analytics aren't everything, they'll never be able to tell the whole story.


I guess you must've read pulock's scouting report from his draft year. Pulock's skating has greatly improved over the last 3 years and he has very good 4 way mobility and because he thinks the game at a high level, hes able to produce as a top pairing Dman.

Analytics > your eye test. When people say analytics don't tell the whole story its usually because what it tells doesn't support their narrative.
Aug. 31, 2020 at 7:06 p.m.
#24
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I like the idea of the trade as the leafs get a top pair guy with term and is in the correct age bracket. Florida is probably going to lose both dadonov and Hoffman (possibly haula) they are in desperate need of forward support(also shedding cap). Obviously the leafs add in a deal like this. Maybe Kerfoot or Dermot plus a draft pick or prospect. This would be a tough trade to make but it would certainly be fun
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Aug. 31, 2020 at 7:08 p.m.
#25
Isles7
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Quoting: Leafs_and_Sens_Fan
Pulock's better at positioning and defensively.

If you're saying potential wise Ekblad has a higher ceiling I can agree with that but right now they're pretty equal (Pulock might even be better).

Ekblad is better right now, You can just isolate Ekblad's performance using analytics. He is elite right now.

Evolving-Hockey has Dermott's contract projection at 2 years x 1.8 million


Analytics say Dermott is worth 6M when he clearly isn't...

Teams that play like the Blue Jackets and the Islanders have worse advanced stats...
 
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