Quoting: dzad96
Valid points. All of it.
I'm not going to split wingers into left and right, just going to name the wingers who are on fair deals 6-10 and are better than those two in one list.
Ovechkin, Gaudreau, Hall, Rantaanen, Giroux, Connor, Forsberg, Kucherov, Stone, Wheeler, tarasenko, Kessel. Theres 12 who are easily better than pacioretty and Nylander, again it's my opinion because that's all I can really go off of, but if you want statistical information every player in my list has had a higher single season point total than Nylander or Pacioretty have ever had.
Spurgeon 15th best D in the league objectively? Not even close. 15th in the league based on 7-10 mil cap hit, maybe. here's players making 7-10 who are better than Spurgeon, again sorry to disappoint but gonna have to have an opinion.
Josi, Carlson, Pietrangelo, Burns, Chabot, Weber, Letang (when healthy). So not many guys in that 7-10 salary range better than Spurgeon. But I think he's overpaid. Only worth about 5-6 IMO which then allows me to place a whole slew of other Dmen ahead of him. Love Spurgeon at a 6 cap hit, not at 7+ hes a solid 2nd D IMO.
Sorry for all the opinion but that's what a discussion is. Interested to hear why you think Spurgeon is so good.
So I don't know if you fully follow my reasoning - I think most players on your list are better than the ones I inserted into my lineup, but my idea is to either get two wingers at roughly #30 for wingers in the league, paid at that price. Either that, or get roughly the #15 wingers for each side.
Yeah I'm kind of big on numbers slightly beyond point totals. I think point totals sometimes are way too generous or cheap in terms of assigning player value. Phil Kessel racks up loads of point but gets massively outscored on the ice. Forsberg doesn't produce as much, but is driving both his own line and most of his team's offence, while also playing really solid defence. I have Forsberg as a top10 winger, I don't have Kessel in my top 20 or 30. It's just so weird to me how people can knock Nylander down any list for "not playing defense" when in reality his numbers show way better D- and neutral zone play than a lot of the guys on these lists. Also - guys like Rantanen playing with maybe the best player in the league and doing a lot of 'empty calory' scoring, or Connor - picking up a lot of the points from Wheeler's or Scheifele's creation are knocked down a bit for me. Nylander, as examplified, did play with Matthews, but also transported way more pucks and created way more opportunities for Matthews than Raantanen did by tapping in open netter off of MacKinnon rushes (simplified ofc). I think a lot of the time people intuitively judge player performance, and then try to justify it with numbers. I try not to do that.
When Spurgeon is on the ice his team outperformes the opposition a crazy amount in terms of shot generation etc. I think he's actually top 10 by most models. But regardless, when you start actually counting it's my experience you run out quicker than you think. Hedman, Ellis, Karlsson, Hughes, Makar, Fox, Pietrangelo, Giordano, Josi, Hamilton, McAvoy, and maybe Letang are the guys I'd feel good with placing above him - but when we're in the Burns, Carlson, Jones, Werenski, Chabot, Krug, Morrissey, Rielly, Slavin, Lindholm, Weber etc range I think he kind of slots in there. The 15th highest paid defenseman is Ekblad, and I'd have him as a candidate here too - and he's making 75k less.
In the end, we don't have to agree, but I enjoy presenting justifications for my thinking to have more discussions and potentially improve my mindset in regards to these things!