Edited Dec 17, 2020 at 8:11
Updated: December 17th
(This includes the assumption that Michael Ferland will be placed on LTIR)
So let’s look at each team’s current cap space, and how many roster spots are currently filled.
TBL - $1.9M over - 19
TOR - $1.05M over - 23
VGK - $975K over - 21
EDM - $242K over - 23**
DAL - $300K - 23**
MTL - $400K - 21
CAR - $900K - 22
CGY - $1M - 21
PIT - $1.32M - 23
COL - $1.8M - 20
WSH - $1.9M - 20
PHI - $2.3M - 20
SJS - $2.4M - 23
MIN - $2.7M - 22
BOS - $2.98M - 21
VAN - $2M - 22*
BUF - $3.5M - 21
ARI - $3.5M - 22*
STL - $4.57M - 22**
WPG - $4.6M - 22*
NYR - $4.8M - 23***
CHI - $5.21M - 22
ANA - $6M - 22*
FLA - $6.6M - 20
CBJ - $9.23M - 22
NYI - $9.9M - 20
NSH - $12.9M - 19
LAK - $13.6M - 19
DET - $15.6M - 22*
NJD - $17.2M - 16
OTT - $17.4M - 22*
* Using LTIR for a retired player
** Using LTIR for active player(s)
*** $3.95M bonus cushion penalty
So looking at the teams:
TBL - Need to sign Cirelli/Cernak. They’ll need to trade 2 or 3 players out of Cirelli/Cernak/Killorn/Johnson/Palat/Gourde to be cap compliant.
TOR - They can just send 2 players down to be cap compliant.
VGK - They’d ideally make a move, although they could barely get by by burying one of their 4th line forwards.
EDM - Need to sign Bear. They have about $3.9 million in wiggle room with Klefbom out, which should be more than enough to sign Bear. They can send down a few players to be cap compliant if Klefbom returns.
DAL - They’re fine. They’ll have more wiggle room for call ups when Bishop & Seguin are out, but they’re fine when they get back soon.
MTL - They’re fine as of now, although it would be ideal to trade Kulak so that we don’t go over with ELC bonuses.
CAR - They’re good.
CGY - Need to sign Kylington. They’re good.
PIT - They’re in good shape. They could go after one of the remaining UFAs for around $2M.
COL - They’re good.
WSH - They’re good.
PHI - UFA up to $2 million.
SJS - They’re good. They could go for a UFA up to $3M.
MIN - UFA up to $3.5M.
BOS - UFA up to $3M. Could add Vatanen on a bargain deal, or they could trade for a LHD.
VAN - UFA up to $2.5M. They’re probably done, but it couldn’t hurt to add a UFA forward on a bargain contract.
BUF - UFA up to $3.5M.
ARI - UFA up to $4M, although I doubt they add anyone else.
STL - Need to sign Dunn. They have around $4.6 million in cap space that can be put towards him and/or UFAs, and they could spend more money if they expect Tarasenko to miss the entire season.
WPG - Need to sign Roslovic. UFA up to $5M, assuming Roslovic isn’t too expensive.
NYR - They’re likely done, due to their performance bonuses.
CHI - Need to sign Strome. Probably down after that.
ANA - UFA up to $6M.
FLA - UFA up to $6M, but I doubt they do anything, since ownership wants to save money.
CBJ - Need to sign PLD. Could add someone up to $2M after he’s signed.
NYI - Need to sign Barzal. Once he Greene, Martin, & Schneider are signed, they’re done.
NSH - Need to sign Kunin. Could go for UFAs up to $10M. IMO the most likely landing spot for Hoffman.
LAK - UFA up to $12M.
DET - UFA up to $16M.
NJD - Need to sign Bratt & Blackwood. UFA up to $12M minus whatever those 2 make. So maybe around $6M?
OTT - UFA up to $18M.
Need to make trades: TBL
Need to make some roster moves: TOR, VGK, WPG, MTL
Sitting pretty: EDM, DAL, CAR, CGY, COL, NYR, NYI, CHI, WSH
Could add up to $2.5M: PIT, PHI, VAN, CBJ
Could add $3M-$4M: SJS, BOS, MIN, BUF, ARI, STL
Could add $5M-$7M: WPG, ANA, FLA, NJD
Could add $10M+: NSH, LAK, DET, OTT
So given all this, I’d say that potential landing spots for the top UFAs could be:
Hoffman - NSH, NJD
Vatanen - ANA, BOS
Granlund - MIN, SJS, BUF
Hamonic - WPG
Haula - PIT, SJS, BUF