Unrealistic Trade Idea

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Created by: AnalyticsGeek

Team: 2021-22 Toronto Maple Leafs

Initial Creation Date: Dec. 3, 2020

Published: Dec. 4, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

With a flat cap being the most likely possibility for 2021-22, the Leafs may find difficulty keeping the big 4 while upgrading their team. The biggest need is a number 1 goaltender as they can't afford to retain the services of Andersen who will cost in the 6-7 million range. Getting a 2RD would improve the team as well.

Matthews and Tavares are untouchable. Marner is the one they'd like to move but no team has interest in him, so they'd have to move Nylander for an ELC player to clear cap space for those signings. It also leaves around 4 million to give Rielly a new deal the following season.

Free Agent Signings

UFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Hyman, Zach	8	$3,500,000
Grubauer, Philipp	3	$4,300,000
Oleksiak, Jamie	5	$4,000,000
Martin, Matt	2	$800,000
Rowney, Carter	2	$800,000
Rutta, Jan	2	$800,000
Abdelkader, Justin	1	$800,000

Trades

TOR

Seattle Expansion Draft

Additional Details:

*Leafs only do this if Lafreniere becomes a blue chip

Retained Salary Transactions

Phil Kessel: $1,200,000 (15%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2021
2022
2023

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$81,500,000	$77,642,417	$0	$3,250,000	$3,857,583

Roster

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Lafrenière, Alexis $925,000$925,000 ($2,850,000$3M) LW, RW RFA - 2	Tavares, John $11,000,000$11,000,000 C, LW NMC UFA - 4	Marner, Mitchell $10,903,000$10,903,000 RW UFA - 4
Robertson, Nicholas $796,667$796,667 LW, RW RFA - 3	Matthews, Auston $11,640,250$11,640,250 C UFA - 3	Hyman, Zach $3,500,000$3,500,000 RW, LW UFA - 7
Engvall, Pierre $1,250,000$1,250,000 RW, LW UFA - 1	Kerfoot, Alexander $3,500,000$3,500,000 LW, C, RW UFA - 2	Mikheyev, Ilya $1,645,000$1,645,000 LW, RW UFA - 1
Martin, Matt $800,000$800,000 LW, RW UFA - 3	Rowney, Carter $800,000$800,000 C, RW UFA - 1	Anderson, Joey $750,000$750,000 RW RFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Muzzin, Jake $5,625,000$5,625,000 LD NTC UFA - 3	Brodie, TJ $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD/RD NTC UFA - 3	Grubauer, Philipp $4,300,000$4,300,000 G UFA - 6
Rielly, Morgan $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD NMC UFA - 1	Oleksiak, Jamie $4,000,000$4,000,000 LD/RD UFA - 5	Campbell, Jack $1,650,000$1,650,000 G UFA - 1
Sandin, Rasmus $894,167$894,167 LD UFA - 1	Liljegren, Timothy $863,333$863,333 ($400,000$400K) RD RFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Abdelkader, Justin $800,000$800,000 LW, RW UFA
Rutta, Jan $800,000$800,000 LD/RD UFA - 1

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Marner, M.		Tavares, J.		Matthews, A.
	Rielly, M.		Lafrenière, A.

Power Play 2
Hyman, Z.		Kerfoot, A.		Robertson, N.
	Liljegren, T.		Sandin, R.

Penalty Kill 1
	Rowney, C.	Hyman, Z.
	Muzzin, J.	Brodie, T.

Penalty Kill 2
	Engvall, P.	Mikheyev, I.
	Sandin, R.	Oleksiak, J.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:43 p.m.

#26

mhockey91

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 15,921

Likes: 6,980

Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

Thanks for the feedback. I think Lafreniere has a higher ceiling than Nylander (he put up better numbers in the Q than MacKinnon on a worse team). Put him on a line with Marner & Tavares, it’s not unreasonable to think he’ll get 80 points.

Laf as a rookie will probably be better than nylander. His ceiling is wayyyyy higher. Laf is in Matthew’s territory, not nylander

sabres1108, DartGuy86 and Forbesy liked this.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:44 p.m.

#27

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: mondo

Lafreniere is the least likely of those three to be traded. He's the youngest, is (currently) the cheapest and could end up being a long term franchise player for them.

Nylander won't be a 1C. He's been tested in centre roles in Toronto and hasn't been convincing enough to move off of wing. No one is going to trade for Nylander to play centre, and especially not for their best prospect in a generation.

Quoting: mhockey91

Nylander isn’t a a 1C

Nylander has played C at every level before making the NHL. You may not remember but the Leafs tried Nylander at C in 2018/19 for a month & the 5 playoff games when Kadri was suspended. The results were excellent (he had a Corsi & Fenwick of over 55%). He generated a lot of scoring chances but his linemates Marleau & Brown were pretty bad. I feel if you put him with Panarin & Strome he would do excellent.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:47 p.m.

#28

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: Hidalgo

NYR would never, but ya I think this team could do it but like always it just depends if they can get their s**t together and play to their potential

Yes I agree. On paper the Leafs look fantastic but they always end up giving overrated performances.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:48 p.m.

#29

mhockey91

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 15,921

Likes: 6,980

Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

Okay then rangers offer a package involving Nils Lundqivst +

Definitely not Laf

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:51 p.m.

#30

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: exo2769

Just the team itself without looking at the quality of the trade. I'd question whether this team is better than it was last year. Laf is great long term FOR SURE, but Brodie and JO while nice pieces aren't huge pieces. Both are overpaid for what they provide IMO. Also Grubauer isn't an improvement over Freddie. I actually think Freddie is the better goalie...just that he was WAY over worked last year. AND that's more a Keefe problem than Babs. Statistically Keefe relied on him more which is stupid crazy because that was a huge problem to begin with.

Thanks for the feedback. Brodie played heavy minutes on the top pair during his last few seasons on Calgary yet he still achieved excellent defensive results. I think he definitely improves Toronto’s defence compared to their previous situation.

Oleksiak is a 2nd pair defender but I feel he has the skillset to compliment Rielly. A smart, mobile defender who makes good decisions away from the puck. 4 million might be expensive but he ranked in the 99th percentile in expected goals against.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:51 p.m.

#31

SlickWilly

Joined: Nov. 2017

Posts: 3,225

Likes: 2,163

Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

I think his ceiling is higher, but he probably isnt going to hit that within the next two years. Not trying to say its a bad deal for the Leafs, its not and I would imagine New York would like to keep Lafreniere over Nylander and pair him with Kakko for years to come, but the team itself would largely be the same.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:55 p.m.

#32

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: mhockey91

Laf as a rookie will probably be better than nylander. His ceiling is wayyyyy higher. Laf is in Matthew’s territory, not nylander

I agree that Lafreniere has a much higher ceiling, but I don’t think he’ll be successful in NYR. They’re going to play him with Howden (who stinks) and the JJ-Bitteto pairing (2 garbage defencemen). He’s going to get caved in and it will destroy his confidence.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:56 p.m.

#33

SlickWilly

Joined: Nov. 2017

Posts: 3,225

Likes: 2,163

Quoting: mhockey91

Laf as a rookie will probably be better than nylander. His ceiling is wayyyyy higher. Laf is in Matthew’s territory, not nylander

I think his ceiling is higher, but I dont anticipate him sitting at a ppg at the end of the season. The last guy to do that was McDavid. Matthews was close, but I dont see Laf being on a 40 goal pace.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:57 p.m.

#34

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: SlickWilly

Yeah I think the forward group would be at a similar level, but the the cap space of the trade, you get to add a solid defenceman in Oleksiak and a starting goalie. So overall, it’s a little bit better. Honestly, I just feel the Leafs are a good number 4 defender away from being legit.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 4:57 p.m.

#35

SlickWilly

Joined: Nov. 2017

Posts: 3,225

Likes: 2,163

Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

No chance they put him with Howden. He will play with Chytil and Lemieux at worst

Dec. 4, 2020 at 5:09 p.m.

#36

mhockey91

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 15,921

Likes: 6,980

Quoting: SlickWilly

Maybe not a PPG, but he could be close, especially once NYR slide him up to the top 6

Dec. 4, 2020 at 5:39 p.m.

#37

sensibleguy

Serf

Joined: Jun. 2016

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Quoting: Jamiepo

Nylander, great piece, abramov great piece. Exactly what type of pieces are you looking for? Lol.

Rangers aren’t trading lafreniere because teams aren’t offering more than this.

It’s brave to have an opinion not shared by anyone else.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 5:56 p.m.

#38

Hedman77

Log off the internet

Joined: Mar. 2017

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Zero chance in hell that NYR does that trade, but this team could pull it off

Dec. 4, 2020 at 6:49 p.m.

#39

GenXHockey

Formerly Jamiepo

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 21,157

Likes: 10,700

Quoting: sensibleguy

It’s brave to have an opinion not shared by anyone else.

Nothing brave about it. Just figured I would point out the obvious.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 7:07 p.m.

#40

AnalyticsGeek

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Quoting: sensibleguy

It’s not enough for Lafreniere. Doesn’t need more pieces, needs better pieces.

BTW, Lafreniere is a blue chip.

Quoting: Bcarlo25

Uhhhh pretty sure leaf is blue chip already.

How can someone be a blue chip before they even play a full season? Given how NYR is going to use him he could easily be a bust.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 7:07 p.m.

#41

sabres1108

Joined: Jun. 2016

Posts: 3,150

Likes: 730

rangers trade is embarrassing...thanks for wasting my time

Dec. 4, 2020 at 7:08 p.m.

#42

Bcarlo25

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 21,131

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Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

How can someone be a blue chip before they even play a full season? Given how NYR is going to use him he could easily be a bust.

Have you never heard the term, “blue chip prospect?”
Sheesh. Laf is as blue chip as it gets.

sensibleguy liked this.

Dec. 4, 2020 at 7:20 p.m.

#43

sensibleguy

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Quoting: Jamiepo

Nothing brave about it. Just figured I would point out the obvious.

Okay, go ahead...

GenXHockey liked this.

Dec. 5, 2020 at 11:06 a.m.

#44

LGuy54

TOR V5 GM

Joined: Nov. 2020

Posts: 4,375

Likes: 1,906

Quoting: sens65

Why the actual f*** would NYR even answer the phone for that?

I think it is mandatory to pick up the phone but he'd probably hang up the second he hears lafreniere

sens65 liked this.

Dec. 5, 2020 at 4:28 p.m.

#45

KileDoobis

Leafs fan...sorry

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 684

Likes: 222

He finally makes a agm without messing with Marners cap hit, and its this atrocity.

DartGuy86 liked this.

Dec. 5, 2020 at 6:16 p.m.

#46

sens65

Joined: Mar. 2018

Posts: 7,136

Likes: 3,490

Quoting: BenjaminWalder

I think it is mandatory to pick up the phone but he'd probably hang up the second he hears lafreniere

Exactly

Dec. 7, 2020 at 12:12 p.m.

#47

Leafsfan16

Joined: Jun. 2020

Posts: 1,125

Likes: 304

Rangers trade sucks no offence.

Dec. 8, 2020 at 12:20 p.m.

#48

MapleLeafsfan2003

Please win the cup

Joined: Sep. 2020

Posts: 444

Likes: 187

Not a good trade, trade aside. Not really a better team, less experienced and younger.

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