Quoting: OldNYIfan
Well, let's look at the stats: over his career, Rakell is a 0.6-points-per-game player on a historically offensive-challenged team; Kapanen, 0.4 on a racehorse overly-productive team.
Rakell and Kapanen weren't the topic players here, and I didn't contend that Kapanen is better or equal, but if you really want to get into that, we can later on, I suppose...
Quoting: OldNYIfan
"Getting ripped off" is the very DEFINITION of "market fluke," and it's exactly what you're arguing: that the market isn't the same for any similar player. There's something fishy about contending that a trade you guys made shouldn't be used against you as a comparable because your player wasn't worth what you got for him. And what trades since the Kapanen trade do you believe indicate that the market has gone against trading top-6 forwards?
By market fluke, it appears we had a miscommunication, my bad. I had thought you were referring to the timing of the deal and the shift in the landscape of the NHL that has since come. Getting out in front of that certainly helped the Leafs maximize the return they got for Kapanen, but even so, I think they recouped more than even the most optimistic Leafs fans hoped for. What I'm arguing is that the trade was likely an outlier based on the reactions of Leafs fans, Pens fans, and others, the
vast majority of whom agreed that the Leafs fleeced the Penguins, and an outlier isn't likely to be strong support in a separate trade negotiation. There's nothing really fishy about that; regardless of what teams are involved, my stance on that would be the same. There haven't really been any top 6 trades since then except for player for player swaps, and I'm not saying that the market's gone against trading top 6 forwards - high end players are the least impacted by all this, as far as trade value goes, imo. I don't, however, think it's unfair to say that circumstances have changed and a flat cap, quarantine period, and loss of revenue have likely had an influence on mentality among GM's which may (but may not), impact a potential Rakell deal, whether directly or indirectly.