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Better scouting

Created by: Leafsfaninvancity
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Feb. 20, 2021
Published: Feb. 20, 2021
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Imagine if Leafs drafted Rakell over Stuart Percy (Kucherov is a second rounder but very late, so I won't count him, but yeah that would be amazing), Theodore in 2013 (26th) instead of Gauthier (21), Sebastian Aho (35 pick) instead of Dermott (34) in 2015, and Alex Debrincat (39) over Egor Korshkov (31) in 2016. I know other teams passed on them, but these are 1st and 2nd round picks, not late gems. And the Leafs would be in cap hell. and kept Kadri as Theodore would fill Barrie's position. I have faith in Dubas that he can draft well, he's already shown it with Robertson and Sandin. The Leafs are rich and should have the league's best scouts!!!
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VGK
  1. 2022 7th round pick (TOR)
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(Frederik Gauthier)
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CHI
  1. 2022 6th round pick (TOR)
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(Egor Korshkov)
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ANA
  1. 2023 7th round pick (TOR)
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(Stuart Percy)
Retained Salary Transactions
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DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2021
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
24$81,500,000$103,620,672$0$0-$22,120,672

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$8,460,250$8,460,250
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,640,250$11,640,250
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$10,903,000$10,903,000
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$6,400,000$6,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$821,667$821,667
LW, RW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$4,500,000$4,500,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
$2,463,139$2,463,139
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,645,000$1,645,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vegas Golden Knights
$5,200,000$5,200,000
LD/RD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,625,000$5,625,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,650,000$1,650,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,000,000$2,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$900,000$900,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RW, LW
NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RD
NTC
UFA - 1
Taxi Squad
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LD
UFA - 1

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Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:00 a.m.
#26
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
ok, so if you are using Sandin, and the 2018 draft then that's a whole different ball game because there are tons of NHL teams who dont have a guy more established than Sandin drafted since
St Louis, Vegas, Tampa, San Jose, Pittsburgh, Phoenix, Minnisota, Florida, Calgary, Columbus

vancouver has 1 (a top 10 pick), Ottawa has 1 (top 5 pick), Jersey has 1 (1st over all), Montreal 1 (3rd over all) and carolina has 1 (the 2nd over all pick)

and that's just the teams i checked out. So, as a drafter, Dubas is lookin league average at worst in his tenure as GM.


I'm not very confident in your research since you left out Montreal and Romanov who has established himself this year and was chosen a few picks after Sandin.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:02 a.m.
#27
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Quoting: Byrr
I'm not very confident in your research since you left out Montreal and Romanov who has established himself this year and was chosen a few picks after Sandin.


Romanov has half the NHL games played that Sandin does
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:03 a.m.
#28
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Romanov has half the NHL games played that Sandin does


and yet here he is with an established spot in the NHL, thriving, with no signs of ever being sent down again while Sandin is hanging out in the AHL after not being able to establish that spot even though hes played twice the games.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:07 a.m.
#29
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Quoting: Byrr
and yet here he is in the NHL with no signs of being sent down while Sandin is hanging out in the AHL.


So Romanov gets half the games on a team with more open spots and he's "more established"? Sandin is only in the AHL because of cap and roster over load reasons. He's at least as good as Romanov.
Romanov wouldnt make the leafs and Sandin would be a regular in Montreal
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:10 a.m.
#30
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
So Romanov gets half the games on a team with more open spots and he's "more established"? Sandin is only in the AHL because of cap and roster over load reasons. He's at least as good as Romanov.
Romanov wouldnt make the leafs and Sandin would be a regular in Montreal


A team with more open spots? The Leafs went looking for a big name UFA from Russia this summer and stated they wanted to move Dermott to the right side. Not exactly a sign of Dubas' confidence in Sandin. There were unarguably spots for him to take and he wasn't able. The facts would say you've got yourself backwards on this one, you've retreated into homer territory now.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:17 a.m.
#31
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Quoting: Byrr
A team with more open spots? The Leafs went looking for a big name UFA from Russia this summer. Not exactly a sign of Dubas' confidence in Sandin, there were definitely spots for him. The facts would say you've got yourself backwards on this one.


The Leafs should always be looking for guys who might be good NHL players for cheap, every team should and that's if they have the worst or best defence in the NHL. Confidence in Sandin had nothing to do with it, especially when you point out that Montreal was also interested in Lethonen (and Zub who ottawa got) but couldnt get him to sign. Did they lack confidence in Romanov?
And what spots were open? The bottom pairing? Did you want him playing every 3rd game like Lethonen or did you want him playing top pair in the AHL?
Romanov would be getting the exact same treatment if he was a leaf. Saying Romanov is "more established" than Sandin because he's played less games and didnt even get a sniff of the NHL for a full season later looks like a pretty round-about way just to talk down Dubas.

This is also a handy distraction that most those other teams I named dont have anyone at all who has even played in the NHL
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:22 a.m.
#32
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
The Leafs should always be looking for guys who might be good NHL players for cheap, every team should and that's if they have the worst or best defence in the NHL. Confidence in Sandin had nothing to do with it, especially when you point out that Montreal was also interested in Lethonen (and Zub who ottawa got) but couldnt get him to sign. Did they lack confidence in Romanov?


Lehtonen is on the left, Romanov is on the right. Do you even know what you are talking about?

Quote:
And what spots were open? The bottom pairing? Did you want him playing every 3rd game like Lethonen or did you want him playing top pair in the AHL?
Romanov would be getting the exact same treatment if he was a leaf. Saying Romanov is "more established" than Sandin because he's played less games and didnt even get a sniff of the NHL for a full season later looks like a pretty round-about way just to talk down Dubas.


Romanov would be the 3rd pairing right d on the Leafs. He'd be put in above Bogosian every game, bringing that same tough to play against, defensive style while just being a better defenseman by all the underlying numbers. If Sandin were in that class, he'd be the leafs 3rd pairing left D, not being traded in and out like Dermott and Lehtonen. Of course Dubas never saw Sandin as ready to be that 3rd pairing D because he went out and got Lehtonen.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:22 a.m.
#33
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
28 other teams also didn't draft those guys. Just like 30 teams passed on Robertson. Every team misses out on some picks. So these posts are just silly. No team has ever picked the best player in every draft in every round.


My point is, with some exceptions, it is hard to find more than 10 players that the Leafs have drafted over say the past 25 drafts that you can call steady NHL players.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:26 a.m.
#34
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Quoting: Byrr
Lehtonen is on the left, Romanov is on the right. Do you even know what you are talking about?

Quote:
And what spots were open? The bottom pairing? Did you want him playing every 3rd game like Lethonen or did you want him playing top pair in the AHL?
Romanov would be getting the exact same treatment if he was a leaf. Saying Romanov is "more established" than Sandin because he's played less games and didnt even get a sniff of the NHL for a full season later looks like a pretty round-about way just to talk down Dubas.


Romanov would be the 3rd pairing right d on the Leafs. He'd be put in above Bogosian every game, bringing that same big, tough to play against, defensive style while just being a better defenseman by all the underlying numbers. If Sandin were in that class, he'd be the leafs 3rd pairing left D, not being traded in and out like Dermott and Lehtonen. Of course Dubas never saw Sandin as ready to be that 3rd pairing D because he went out and got Lehtonen.


Lethonen can play the right too, and Zub plays the right, Do you know what you are talking about?

and no Romanov would not be ahead of Bogosian every game and he is not getting remotly tough defensive minutes, he's got over 60% offensive zone starts. Dude is being sheltered to hell while Bogosian is actually getting tough defensive assignments. Romanov would be a Marlie if he was a leaf
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:29 a.m.
#35
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Quoting: Leafsfaninvancity
My point is, with some exceptions, it is hard to find more than 10 players that the Leafs have drafted over say the past 25 drafts that you can call steady NHL players.


This sounds like a fun exercise. Steady NHL players drafted by the Leafs over the past 25 drafts:

Matthews
Nylander
Marner
Rielly
Brown
Kadri
Schenn
Pateryn
Gunnarsson
Tlusty
Kulemin
Riemer
Stalberg
Komarov
Rask
Stralman
Mitchell
Steen
Stajan
White
Colaiacovo
Wellwood
Boyes

Thats just going back to 2000 so there are a few more years in there but needless to say it was quite easy to find more than 10.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:33 a.m.
#36
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
and no Romanov would not be ahead of Bogosian every game and he is not getting remotly tough defensive minutes, he's got over 60% offensive zone starts. Dude is being sheltered to hell while Bogosian is actually getting tough defensive assignments. Romanov would be a Marlie if he was a leaf


Ya, Bogosian isn't being sheltered at all with those 3rd pairing minutes and 52% OZS. Your homer is showing.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:38 a.m.
#37
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The lost so many years of a chance of being good. Quinn didn't like young players. so he buried them or traded them. Ferguson, Burke and Nonis...totally incompetent in UFA signings and draft choices
Though Lou brought good structure to the team, his drafts along with head scout Hunter were poor.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:38 a.m.
#38
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Quoting: Byrr
Ya, Bogosian isn't being sheltered at all with those 3rd pairing minutes and 52% OZS. Your homer is showing.


interesting point to make when you talked about Romanov getting that tough defensive game going with 62% offensive zone starts. The point wasnt that Bogosian was carrying the team defensivly, just that he was doing a heck of a lot more work in the D zone than Romanov is, so obiously the leafs wouldnt be using him over Bogosian for those minutes.
You're trying really really hard to make it sound like Romanov is "established" despite being sheltered and playing less games in the NHL than sandin, and even if Romanov was more established or whatever than Sandin, then what about literally every other team? if one team in the NHL has one top 10 pick player who is established in the same timeline then Dubas is clearly at very worst an average drafter.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:40 a.m.
#39
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
interesting point to make when you talked about Romanov getting that tough defensive game going with 62% offensive zone starts. The point wasnt that Bogosian was carrying the team defensivly, just that he was doing a heck of a lot more work in the D zone than Romanov is, so obiously the leafs wouldnt be using him over Bogosian for those minutes.
You're trying really really hard to make it sound like Romanov is "established" despite being sheltered and playing less games in the NHL than sandin, and even if Romanov was more established or whatever than Sandin, then what about literally every other team? if one team in the NHL has one top 10 pick player who is established in the same timeline then Dubas is clearly at very worst an average drafter.


Where'd I mention Romanov getting that 'tough defensive game going'. I stated he was tough to play against like Bogosian and brings the things Bogosian does just better. The underlying numbers say as much.

If were getting back to the point, its that Dubas doesn't have any proven draft successes. In 3 years of drafting he hasn't produced a single NHL player, rare amongst NHL teams. The only difference between Dubas and guys like Burke, Nonis, etc, is your perception of their drafting, not their actual results. You cant call one of those groups strong drafters and the others weak when theres no difference in the results.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:41 a.m.
#40
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Quoting: Leafsfaninvancity
My point is, with some exceptions, it is hard to find more than 10 players that the Leafs have drafted over say the past 25 drafts that you can call steady NHL players.


Matthews, Marner, Nylander, Rielly, Dermott, C Brown, Johnsson, Rask, Schenn, Kadri, Stajan, Wellwood and Ian White is 11 just off the top of my head. And that is covering a lot of years of terrible drafting from Burke and Nonis.

I'd bet you won't find many other teams with many more hits over the same time period. Shanahan since he arrived has put major resources into development. Which is what sets TO apart from other teams. The difference between a lot of players is non existent but with a little bit of development they can flourish. Which is why since Shanahan has come we've seen 2 7th round picks become decent NHL players. Johnsson and Engvall. I fully expect many other decent cheap depth pieces to come out of our drafting. Also trading for and developing other prospects should be considered home grown as well. Like Hyman for example, and for that matter Holl. Both were developed by TO but not drafted by us.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:42 a.m.
#41
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Quoting: Byrr
This sounds like a fun exercise. Steady NHL players drafted by the Leafs over the past 25 drafts:

Matthews
Nylander
Marner
Rielly
Brown
Kadri
Schenn
Pateryn
Gunnarsson
Tlusty
Kulemin
Riemer
Stalberg
Komarov
Rask
Stralman
Mitchell
Steen
Stajan
White
Colaiacovo
Wellwood
Boyes

Thats just going back to 2000 so there are a few more years in there but needless to say it was quite easy to find more than 10.


Now add guys who were developed by TO but not drafted like Holl and Hyman.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:44 a.m.
#42
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Now add guys who were developed by TO but not drafted like Holl and Hyman.


Holl and Hyman, 2 more pre-Dubas success stories btw.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:46 a.m.
#43
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Quoting: Byrr
Where'd I mention Romanov getting that 'tough defensive game going'. I stated he was tough to play against like Bogosian and brings the things Bogosian does just better. The underlying numbers say as much.

If were getting back to the point, its that Dubas doesn't have any proven draft successes. In 3 years of drafting he hasn't produced a single NHL player. The only difference between Dubas and guys like Burke, Nonis, etc, is your perception of their drafting, not their actual results.


except he doesnt do it better than Bogosian, he's being sheltered to hell.
And in 3 years of drafting no team has produced a single NHL player outside the top 10, which is the point every one else is making. The difference between Burke, Nonis etc is that we know they failed, while Dubas has at least 2 guys who are all but guarenteed to be NHLers in Robertson and Sandin,
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:46 a.m.
#44
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Quoting: Byrr
Holl and Hyman, 2 more pre-Dubas success stories btw.


the only reason Holl is an NHLer now is because Dubas believed in him and kept going to bad for him even when Babcock flat out refused to play him
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:48 a.m.
#45
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Quoting: Byrr
Holl and Hyman, 2 more pre-Dubas success stories btw.


Shanahan and Dubas deserve some credit for both. Dubas had him on the Marlies and Hyman wad a Marlie as well.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:50 a.m.
#46
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Quoting: Byrr
Where'd I mention Romanov getting that 'tough defensive game going'. I stated he was tough to play against like Bogosian and brings the things Bogosian does just better. The underlying numbers say as much.

If were getting back to the point, its that Dubas doesn't have any proven draft successes. In 3 years of drafting he hasn't produced a single NHL player, rare amongst NHL teams. The only difference between Dubas and guys like Burke, Nonis, etc, is your perception of their drafting, not their actual results. You cant call one of those groups strong drafters and the others weak when theres no difference in the results.


I think that's a pretty premature assessment of Dubas. He has made good picks since he's been in charge. The team is further along and those guys don't need to be rushed in which is why we haven't seen the likes of Liljegren, Sandin and everyone else drafted play much yet. Give them time, there are many good looking prospects that could provide meaningful minutes down the line.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:56 a.m.
#47
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
And in 3 years of drafting no team has produced a single NHL player outside the top 10, which is the point every one else is making.


Except this is factually untrue as we just saw.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:56 a.m.
#48
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Quoting: Byrr
Based on what results? So far none of those picks have turned into NHLers. Fans are high on the prospects but thats pretty much a given for every team regardless of who the prospects are.

Its hard to call a team who hasn't produced a single NHL player in 3 drafts good drafters.


This is such a dumb statement, the team is deep and good right now, they can afford to develop their players more. Both Sandin and Liljegren are likely going to play next season. Robertson likely this year or next. And there are several other players who look good overseas. A good team shouldn't be forced to put teenagers into NHL games unless they really blow off the doors. I think Dubas is going to have a steady stream of good players to fill holes down the lineup over the coming years.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:58 a.m.
#49
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
I think that's a pretty premature assessment of Dubas. He has made good picks since he's been in charge. The team is further along and those guys don't need to be rushed in which is why we haven't seen the likes of Liljegren, Sandin and everyone else drafted play much yet. Give them time, there are many good looking prospects that could provide meaningful minutes down the line.


They are good picks only because you perceive them that way and there hasn't been time to prove it false yet. A fanbase is always high on its prospects until its clear they won't make the NHL. LIke I said, the only difference between the 2 groups is your perception and not the actual facts.

Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
This is such a dumb statement, the team is deep and good right now, they can afford to develop their players more. Both Sandin and Liljegren are likely going to play next season. Robertson likely this year or next. And there are several other players who look good overseas. A good team shouldn't be forced to put teenagers into NHL games unless they really blow off the doors. I think Dubas is going to have a steady stream of good players to fill holes down the lineup over the coming years.


You realize that exact same thing about Sandin and Liljegren has been said for a few offseasons now? Same thing for Robertson for 2 now. Like I've been saying, its homer perception of the prospects, not the actual facts.
Feb. 20, 2021 at 10:58 a.m.
#50
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Quoting: Byrr
I'm not very confident in your research since you left out Montreal and Romanov who has established himself this year and was chosen a few picks after Sandin.


Sandin would be playing big minutes on some teams in the league though, teams with less depth. TO can afford to develop more, it doesn't mean Sandin is a bust, it means he doesn't need to be rushed. You are really not looking at this right.
 
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