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improving on a decent year

Created by: Wqrrior
Team: 2021-22 Minnesota Wild
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 4, 2021
Published: Mar. 4, 2021
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Protection List:

Parise (NMC)
Zuccarello (NMC)
Eriksson Ek
Fiala

Suter
Brodin
Spurgeon
Dumba

Kahkonen
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$913,333
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$3,150,000
2$4,500,000
2$4,400,000
1$800,000
1$800,000
1$800,000
2$850,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$4,600,000
2$1,800,000
2$975,000
1$750,000
1$1,750,000
Trades
MIN
    To Seattle -- Assets such that Greenway isn't taken
    ANA
    1. Lodnia, Ivan
    2. Soucy, Carson
    3. 2021 3rd round pick (MIN)
    Buyouts
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2021
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    2022
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the SJS
    Logo of the MIN
    2023
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the MIN
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    23$81,500,000$66,889,167$0$882,500$14,610,833
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $2,100,000$2,100,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $3,150,000$3,150,000
    C
    UFA - 8
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $4,500,000$4,500,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $4,400,000$4,400,000
    LW
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $894,167$894,167
    C
    RFA - 4
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $6,000,000$6,000,000
    RW, LW
    NMC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $750,000$750,000 (Performance Bonus$750,000$750K)
    LW
    UFA - 1
    $4,600,000$4,600,000
    C
    UFA - 6
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $3,100,000$3,100,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 3
    $975,000$975,000
    C, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $850,000$850,000
    RW, C
    UFA - 1
    $1,800,000$1,800,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $725,000$725,000
    C
    UFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $3,650,000$3,650,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $7,575,000$7,575,000
    RD
    NMC
    UFA - 6
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $725,000$725,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $6,000,000$6,000,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 7
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $6,000,000$6,000,000
    RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $3,666,667$3,666,667
    G
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $795,000$795,000 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
    RD
    RFA - 2
    $1,750,000$1,750,000
    LD
    UFA
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $750,000$750,000
    LD/RD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $800,000$800,000
    C
    UFA - 1

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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 3:42 p.m.
    #1
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    Under valuing the KK contract by almost half, but I would be ecstatic if we could get Danault on the deal. Great value, great term, and it can be traded easily with his age. I’d even offer that on a 1 or 2 year deal.

    I also think your expansion trade is reasonable, good work.
    Wqrrior liked this.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 3:44 p.m.
    #2
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Under valuing the KK contract by almost half, but I would be ecstatic if we could get Danault on the deal. Great value, great term, and it can be traded easily with his age. I’d even offer that on a 1 or 2 year deal.

    I also think your expansion trade is reasonable, good work.


    I gave him a 2 year bridge using the Kubalik contract as a comparable. If I gave him term, then definitely a short sell. He isn't getting 7m on a 2 year deal.
    jnowariak liked this.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 3:49 p.m.
    #3
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    Quoting: Wqrrior
    I gave him a 2 year bridge using the Kubalik contract as a comparable. If I gave him term, then definitely a short sell. He isn't getting 7m on a 2 year deal.


    Yeah, it’s almost guaranteed we are gonna lock him up long term. Bridge doesn’t make much sense as that deal walks him right to UFA.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 4:45 p.m.
    #4
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    I've also thought about the idea to pay Seattle to take Soucy + so they don't take Greenway/Foligno/Hartman/Sturm ... I'm not sure Lodnia/3rd will do it but I'm all for it. Maybe Soucy + Firstov or Hentges or McBain? idk just guesses.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 4:46 p.m.
    #5
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    Quoting: Wqrrior
    I gave him a 2 year bridge using the Kubalik contract as a comparable. If I gave him term, then definitely a short sell. He isn't getting 7m on a 2 year deal.


    In one of the talknorthpodcast, it was reported Wild GM is going to target signing kaprizov , & fiala long term this summer

    Wild don't want to take risk of kaprizov becoming free agent in 2 years, & leaving
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 4:48 p.m.
    #6
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    Quoting: Morzski
    I've also thought about the idea to pay Seattle to take Soucy + so they don't take Greenway/Foligno/Hartman/Sturm ... I'm not sure Lodnia/3rd will do it but I'm all for it. Maybe Soucy + Firstov or Hentges or McBain? idk just guesses.


    Does anyone think, & this may be conspiracy theory; wild GM has a backdoor handshake deal with Seattle. It was reported Ron Francis is one of Guerin mentor. Also Guerin comment after signing foligno reeks of Backdoor deal, paying Seattle to take soucy, or paying to protect dumba, & foligno
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 4:55 p.m.
    #7
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    Quoting: BrodinCheerD
    Does anyone think, & this may be conspiracy theory; wild GM has a backdoor handshake deal with Seattle. It was reported Ron Francis is one of Guerin mentor. Also Guerin comment after signing foligno reeks of Backdoor deal, paying Seattle to take soucy, or paying to protect dumba, & foligno


    No. There is no “backdoor deal” if there is a deal of any kind it’s from within the organization ala Parise or Zuccarello. BG gets to talk to his players and their agents about these things and they mean a lot more to him than the word of another GM trying to put together a winning hockey team from scratch. It will almost surely be Greenway or Soucy.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 4:56 p.m.
    #8
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    No. There is no “backdoor deal” if there is a deal of any kind it’s from within the organization ala Parise or Zuccarello. BG gets to talk to his players and their agents about these things and they mean a lot more to him than the word of another GM trying to put together a winning hockey team from scratch. It will almost surely be Greenway or Soucy.


    Would a 2nd or 3rd round pick be enough especially since calen addison needs a spot?
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:03 p.m.
    #9
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    Quoting: BrodinCheerD
    Would a 2nd or 3rd round pick be enough especially since calen addison needs a spot?


    Enough for what? Addison is exempt and I’m guessing he’s 3rd pair to start next year.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:17 p.m.
    #10
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Enough for what? Addison is exempt and I’m guessing he’s 3rd pair to start next year.


    To give away Carson soucy to Seattle
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:22 p.m.
    #11
    MNBassman
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    I would try to sign Ek to a 5-6 year deal at $4.75-5.25 million per.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:35 p.m.
    #12
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    Quoting: BrodinCheerD
    Does anyone think, & this may be conspiracy theory; wild GM has a backdoor handshake deal with Seattle. It was reported Ron Francis is one of Guerin mentor. Also Guerin comment after signing foligno reeks of Backdoor deal, paying Seattle to take soucy, or paying to protect dumba, & foligno


    I think there might have been talks between the 2 GMs to get an idea of it would take for MN to keep the guys they want, but nothing set in stone for a deal. There are just too many variables until all the teams release their actual protection lists.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:36 p.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: MNBassman
    I would try to sign Ek to a 5-6 year deal at $4.75-5.25 million per.


    Oof. That’s an over pay. Couts in PHI got 4.3 mil by 6 years and he had at least 3 consecutive 35 pt seasons in a row leading up to that. 6 year term, definitely, but I think he could be had at 4 mil or less.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:40 p.m.
    #14
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    Quoting: BrodinCheerD
    To give away Carson soucy to Seattle


    It’d probably cost about that to force another team’s hand. Whether it’s Soucy or Greenway, the Wild will have to replace a middle 6 winger or a 4/5/6 defenseman which shouldn’t be tough either way. I, personally, don’t think it’s a big deal to lose either guy.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:43 p.m.
    #15
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    Quoting: wabit
    I think there might have been talks between the 2 GMs to get an idea of it would take for MN to keep the guys they want, but nothing set in stone for a deal. There are just too many variables until all the teams release their actual protection lists.


    I’m sure they’ve talked. But until they have a deal in place with the league that could all change. The Foligno signing makes me think that Zuccarello or Parise had agreed to waive at that point. They all share an agency and that is more convincing to me than a handshake deal with another GM.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:49 p.m.
    #16
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Oof. That’s an over pay. Couts in PHI got 4.3 mil by 6 years and he had at least 3 consecutive 35 pt seasons in a row leading up to that. 6 year term, definitely, but I think he could be had at 4 mil or less.


    That contract (6% of the cap) would be just about $5m with the $81.5m cap. It was also signed before the 15-16 season. If it was signed after the 15-16 season it would have been for more money.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 5:52 p.m.
    #17
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    Quoting: wabit
    That contract (6% of the cap) would be just about $5m with the $81.5m cap. It was also signed before the 15-16 season. If it was signed after the 15-16 season it would have been for more money.


    Fair, I also don’t think JEE is as Couts like as we believe. More than 4 mil with term is a risk this team can’t take.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 6:04 p.m.
    #18
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Fair, I also don’t think JEE is as Couts like as we believe. More than 4 mil with term is a risk this team can’t take.


    We're not expecting him to be Couts; that would easily be an $8m+ contract. We're expecting him to be a fairly paid 2-way, 2C; which is a pretty standard $5m+ around the league.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 6:15 p.m.
    #19
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    I’m sure they’ve talked. But until they have a deal in place with the league that could all change. The Foligno signing makes me think that Zuccarello or Parise had agreed to waive at that point. They all share an agency and that is more convincing to me than a handshake deal with another GM.


    Foligno got too much money and a year too long for what he is as a player. He'll be 30, plays a physical bottom-6 game, and chips in 20p a year. There will be several other versions of him on other team's list available for SEA. Plus each offseason has several on the UFA market that will take $1m x 1 deals. Greenway, Hartman, and Sturm would/should all be picked over Foligno for FWDs from MN.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 7:07 p.m.
    #20
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    Quoting: wabit
    We're not expecting him to be Couts; that would easily be an $8m+ contract. We're expecting him to be a fairly paid 2-way, 2C; which is a pretty standard $5m+ around the league.


    Who’s your RFA comparable here? I don’t deny that he should be paid fairly but he’s still not a 2C, and we should see his role as a 3C of we’re contending.

    His QO is 1.5 plus arb rights, which easily pushes him over 2 mil. I think 4 mil by 6 years is good money for what he is. And my comparison to Couts was that it was his second contract as a RFA, which is more akin to his value than a UFA 2C.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 7:22 p.m.
    #21
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Who’s your RFA comparable here? I don’t deny that he should be paid fairly but he’s still not a 2C, and we should see his role as a 3C of we’re contending.

    His QO is 1.5 plus arb rights, which easily pushes him over 2 mil. I think 4 mil by 6 years is good money for what he is. And my comparison to Couts was that it was his second contract as a RFA, which is more akin to his value than a UFA 2C.


    I used Hintz as my comparable here. They play moderately different types of games but the production has been similar.
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    Mar. 4, 2021 at 7:33 p.m.
    #22
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    Quoting: Wqrrior
    I used Hintz as my comparable here. They play moderately different types of games but the production has been similar.


    That’s a good one. I’d put Ek in a slightly lower tier but that’s just me.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 7:43 p.m.
    #23
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    Quoting: jnowariak
    Who’s your RFA comparable here? I don’t deny that he should be paid fairly but he’s still not a 2C, and we should see his role as a 3C of we’re contending.

    His QO is 1.5 plus arb rights, which easily pushes him over 2 mil. I think 4 mil by 6 years is good money for what he is. And my comparison to Couts was that it was his second contract as a RFA, which is more akin to his value than a UFA 2C.


    A $4m x 2 would take him to UFA and that's less than Domi and Strome (NYR). No way he takes $4m x 6. Danault will get $6m this summer. Cirelli got a $4.8m bridge deal, with no arbitration rights. FFS Foligno just got a $3.1 x 3 deal.

    JEE has bee a .5ppg player since early last season with basically 0 PP time. He's an adv stats darling 5v5 while playing the shutdown center role. He's have a career year in a contract year.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 7:47 p.m.
    #24
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    Quoting: Wqrrior
    I used Hintz as my comparable here. They play moderately different types of games but the production has been similar.


    Hintz was coming off his ELC and signed a bridge deal after playing 2 NHL seasons. JEE is coming off his bridge deal and in his 5th NHL season.
    Mar. 4, 2021 at 8:04 p.m.
    #25
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    Quoting: wabit
    A $4m x 2 would take him to UFA and that's less than Domi and Strome (NYR). No way he takes $4m x 6. Danault will get $6m this summer. Cirelli got a $4.8m bridge deal, with no arbitration rights. FFS Foligno just got a $3.1 x 3 deal.

    JEE has bee a .5ppg player since early last season with basically 0 PP time. He's an adv stats darling 5v5 while playing the shutdown center role. He's have a career year in a contract year.


    I think we’re gonna have to agree to disagree here. I think if you asked around the league, they would tell you his best role is as a 3C and maybe a fringe 2C. He’s not Cirelli, Danault is coming off 2 50 pt seasons off the back of 2 40 pt seasons, Domi had a 70 pt season, and Strome leveraged arbitration to get his money and walk to UFA. Ek is a great player and is doing a hell of a job but he lacks the playmaking ability of any of these guys and that’s where the money comes from. His scoring this year his driven by him getting dirty goals but is real value to a team is on a checking line that drives possession.

    If he thinks he can get the deal those guys are gonna get, I say power to him for getting that bread. Signing him at 5 mil is just too much for what he is and the cap situation in MIN.
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