Quoting: HypotheticalImpossibility
If this trade is pre-expansion draft like the title suggests, then Detoit would have to protect Jones too. Two of Stetcher, Cholowski, and Lindstrom would be on the block. Hard pass.
Losing Lindstrom for Jones is incredibly worthwhile. Stetcher is a very replaceable piece. I'd go ahead and protect Cholowski+Jones.
Given that the Red Wings were a bad team again, I'll look at their relative analytics instead of their counts/rates:
Stetcher (all stats 5v5 Rel)
CF% - 3rd
FF% - 4th
SF% - 6th
GF% - 8th
xGF% - 3rd
xSC% - 2nd
HDCF% - 2nd
HDGF% - 5th
TOI - 4th
To me, I see Stetcher as a lower-end top-4 defender that isn't winning or losing the shooting battle. He's getting sunk in terms of getting scored on but shouldn't be (suspect it's a team construction issue). Likely a really, really good name to have on your bottom pair, but guys like these are quite literally a dime-per-dozen every free agency.
Lindstrom (all stats 5v5 Rel)
CF% - 10th
FF% - 9th
SF% - 10th
GF% - 5th
xGF% - 5th
xSC% - 4th
HDCF% - 8th
HDGF% - 7th
TOI - 9th
Lindstrom looks like a victim of shellshock and is preventing goals as anticipated, but it cannot be overstated how poorly the Red Wings get out-shot and out-chanced in the 9ish minutes he plays per night. Either he's not ready for the NHL or he merely isn't an NHL player: why would Seattle be interested in taking this meanial of a piece?
Cholowski (all stats 5v5 Rel)
CF% - 5th
FF% - 6th
SF% - 5th
GF% - 3rd
xGF% - 9th
xSC% - 10th
HDCF% - 10th
HDGF% - 8th
TOI - 8th
Cholowski's numbers just look raw and with a bit of PDO: he's neither winning or losing the shooting battle, overachieving in terms of GF%, but getting eaten alive in the slot. Given the low TOI, that to me just suggests he's not ready or requires a stronger partner. He has pedigree but is still looking to take that next step. Stetcher is clearly the best defender of this trio, but Cholowski's RFA status has more inherent value.
Jones (all stats 5v5 Rel)
CF% - 6th
FF% - 4th
SF% - 5th
GF% - 8rd
xGF% - 4th
xSC% - 7th
HDCF% - 5th
HDGF% - 8th
TOI - 6th
I want to preface Jones's GF% number by observing his .960 PDO: Caleb had a bad year driven by bad luck and bad coaching decisions. His expected GF% confirms this, he should have been comfortably behind Bear and Nurse in terms of the scoring battle. I fail to understand how and why Kris Russell played more than Jones. If the 4% PDO difference is re-established into his shooting percentage (+3%) and his on-ice sv% (+1%), he'd have had the same kind of on-ice effectiveness as Bear and Larsson. Gaffes aside, Bear is the kind of defenceman *every* team wants and Larsson is reliable quality. Jones was Edmonton's 4th best defender most nights, he just had bad luck.
In my eyes, Jones next year outright replaces Stetcher. He's cheap, comes with club control, and there currently isn't a left defender in the Red Wings' system that compares to Jones. We can expect Jones to take a step forward as we likewise expect from Cholowski. Edmonton's moving him here out of necessity, not desire. I'd much rather hang onto him, as I think his style encapsulates the modern top-4 defender to a tee.
Quoting: aedoran
You can have O'Riley but I don't see Detroit giving up a 3rd for Jones.
That seems incredibly misguided given that he's likely worth about a second round pick. Detroit's getting him at a discount given that Edmonton risks losing him for nothing. Analysis above.