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Hertl situation

Team: 2021-22 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Sep. 2, 2021
Published: Sep. 2, 2021
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Some talk are about possible trade for Dvorak in ARZ, but Hertl may also be a possibility since Sharks have said to wait till end of year to discuss. They also want picks so... This is that "What if.."

Byron goes on LITR for 2-3 months for cap space...
Trades
1.
MTL
  1. 2022 1st round pick (CAR)
  2. 2022 3rd round pick (CAR)
Additional Details:
KK offer
CAR
2.
SJS
  1. 2022 1st round pick (CAR)
  2. 2022 3rd round pick (CAR)
  3. 2024 2nd round pick (MTL)
Buyouts
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
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Logo of the STL
2023
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Logo of the MTL
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Logo of the MTL
2024
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Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$66,557,144$597,561$1,475,000$14,942,856
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the San Jose Sharks
$5,625,000$5,625,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,125,000$2,125,000
RW, LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$537,500$538K)
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$300,000$300K)
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$750,000$750,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,150,000$1,150,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 4
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$875,000$875,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,343,750$2,343,750
RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$10,500,000$10,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,750,000$1,750,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,875,000$2,875,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$637,500$638K)
LD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$750,000$750,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,857,143$7,857,143
RD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000
LW, RW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$894,167$894,167
LD/RD
RFA - 4

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Sep. 2, 2021 at 8:14 p.m.
#1
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Makes a lot of sense, though i honestly don’t think the second needs to be in there. Maybe a kicker like a 5th instead.
Sep. 2, 2021 at 8:42 p.m.
#2
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Hertl won’t be moved until a solution is found with Kane. Sharks org wants to make the playoffs so they will likely keep Hertl until they are out of contention.
Sep. 2, 2021 at 11:30 p.m.
#3
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
Makes a lot of sense, though i honestly don’t think the second needs to be in there. .


Yeah take the second out and add another first I agree
Klara liked this.
Sep. 2, 2021 at 11:38 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: papishark
Yeah take the second out and add another first I agree


He’s hertl, not eichel.
Sep. 2, 2021 at 11:41 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
He’s hertl, not eichel.


Since when is Eichel worth less than Seth Jones lol. You realize you commenting wont will Hertls price down right? We dont control that
Sep. 2, 2021 at 11:49 p.m.
#6
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The Habs dont have the money for Hertl's extension salary in 2022 unless he's simply a rental. Suzuki and Romanov's raises are the priority.

As a rental, a 2nd rounder and a decent prospect like Ylonen would be enough.

Habs decline
Sep. 2, 2021 at 11:56 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: papishark
Since when is Eichel worth less than Seth Jones lol. You realize you commenting wont will Hertls price down right? We dont control that


I’ll just wait and laugh when he’s moved for a first and a third.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 12:00 a.m.
#8
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Quoting: OlegP
The Habs dont have the money for Hertl's extension salary in 2022 unless he's simply a rental. Suzuki and Romanov's raises are the priority.

As a rental, a 2nd rounder and a decent prospect like Ylonen would be enough.

Habs decline

Hertl is worth more than that! if thats the best offer sherks just hold on to him.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 12:01 a.m.
#9
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
He’s hertl, not eichel.


Eichel asking is 4 firsts and he's on IR to start the season and probably most the season.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 12:14 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
I’ll just wait and laugh when he’s moved for a first and a third.


if that's the best offer then sharks wont trade him and attempt to resign him.
a top center is minimum 2 firsts or a first and top prospect.
Eichel asking is 4 1sts and he is hurt
Dvorak asking is 2 firsts and he is not in the same level as Hertl
Sep. 3, 2021 at 8:07 a.m.
#11
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
if that's the best offer then sharks wont trade him and attempt to resign him.
a top center is minimum 2 firsts or a first and top prospect.
Eichel asking is 4 1sts and he is hurt
Dvorak asking is 2 firsts and he is not in the same level as Hertl


He’s not a top center. Never has been. Dvorak asking is not two firsts, and honestly, the number of players in this league that get two firsts as a rental is really small. Eichel has four years left pal.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 1:35 p.m.
#12
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
He’s not a top center. Never has been. Dvorak asking is not two firsts, and honestly, the number of players in this league that get two firsts as a rental is really small. Eichel has four years left pal.


Again any large deal for Hertl will undoubtably hinge on the buyers being able to resign him. no rental is worth the haul and i wouldn’t argue that with you.

but a #1 center does require a large return.
Dvorak the demand is 2 1sts or a first and a first level prospect.

and hockey scouts and GM around the league feel he is a 1C so and i value their take over yours sorry.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 1:36 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
Again any large deal for Hertl will undoubtably hinge on the buyers being able to resign him. no rental is worth the haul and i wouldn’t argue that with you.

but a #1 center does require a large return.
Dvorak the demand is 2 1sts or a first and a first level prospect.


….but he isn’t a number one center.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 1:55 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
….but he isn’t a number one center.


What makes you so knowledgeable that I should ignore hockey experts and scouts???

I can say the same thing about a few dozen top line players in the Leauge but the end of the day my feelings and opinions Cary no clout compared to NHL scouts, coaches, GM’s.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 2:25 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
What makes you so knowledgeable that I should ignore hockey experts and scouts???

I can say the same thing about a few dozen top line players in the Leauge but the end of the day my feelings and opinions Cary no clout compared to NHL scouts, coaches, GM’s.


What hockey experts and scouts? Name them. I don’t think any expert thinks he’s a legit number one.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 5:15 p.m.
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
What hockey experts and scouts? Name them. I don’t think any expert thinks he’s a legit number one.


you don't think??? so trash a guy without doing any research first?
first the baseline expectations of a top line center are drawn out in this article
https://www.habseyesontheprize.com/analysis/2015/5/31/8693313/first-line-nhl-production-analysis

Hertl has a career Corsi score of 56.3, Carrer Fenwic of 56.3
Career average of .64 points per game.
the last 4 years he has averaged .77 points per game. the last 3 years .87 points per game.
his primary line mates (Labanc and Meier) have produced at drastically different numbers with him than without.
He pushes the play, he scores at a near elite level (1.0 points per game is wildly considered elite)
he is solid defensively, and he is 27 turning 28
all of these stats compare to what an NHL expects of a top line center.
personally I think his ideal placement is on a 2nd line on a really deep team but he is more than capable of carrying a top line.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 7:26 p.m.
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
you don't think??? so trash a guy without doing any research first?
first the baseline expectations of a top line center are drawn out in this article
https://www.habseyesontheprize.com/analysis/2015/5/31/8693313/first-line-nhl-production-analysis

Hertl has a career Corsi score of 56.3, Carrer Fenwic of 56.3
Career average of .64 points per game.
the last 4 years he has averaged .77 points per game. the last 3 years .87 points per game.
his primary line mates (Labanc and Meier) have produced at drastically different numbers with him than without.
He pushes the play, he scores at a near elite level (1.0 points per game is wildly considered elite)
he is solid defensively, and he is 27 turning 28
all of these stats compare to what an NHL expects of a top line center.
personally I think his ideal placement is on a 2nd line on a really deep team but he is more than capable of carrying a top line.


Did you just list a website called habseyeontheprize as an expert? Bahahahaha. Dude. Cmon. Where have i trashed hertl? I think he’s awesome. Plenty of room in the NHL for good second line centers. My team needs one! But this nonsense of multiple first round picks, or a first and the teams top prospect…its insanity.
Sep. 3, 2021 at 7:32 p.m.
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
Did you just list a website called habseyeontheprize as an expert? Bahahahaha. Dude. Cmon. Where have i trashed hertl? I think he’s awesome. Plenty of room in the NHL for good second line centers. My team needs one! But this nonsense of multiple first round picks, or a first and the teams top prospect…its insanity.


The website just breaks down what teams consider 1st line - 4th line players and what you want out of them.
That website had nothing to do with Hertl it was a reference to what people in the NHL view a first line center should be as a min

You post nothing to back up your argument and you mock me!!! This isn’t Facebook share and work with people or move on!
Sep. 3, 2021 at 7:36 p.m.
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Quoting: Rob32sjsharks
The website just breaks down what teams consider 1st line - 4th line players and what you want out of them.
That website had nothing to do with Hertl it was a reference to what people in the NHL view a first line center should be as a min

You post nothing to back up your argument and you mock me!!! This isn’t Facebook share and work with people or move on!


Where did i mock you? Where did i say hertl was bad? Why are you so defensive?
Sep. 4, 2021 at 2:52 p.m.
#20
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Yall gotta Chill
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Anyone saying he isn't a first line center should actually watch a Sharks game once. The guy has been producing very good numbers with average linesmates. Labanc and Meier have numbers because of his plays. So compared to Danault or KK I would go with Hertl for sure.

You give up 2 to 3 draft picks (thanks to the Canes we only give up a 2nd pick really).. And Suzuki has a mentor for a few years. Hertl and Suzuki can switch lines in a year or so, even now we'd potentially have two solid first lines which is what we've been waiting for.

With Hoffman and Anderson he would have the size, speed, hands and sniper to calibrate his plays. His points would go back up and not the other way around.

Next year, you'll need to resign the players, but you can let go of some others in basic trades and bring up depth players at less than a million cap hit to play or your 3rd and 4th lines.
Sep. 4, 2021 at 8:13 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
What hockey experts and scouts? Name them. I don’t think any expert thinks he’s a legit number one.


Well, literally today, Ryan Lambert (EP Rinkside) wrote this about Hertl:
"Injury history aside, Hertl is a plus-plus offensive player at 5-on-5 and strong defensively as well, so his value is clear. What's more, a huge 28-year-old who plays in the middle of the ice but also the wing and is a clear top-line talent is the kind of player a few teams need right now. Let's put it this way: If multiple teams are circling Christian Dvorak — who's perfectly good but more of a clear No. 2 centre — like hyenas, Hertl being placed on the market for less than $1.2 million more would obliterate the market. Frankly, Hertl could be more attractive in some ways because of the price point (in terms of assets and cap space required to obtain him) than Jack Eichel."
Article

On the analytics side:
JFresh/Patrick Bacon:




Evolving WIld:




Dom Luszczyszyn (The Athletic):
Its behind a paywall, but he says he is worth 9.8M Article
 
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