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Heres why they need to have that talk with Toews and Kane

Created by: sound_arguments
Team: 2022-23 Chicago Blackhawks
Initial Creation Date: Nov. 17, 2021
Published: Nov. 17, 2021
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
I still hear Blackhawks fans pushing for one more run with the remaining pieces of the core. But I think it's time for the franchise to lay Chelsea Dagger to rest (and bury 2010, especially, in the memory hole).

Here's what the basic roster and cap space look like for next year . . .

It's very difficult to imagine where substantial improvement could come from. I mean, they could buyout Johnson but then center is looking pretty thin, too. Trade Kubalik or one of the defense and you make more holes.

If Kane and Toews understand the team is going back to rebuilding, and that it won't make sense to center that rebuild on two 34-year olds earning 25% of the team's cap space, they may be willing to move their NMCs this summer. And before you say Toews is washed up and won't get a return, consider he's got the best CORSI on the team right now and it's actually better than his career percentage.

Note that I went with very low, conservative numbers in resigning the RFAs. Lankinen and Dach, in particular, may get much more if they have good years.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$3,000,000
2$1,000,000
2$1,200,000
2$1,400,000
3$4,500,000
3$1,200,000
3$3,500,000
3$1,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$2,750,000
1$1,000,000
Trades
CHI
  1. 2022 2nd round pick (TOR)
TOR
  1. Strome, Dylan
Additional Details:
Leafs fans keep putting him in their trade proposals. Let's say he gets dealt at the deadline and CHI Keeps half his salary.
Recapture Fees
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CBJ
Logo of the CHI
2023
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the TBL
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
2024
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CHI
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$72,850,962$237,500$1,275,000$8,649,038
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$6,400,000$6,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$3,000,000$3,000,000
C, RW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$2,625,000$2,625,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$10,500,000$10,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
LW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,500,000$1,500,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$5,000,000$5,000,000
RW, C, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,200,000$1,200,000
LW, C, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$975,000$975,000
LW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$750,000$750,000
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$800,000$800,000
LW, C
RFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$9,500,000$9,500,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$2,750,000$2,750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,350,000$1,350,000
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,200,000$1,200,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$1,400,000$1,400,000
LD
UFA - 1

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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:20 p.m.
#1
Jeuck75
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100% agree
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:25 p.m.
#2
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I would gladly upgrade Monahan to Toews for Calgary, he would fit really well under Sutter and have excellent synergy with Mangiapane (similar to his with Hossa). Can we will this into existence?
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:31 p.m.
#3
exo2769
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
I would gladly upgrade Monahan to Toews for Calgary, he would fit really well under Sutter and have excellent synergy with Mangiapane (similar to his with Hossa). Can we will this into existence?


For the right price! Hehe
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:41 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: exo2769
For the right price! Hehe


Your right price and the right price are a bit different though
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:43 p.m.
#5
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i know this isn't the point of the post but is that strome trade realistic? cause i think the leafs (and us as fans) would be all over strome, 50% retained, for a 2nd.

also i do agree with the actual concept of the post.
Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:43 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: exo2769
For the right price! Hehe


monahan and a 1st, maybe?
Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:51 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: leafs_and_devils
monahan and a 1st, maybe?


yeah, if I'm Chicago, I'm focusing on firsts all the way.
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 8:56 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: leafs_and_devils
i know this isn't the point of the post but is that strome trade realistic? cause i think the leafs (and us as fans) would be all over strome, 50% retained, for a 2nd.

also i do agree with the actual concept of the post.


it's so hard to say . . . . I see trade proposals that lean better and worse than that for Strome and somebody comes and cr*ps all over them no matter what. This seemed approximately in between other offers to me. But King is playing him regularly and on the power play now, so it's not a stretch if he goes on some 30 pts in 35 games tear and nets them a late first.
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Nov. 17, 2021 at 9:06 p.m.
#9
GO FLAMES GO
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I'd do Monahan Lucic 1st and a prospect for Towes 50% retained. I saw someone mention this the other day
Nov. 17, 2021 at 10:07 p.m.
#10
exo2769
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Quoting: leafs_and_devils
monahan and a 1st, maybe?


Why would Toews accept a trade where SM goes to CHI? He wants to win!
Nov. 17, 2021 at 11:01 p.m.
#11
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I agree and disagree at the same time.

I think it depends on how the rest of the season goes. I think there is potential to tank, sell off Murphy, Kubalik, and whoever else you can for some picks and prospects. Let Debrincat Dach and jones lead the way to the new age. Until Commesso comes into his own and we have a stellar young goalie again, we really arent going anywhere and we can tank for a few years to build up some nice core pieces. But, I will also play devils advocate here. There really is potential to transition this group into a winner. It will take some luck, for sure. Lets say we win the lottery this year and get Wright or Savoie. Theres instantly a piece that can step into the lineup in the next year or two and make an impact on a low cost contract. There are also some impact defensemen to add in this years FA (think Hampus Lindholm) to bolster our dcorps assuming De haan leaves. Lets say everything goes right and lankinen has a good year and fleury likes his time in chicago and doesnt want to leave. So then, you have a potential frame of
Debrincat-Dach-Kane
Kubalik-Toews-Reichel
Hagel-Strome-Wright
Kurashev-Entwistle-Hardman
Lindholm-Jones
McCabe-Murphy
C Jones-Kalynuk
Lank/Fleury

That really doesnt look that bad, does it? At full strenght, assuming the youngsters keep improving, this really does look like a decent roster. Now, you cant rely on pure luck, so thats where selling for multiple picks and prospects comes in, but a GM coming in has a tough decision to make. Do you want to be known for trading away Kane and Toews? Personally, I think we can do a reset without trading Toews/Kane, assuming they even would waive. Kubalik and Murphy can definitely fetch some decent returns, our goaltending has been bad enough this year to hold us down without a couple key members, and you worry about more decisions after you figure out whether you have a draft pick in 2022 or not. I think a LOT of weight is held on whether we get a top 2 pick or not
Nov. 18, 2021 at 11:35 a.m.
#12
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Well, if all they have to do is win the draft lottery, then sure -- let's wait for that and see what happens. I don't think they'll have a new hockey OPS and GM in there making these decisions until that point anyway.

But that team is still not good enough to be more than a playoff bubble team. And if that's your starting point for 2023, with Kane and Toews now 34 or 35 . . . it's not going to be anything more than playoff bubble squad unless they get really lucky and multiple players--Dach, Reichel, one or two defensemen--hit their ceiling.

Bowman's gone; they've got hockey and non-hockey reasons now to end this era and stop half-a**ing it.
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Nov. 18, 2021 at 6:55 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: SlickWilly
I agree and disagree at the same time.

. So then, you have a potential frame of

Debrincat-Dach-Kane
Kubalik-Toews-Reichel
Hagel-Strome-Wright
Kurashev-Entwistle-Hardman
Lindholm-Jones
McCabe-Murphy
C Jones-Kalynuk
Lank/Fleury

Here's the thing: this would exceed the cap. If they buyout Johnson, that would leave about $7 M to sign Fleury, Lindholm, and Strome (whose arbitration rights give him $3.5M minimum).

And that's assuming lowball figures for Lankanen and Dach and Kubalik.

Because this kind of fix is not possible, I think they need to be more decisive in picking a lane.
Nov. 18, 2021 at 7:46 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: sound_arguments
Well, if all they have to do is win the draft lottery, then sure -- let's wait for that and see what happens. I don't think they'll have a new hockey OPS and GM in there making these decisions until that point anyway.

But that team is still not good enough to be more than a playoff bubble team. And if that's your starting point for 2023, with Kane and Toews now 34 or 35 . . . it's not going to be anything more than playoff bubble squad unless they get really lucky and multiple players--Dach, Reichel, one or two defensemen--hit their ceiling.

Bowman's gone; they've got hockey and non-hockey reasons now to end this era and stop half-a**ing it.


Right. Generally I agree. I dont think this team as constructed is ever going to be more than a bubble team and that itself is a reason to rebuild off of some pieces we could get some genuinely valuable returns for. But I'm thinking from the perspective of an incoming GM. Would they want to be known as the GM that traded away franchise legends and attempt a rebuild, only to be fired by an owner when you dont win for 3 years? Because it seems like thats always what happens because owners are impatient. Tallon never got to see the light after drafting kane and toews. Gorton isnt going to reap the rewards for getting a core of Panarin, Laf, Kakko, Fox, and Shesterkin, for whatever reason. So a GM in this current climate might choose to go down the path of a faster retool rather than a rebuild, even if it isnt best in the long run
 
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