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Preparing for a Playoff Run Next Year

Team: 2022-23 Ottawa Senators
Initial Creation Date: Feb. 10, 2022
Published: Feb. 15, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
With Sanderson arriving, Brannstrom is more valuable to some other teams than to Ottawa. (So is Colin White). Trade Brannstrom and White to Arizona for Power Forward Lawson Crouse. Sign Crouse for 3-4 years. (Assumption is that Shane Pinto will play RW with Stutzle and Formenton or Crouse)
Acquire Shutdown RD David Savard (3 years left @ 3.5) + 70% of Paul Byron's contract for Nikita Zaitsev ( Ottawa retains 500K, so 2 years left @ 4.0) + promising RD Max Guenette + 2022 Ott 3rd Rd pick.
Result would be a 22-23 Sens roster averaging about 6'2"/200 lbs, with cap space left to extend Zub, Stutzle, C Brown, Pinto etc in summer of 2023.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$925,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
7$7,500,000
2$1,300,000
3$2,500,000
2$1,750,000
4$2,750,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$2,500,000
1$900,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Crouse, Lawson
4$3,200,000
Trades
1.
2.
OTT
  1. Byron, Paul ($1,133,333 retained)
  2. Savard, David
MTL
  1. Guénette, Maxence
  2. Zaitsev, Nikita ($500,000 retained)
  3. 2022 3rd round pick (OTT)
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the TBL
Logo of the BOS
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the NYI
2023
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the NSH
2024
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$67,688,214$0$3,965,000$13,811,786
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,205,714$8,205,714
LW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$7,500,000$7,500,000
C
UFA - 8
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,975,000$4,975,000
RW, LW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$2,500,000$2,500,000
LW
RFA
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$600,000$600K)
C
RFA - 1
Crouse, Lawson
$3,200,000$3,200,000
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$2,500,000$2,500,000
C, LW
UFA - 7
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$3,600,000$3,600,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$821,667$821,667
C, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$818,333$818,333 (Performance Bonus$15,000$15K)
LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,266,667$2,266,667
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,000,000$8,000,000
LD
UFA - 6
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$2,500,000$2,500,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,687,500$4,687,500
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$787,500$787,500
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$1,300,000$1,300,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$900,000$900,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$1,300,000$1,300,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 5

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Feb. 15, 2022 at 2:44 p.m.
#1
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lol Montréal doesn’t even pick up…
Feb. 15, 2022 at 2:58 p.m.
#2
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Sens need to add a winger, but they need to aim a hell of a lot higher than Lawson Crouse. They need a guy who can play on the RW with Stützle, or with Norris so they can put Batherson with Stützle.

Pinto has the talent, but playing on the wing he's not living up to his full potential imo. He's a C and he's gonna be a good one. Much rather him as 3C with Paul and Brown
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Feb. 15, 2022 at 2:59 p.m.
#3
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I like where you are going here but like Marchy said that Montreal offer needs some serious sweetening. I really like the Crouse addition.
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Feb. 15, 2022 at 2:59 p.m.
#4
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Habs block your number
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Feb. 15, 2022 at 3:00 p.m.
#5
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They need a decent goalie to make the playoffs.
Feb. 15, 2022 at 3:02 p.m.
#6
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Just out of curiosity, who does Ottawa pass to become a playoff team next year? Looking at the standings, there is a lot of teams between the Sens and one of the wild card spots.
Feb. 15, 2022 at 4:11 p.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Just out of curiosity, who does Ottawa pass to become a playoff team next year? Looking at the standings, there is a lot of teams between the Sens and one of the wild card spots.


Which teams are vulnerable next year? In my opinion... (1) Washington: Ovy, Oshie and Backstrom are getting on and the entire D corps is >30; and (2) Boston: huge hole if Patrice Bergeron retires.
Feb. 15, 2022 at 4:12 p.m.
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Quoting: Sr_Advisor_Hockey_Ops
Which teams are vulnerable next year? In my opinion... (1) Washington: Ovy, Oshie and Backstrom are getting on and the entire D corps is >30; and (2) Boston: huge hole if Patrice Bergeron retires.


Sure but there are several teams between the Sens and those teams
Feb. 15, 2022 at 4:19 p.m.
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.
Quoting: Fergy22
I like where you are going here but like Marchy said that Montreal offer needs some serious sweetening. I really like the Crouse addition.
OK how about this revised proposal? Ottawa trades 30-year old Nikita Zaitsev (retain $1m. so 2 years left at $3.5m) + Ottawa 2022 2nd Rd pick + Max Guenette for 31-year old David Savard (3 years @ $3.5m). Montreal keeps Byron.
Feb. 15, 2022 at 4:35 p.m.
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Quoting: Sr_Advisor_Hockey_Ops
. OK how about this revised proposal? Ottawa trades 30-year old Nikita Zaitsev (retain $1m. so 2 years left at $3.5m) + Ottawa 2022 2nd Rd pick + Max Guenette for 31-year old David Savard (3 years $3.5m). Montreal keeps Byron.


Quoting: Sr_Advisor_Hockey_Ops
. OK how about this revised proposal? Ottawa trades 30-year old Nikita Zaitsev (retain $1m. so 2 years left at $3.5m) + Ottawa 2022 2nd Rd pick + Max Guenette for 31-year old David Savard (3 years $3.5m). Montreal keeps Byron.


you could say Ottawa retains 50% on Zaitsev but I still don't think Montreal would be interested , Zaitsev not the type of player I would want to bring in if I was doing a rebuild. I have heard thru the media that Guenette is doing well in Belleville but a 7th round pick having a good year in the AHL is not exciting me , then again he may turn out to be decent. Since Montreal is rebuidling I think you would have to offer a young player with promise. Nothing wrong with Savard staying in Montreal , they are going to need some vets.
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Feb. 16, 2022 at 3:23 a.m.
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Sanderson will be OTT 1LD. He's really solid. The US Olympic team went down hard with injuries this year, his being a huge one. Very noticeable decline in team play without him on the ice.

Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Just out of curiosity, who does Ottawa pass to become a playoff team next year? Looking at the standings, there is a lot of teams between the Sens and one of the wild card spots.


BOS they are done.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 9:09 a.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
Sanderson will be OTT 1LD. He's really solid. The US Olympic team went down hard with injuries this year, his being a huge one. Very noticeable decline in team play without him on the ice.



BOS they are done.


Detroit looks further ahead that Ottawa.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 9:44 a.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Detroit looks further ahead that Ottawa.


why because they have a few more points this year.
OTT has a lot more talent yet to hit the ice, and it's much higher end talent than what will hit the ice for DET.
OTT is much further along in their rebuild than DET.
Hell DET can't even keep talent. Looks like Bertuzzi is half foot out the door from everything I've seen.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 10:08 a.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
why because they have a few more points this year.
OTT has a lot more talent yet to hit the ice, and it's much higher end talent than what will hit the ice for DET.
OTT is much further along in their rebuild than DET.
Hell DET can't even keep talent. Looks like Bertuzzi is half foot out the door from everything I've seen.


There is also the New Jersey, Columbus, The Islanders, Buffalo and Philadelphia between them and Boston who have 20 more points in 1 more game. This is a major gulf with lots of teams inbetween them. Hell even Montreal with Price would be significantly better than what they are this year. Ottawa has some talent no doubt but they sure seem pretty far away from the top teams in the east and I just don't see how they jump up that much in one year. I think at best them looking more competitive on a regular basis will be their next step. They are not close yet.b
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:13 a.m.
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Edited Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:21 a.m.
- I kinda think that Crouse is somewhat similar to Sanford, probably still a bit overrated from his draft position. Not really the way I'd sacrifice Brannstrom and trade Chabot's best friend

- Also, a BIG RESOUNDING NO to the Habs deal

First, not really sure what's the point of retaining on both sides. Doubt it ever happened or why it would ever happen, not realistic.

Ideally, I wouldn't touch any of Zaitsev or Savard with a ten foot pole but would rather be stuck with Zaitsev for 2 more years than Savard for 3 years. I used to really like Savard, he was really underrated in his prime and pretty "unknown" in general in the Quebec province because he was playing for Columbus.

The only positive assets in this deal are the 3rd round pick and Maxence Guenette, a legit prospect doing really well in his AHL 20 y/o rookie season. Sens don't need/want Byron, no chance they give up Max and a 3rd to get him, even with retention

No chance Ottawa does that deal

Quoting: DucharmetheDOMinator
Habs block your number


As usual, completely out of touch with reality

So what happened with your Toffoli expectations?

Quoting: Marchy6363
lol Montréal doesn’t even pick up…


Well another one it seems

Quoting: Fergy22
like Marchy said that Montreal offer needs some serious sweetening.


ok now it's 3, I'd like to see someone trying to justify this.

Both Savard and Zaitsev have horrible advanced stats (and simultaneously look very bad on the eye test)

https://www.naturalstattrick.com/playerteams.php?fromseason=20212022&thruseason=20212022&stype=2&sit=ev&score=all&stdoi=oi&rate=y&team=ALL&pos=D&loc=B&toi=200&gpfilt=none&fd=&td=&tgp=410&lines=single&draftteam=ALL

Byron has never been picked up for free.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:20 a.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
There is also the New Jersey, Columbus, The Islanders, Buffalo and Philadelphia between them and Boston who have 20 more points in 1 more game. This is a major gulf with lots of teams inbetween them. Hell even Montreal with Price would be significantly better than what they are this year. Ottawa has some talent no doubt but they sure seem pretty far away from the top teams in the east and I just don't see how they jump up that much in one year. I think at best them looking more competitive on a regular basis will be their next step. They are not close yet.b


every team you listed there is either rebuilding or in decline. With the exception of maybe the Islanders.
You add to the fact that WSH is in full decline and that's two teams they can pass up. Frankly, PIT won't be far behind the WSH decline as they keep getting older and older.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:36 a.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
every team you listed there is either rebuilding or in decline. With the exception of maybe the Islanders.
You add to the fact that WSH is in full decline and that's two teams they can pass up. Frankly, PIT won't be far behind the WSH decline as they keep getting older and older.


Washington and Boston are still in or very close to the top 10 teams in hockey and Ottawa is bottom 5. I think it's pretty far fetched to think a bottom 5 team makes the playoffs the next season when they are in by far the stronger conference.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:41 a.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Washington and Boston are still in or very close to the top 10 teams in hockey and Ottawa is bottom 5. I think it's pretty far fetched to think a bottom 5 team makes the playoffs the next season when they are in by far the stronger conference.


A. they aren't in the strongest conference.
B. WSH and BOS are very sketch top 10 teams if you even want to call them that. Hell they aren't even in the top 6 of their conference.
They are both going backwards, they are both old as dirt, and they both have massive holes throughout their roster.
Jesus, you take teams who are only playoff teams because the rest of their divisions are bad, and you try to call them top 10 teams.
OTT isn't a good team this year, that does not mean they won't be a good team next year. FFS, they are loaded with high end prospect talent that should be making Jumps into the NHL next year.
Hell just the improvement to their blue line next year should boost the team significantly.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:46 a.m.
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Edited Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:51 a.m.
Since December 2nd, Ottawa is 16th OA in P%. It's not great yet but that's pretty close to playoffs worthy. Actually, only 7 Eastern teams have had a better P% since.

They need to find a way to not sabotage themselves early

That being said, no idea if they can make the playoffs next season, need to see what their owner/management does first

Quoting: Commonsense27
They need a decent goalie to make the playoffs.


Since March 15th :

Matt Murray : 0.926 SV%
Anders Forsberg : 0.913 SV%
Filip Gustavsson : 0.908 SV%

Note that Ottawa was horrible defensively early this season (before December 2nd so about the first 20 games). Covid didn't help as they were the first team to be hit hard with the Isles.

Quoting: Sr_Advisor_Hockey_Ops
. OK how about this revised proposal? Ottawa trades 30-year old Nikita Zaitsev (retain $1m. so 2 years left at $3.5m) + Ottawa 2022 2nd Rd pick + Max Guenette for 31-year old David Savard (3 years $3.5m). Montreal keeps Byron.


Why would the Sens give up POSITIVE assets (Guenette + 2nd) for a D-man that is as bad as Zaitsev but signed 1 more year?


Quoting: pharrow
why because they have a few more points this year.
OTT has a lot more talent yet to hit the ice, and it's much higher end talent than what will hit the ice for DET.
OTT is much further along in their rebuild than DET.
Hell DET can't even keep talent. Looks like Bertuzzi is half foot out the door from everything I've seen.


People have no idea about Ottawa since covid and injuries has prevented a lot of young guys to "get more reps" but Norris and Batherson have had time to show what they can do. Tkachuk and Chabot are well known already. Formenton is currently showing himself. Stutzle is just starting. Sanderson, Greig and Pinto are coming

Ottawa had the best U-25 talent group in the NHL at the start of the season and it will show in the near future. They also have the worst management and ownership though so I'm never 100% confident that they're not going to screw things up (like Dorion basically did the last 2 off-seasons)
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Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:49 a.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
A. they aren't in the strongest conference.
B. WSH and BOS are very sketch top 10 teams if you even want to call them that. Hell they aren't even in the top 6 of their conference.
They are both going backwards, they are both old as dirt, and they both have massive holes throughout their roster.
Jesus, you take teams who are only playoff teams because the rest of their divisions are bad, and you try to call them top 10 teams.
OTT isn't a good team this year, that does not mean they won't be a good team next year. FFS, they are loaded with high end prospect talent that should be making Jumps into the NHL next year.
Hell just the improvement to their blue line next year should boost the team significantly.


Okay I know this isn't your strong area so I'll walk you through it.

As we currently sit, 8 of the top 12 teams in Points percentage (this is the most accurate way to gauge success at this point since it does take into account the different number of games teams have played) are all in the eastern conference. The 4 teams in the west in the top 12 are Colorado, Minnesota, St Louis and Calgary. Their records are boosted because they in fact do play in the weaker conference since the Pacific is almost entirely in the bottom half of the league and after Nashville there isn't a team in the Central thats at all good.

Meanwhile Ottawa is 27th in points percentage. That is an awfully big gulf to span there.

Numbers are really not that hard to understand if someone wants to.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:53 a.m.
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Quoting: Xspyrit
- I kinda think that Crouse is somewhat similar to Sanford, probably still a bit overrated from his draft position. Not really the way I'd sacrifice Brannstrom and trade Chabot's best friend
Bruh why would Montreal do that… Savard is not a problem and Byron isn’t too Zaitsev is horrible and guenette is nothing special… Worthless trade for Montréal
- Also, a BIG RESOUNDING NO to the Habs deal

First, not really sure what's the point of retaining on both sides. Doubt it ever happened or why it would ever happen, not realistic.

Ideally, I wouldn't touch any of Zaitsev or Savard with a ten foot pole but would rather be stuck with Zaitsev for 2 more years than Savard for 3 years. I used to really like Savard, he was really underrated in his prime and pretty "unknown" in general in the Quebec province because he was playing for Columbus.

The only positive assets in this deal are the 3rd round pick and Maxence Guenette, a legit prospect doing really well in his AHL 20 y/o rookie season. Sens don't need/want Byron, no chance they give up Max and a 3rd to get him, even with retention

No chance Ottawa does that deal



As usual, completely out of touch with reality

So what happened with your Toffoli expectations?



Well another one it seems



ok now it's 3, I'd like to see someone trying to justify this.

Both Savard and Zaitsev have horrible advanced stats (and simultaneously look very bad on the eye test)

https://www.naturalstattrick.com/playerteams.php?fromseason=20212022&thruseason=20212022&stype=2&sit=ev&score=all&stdoi=oi&rate=y&team=ALL&pos=D&loc=B&toi=200&gpfilt=none&fd=&td=&tgp=410&lines=single&draftteam=ALL

Byron has never been picked up for free.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 4:37 p.m.
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Edited Feb. 16, 2022 at 4:43 p.m.
Quoting: Marchy6363
Bruh why would Montreal do that… Savard is not a problem and Byron isn’t too Zaitsev is horrible and guenette is nothing special… Worthless trade for Montréal


Okay "bruh" , had to fix your quote


There's a vast difference between what you just said and these 3 statements :

"Habs block your number"
"lol Montréal doesn’t even pick up…"
"like Marchy said that Montreal offer needs some serious sweetening."


Like IF Montreal was giving ANYTHING OF VALUE lol. Byron has no value, as proven multiple times last season. Savard has regressed a ton and no one wants to commit 3 more years to him, like they wouldn't want to commit to Zaitsev for 2 more years.

Ottawa is not trading for a D-man who is as bad as Zaitsev but has ONE more year. Anyway, the coach actually likes Zaitsev for some reason

Plus, they're not going to give up a 3rd and a legit prospect for a guy they could have picked up on waivers several times already

Guenette is an excellent skater with a nice skillset by the way. Progressed really well in the Q over the years. 0.46 PPG in his 20 y/o AHL rookie season.

Only Xavier Ouellet has a better PPG on the Rocket among D-men. Belpedio also 0.46 PPG
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:22 p.m.
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Quoting: PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood
Okay I know this isn't your strong area so I'll walk you through it.

As we currently sit, 8 of the top 12 teams in Points percentage (this is the most accurate way to gauge success at this point since it does take into account the different number of games teams have played) are all in the eastern conference. The 4 teams in the west in the top 12 are Colorado, Minnesota, St Louis and Calgary. Their records are boosted because they in fact do play in the weaker conference since the Pacific is almost entirely in the bottom half of the league and after Nashville there isn't a team in the Central thats at all good.

Meanwhile Ottawa is 27th in points percentage. That is an awfully big gulf to span there.

Numbers are really not that hard to understand if someone wants to.


oh the passive aggressive bs out of you. That might be the only thing you're good at.
The Central is the strongest division in hockey right now.
I don't care about your "points" argument. That's something a 5 year old uses.
The two bottom teams from the Eastern conference playoff bracket aren't top 10 teams in the league.
Since you clearly aren't capable of reading. Just because OTT isn't a good team this year doesn't mean they aren't stacked with high end prospects about to come in.
Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:37 p.m.
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Quoting: Xspyrit
Since December 2nd, Ottawa is 16th OA in P%. It's not great yet but that's pretty close to playoffs worthy. Actually, only 7 Eastern teams have had a better P% since.

They need to find a way to not sabotage themselves early

That being said, no idea if they can make the playoffs next season, need to see what their owner/management does first



Since March 15th :

Matt Murray : 0.926 SV%
Anders Forsberg : 0.913 SV%
Filip Gustavsson : 0.908 SV%

Note that Ottawa was horrible defensively early this season (before December 2nd so about the first 20 games). Covid didn't help as they were the first team to be hit hard with the Isles.



Why would the Sens give up POSITIVE assets (Guenette + 2nd) for a D-man that is as bad as Zaitsev but signed 1 more year?




People have no idea about Ottawa since covid and injuries has prevented a lot of young guys to "get more reps" but Norris and Batherson have had time to show what they can do. Tkachuk and Chabot are well known already. Formenton is currently showing himself. Stutzle is just starting. Sanderson, Greig and Pinto are coming

Ottawa had the best U-25 talent group in the NHL at the start of the season and it will show in the near future. They also have the worst management and ownership though so I'm never 100% confident that they're not going to screw things up (like Dorion basically did the last 2 off-seasons)


OTT is stacked in prospects who are really high level guys. This will be a team in the playoffs for a long time as long as they owner doesn't act like a cheap ass.
Honestly, I think he should sell the team and let someone else run it. But that's a different matter.
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Feb. 16, 2022 at 11:42 p.m.
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Quoting: pharrow
oh the passive aggressive bs out of you. That might be the only thing you're good at.
The Central is the strongest division in hockey right now.
I don't care about your "points" argument. That's something a 5 year old uses.
The two bottom teams from the Eastern conference playoff bracket aren't top 10 teams in the league.
Since you clearly aren't capable of reading. Just because OTT isn't a good team this year doesn't mean they aren't stacked with high end prospects about to come in.


The first half of that paragraph can be summed up with, "I don't care what concrete proof says, my opinion is the best" also you can splash a "it doesn't matter if they are a top 10 team they aren't too 10!"

Points percentage is how the league has determined playoff order in the past and when teams have played a different number of games, they use it over points. Because a team that is 20-20-2 in 42 games may have 42 points but they are not equal to a team that is 20-5-2 through 27 games. They have the same number of points but have done so in much less games. I know it's confusing, but when you look at more than 1 stat to justify your opinion and ignore everything else all the time, you tend to miss some stuff.
 
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