we miss leo k
Joined: Feb. 2018
Posts: 5,361
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I don't think Panik is a guy you necessarily need to move for futures(and especially not retain) - he's making $1.375M for 22-23 and can plug in pretty much anywhere in the lineup. If the team is in the tank again next deadline, I think you easily get a 4/5 for a player like him without retention.
I also think you're being a bit optimistic about how easy it will be to move those Bailey & Palmieri contracts. I don't think the Blues give up a 2nd for him, even at 50% retention - they're hard up against the cap this season and the only big contract coming off for 22-23 is David Perron, plus they have RFAs to re-sign. I think if you drop the Ryan Murray signing and maybe work out some sort of Bailey for Marco Scandella deal, you fill LD3 at a similar price and can possibly get another asset out of St. Louis with the same retention (I'm thinking Bailey 50% retained for Scandella and a pick?)
Palmieri is also a guy I'd consider holding judgment on until the end of the season. He was garbage to start the year, then he was hurt, and now he's come back from injury and looks like a different guy, especially playing with Nelson & Beau. Let that ride out and see if that chemistry keeps building before you give him the Andrew Ladd Exile.