And that's why I'm so disappointed, but more-so nervous. To me, you can't look at the fact that they didn't get the result they wanted this time around and make major organization changing decisions based off of it. You can't compound this loss with the others - they were a different team; a better team. And they have been getting progressively better since Dubas and Keefe have taken the reins, core intact. I'm legitimately afraid the the powers that be won't see it that way and the team will be worse off because of it.

yeah we trade JP for ?

you don't trade Puljujarvi for a 2nd pair D, that would be incredibly stupid

The approach I took was to take the base-two logarithm of 27,778: there are two outcomes of an NHL playoff game so if the two teams are evenly matched you could expect any game to be a 50-50. Thus (1/2)^x should equal that 1/27,778 figure of JFresh's, with x being the number of instances the Leafs have been in that situation for either team to clinch.

The result I got was around 14.76. I don't know the specifics of the Leafs' series but I know that x cannot be greater than 20 in this instance as there are only 4 possible games that can clinch a series (I believe the max for this number is actually 16 as I don't recall the Leafs or their opponents being up 3-0 in the series).

This leads me to suspect that JFresh is using odds from his model and that the distribution of who wins the game isn't 50-50.

yeah we trade JP for ?

About as stupid as using him as a 4th liner. Which Woodcroft is doing right now.

Say what you say but I think it'd be better moving him for a 2nd pair D than misusing him.

Sold!

For most of the regular season he was used as a top 6 wing with Mcdavid, he might be struggling a bit right now and Woodcroft thinks its the best thing to do at the moment. Woodcroft deserves the benefit of the doubt.

Leafs need more grit

the leafs lost the season the moment dubas backed the goaltending before the heritage classic.

the results were predictable and preventable.

jack campbell ends the playoffs with a 3.15gaa and a .897sv%.

i wonder if dubas is still "not concerned" about the goaltending.

loser mentality

Sheldon Keefe says he felt the Leafs got a lot more respect in tonight’s handshake line than in previous series.

— luke fox (@lukefoxjukebox) May 15, 2022

They had grit it got them in trouble as Matthews and Marner were throwing their weight around

What they need is a scoring third line

That line had opportunities but other than being good at defense the offense after game 4 became non existent

I would look into bringing in some solid bottom 6 pieces to work with Kampf

loser mentality

Sheldon Keefe says he felt the Leafs got a lot more respect in tonight’s handshake line than in previous series.

— luke fox (@lukefoxjukebox) May 15, 2022

Lmao off all players scoring it's Cody Ceci.

Keefe: "We got a lot of respect in that (handshake) line from their team. It was a much different tone of respect on the other side from what we’ve experienced previously. We’re earning respect in the league. But we’re not in the respect game. We’re in the winning game." #Leafs

— Terry Koshan 🇺🇦 (@koshtorontosun) May 15, 2022

Here's the full quote.

I think they need an actual first pair D.

I don't think Rielly is good enough. He's basically a Klingberg.

Klingberg was great. But he wasn't great enough.

Brodie, Muzzin and Lyubushkin complement him pretty well, but ultimately it's not good enough.

They need a guy they could use in virtually every role and if needed, 30 minutes a night.

You clearly didnt watch Campbell, other than game 4 he was good for the whole series

Shutting the Lightning out game 1

Playing on a hurt leg game 7

Robbing Stamkos when it was 3-2 in game 3

Nobody would have done any better. He was the hardest working of all the Leafs in each and every game.

Heck other than tonight Vasy's numbers werent much better.